Current Weather Conditions on 19th July 2016
There was scattered showers, light rain with some places getting medium rainfall over some parts of Gujarat.
The axis of monsoon trough at mean sea level now runs close to the foothills of the Himalayas.
The weak off-shore trough at mean sea level extends from South Maharashtra coast to Kerala coast.
An Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation lies over Bihar and adjoining Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and extends up to 3.6 kms above sea level. A trough in lower level extends from the above system to West Central Bay of Bengal.
An Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation at 5.8 kms a. s. l. lies over Rayalaseema and neighborhood.
Forecast: 20th July to 25th July 2016
COLA/IGES Forecast precipitation valid 23rd July 2016 @ 00 UTC ( For 22nd July 2016 )
COLA/IGES Forecast precipitation valid 24th July 2016 @ 00 UTC ( For 23rd July 2016 )
COLA/IGES Precipitation Outlook for India
valid 19th July 2016 @ 00 UTC to August 4th @ 00 UTC ( For 2 weeks )
(Forecast for 2 weeks change very often)
(બે અઠવાડિયા ની આગાહી રોજે રોજ ફરતી હોઈ છે)
Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat:
Saurashtra, Kutch & North Gujarat expected to get scattered showers or light rain on different days of the forecast period with some places getting medium rain especially during 22nd to 25th July.
South Gujarat expected to get scattered showers, light rain or medium rain during 22nd to 25th July on different days of the forecast period with some places expected to heavy rain especially 22nd to 23rd July.
East Central Gujarat expected to get scattered showers, light or medium rain on different days of the forecast period with more probability 22nd to 25th July.
Please follow these guidelines or else comment facility will be disabled for some time.
Guideline for Comments:
1. Please post comment if you have a valid email address.
2. Read earlier comments and their reply before posting any comment.
3. Do not ask question about when the update will take place. Usually as and when deemed fit update will be given.
4. I do not forecast for long term, so do not ask for any forecast beyond 7 days.
5. Do not ask when it will rain in any city, town or village or city. Normally the forecast is given for broad areas of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat. However, for your information Multicity Wunderground Forecast link has been provided for various centers of Gujarat, Sayrashtra & Kutch.
6. All Comments will not be answered. Comments that is meant for larger audience is preferable and will be answered.
7. Please do not repeat your comment if the comment is in moderation (answer pending ).
ટૂંકૂ અને ટચ Dated 19th July 2016
ચોમાસુ ધરી હિમાલય ની તળેટી માં છે.
હાલ નબળો ઑફ શોર ટ્રફ દક્ષિણ મહારાષ્ટ્ર થી કેરાલા સુધી લંબાય છે.
એક યુએસી બિહાર અને પશ્ચિમ બંગાળ આસપાસ છે, જે 3.1 કિમી સુધી લંબાય છે.
500 hPa નું યુએસી રાયલસીમા અને આસપાસ ના વિસ્તાર માં છે.
આગાહી: 20 થી 25 જૂલાઇ 2016
સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ:
આગાહી સમય માં સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને કચ્છ તથા ઉત્તર ગુજરાત માં છુટા છવાયા ઝાપટા, હળવો મધ્યમ વરસાદ અલગ અલગ દિવસે અલગ અલગ વિસ્તાર માં ખાસ કરીને 22 થી 25 જૂલાઈ દરમ્યાન.
દક્ષિણ ગુજરાત ઝાપટા અથવા હળવો મધ્યમ વરસાદ મુખ્ય 22 થી 25 જૂલાઈ દરમ્યાન અલગ અલગ દિવસે અલગ અલગ વિસ્તાર માં અને અમૂક જગ્યાએ ભારે વરસાદ ખાસ કરીને 22 થી 23 જૂલાઈ.
મધ્ય પૂર્વ ગુજરાત માં છુટા છવાયા ઝાપટા, હળવો મધ્યમ વરસાદ અલગ અલગ દિવસે અલગ અલગ વિસ્તાર માં ખાસ કરીને 22 થી 25 જૂલાઈ દરમ્યાન, જેમાં એકલ દોકલ ભારે વરસાદ પડી શકે છે.
કમેન્ટ માટે માર્ગદર્શન:
કમેન્ટ અંગે ના માર્ગદર્શન નો અમલ કરો નહીંતર ના છૂટકે કમેન્ટ વ્યવસ્થા હાલ પૂરતી બંધ કરવા માં આવશે.
1. ખરું ઈ મેઈલ એડ્રેસ હોઈ તો કમેન્ટ કરો.
2. આગળ સવાલો અને તેના જવાબ વાંચી ને તમારી કમેન્ટ કરો.
3. “અપડેટ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ કરવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે યોગ્ય લાગશે ત્યારે અપડેટ થશે.
4. હું લાંબા ગાળા ની આગાહી નથી કરતો માટે 7 દિવસ થી આગળ માટે આગાહી બાબત કમેન્ટ ના કરવી.
5. “મારા શહેર, કે ગામ માં વરસાદ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ પૂછવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ ના બહોળા વિસ્તારો ની આગાહી આપેલ હોઈ છે. તમારા વિસ્તાર ના મોટા સેન્ટર માટે વંડરગ્રાઉન્ડ ની આગાહી ની લિન્ક આપેલ છે અહીં મેનુ માં.
6. જે કમેન્ટ વધુ લોકો ને સ્પર્શતો હોઈ તે આવકાર્ય છે અને તેના યોગ્ય જવાબ મળશે. બધા કમેન્ટ નો જવાબ નહીં મળે.
7. કમેન્ટ મોડરેશન (જવાબ પેન્ડિંગ ) હોઈ બીજી વાર પૂછવું નહીં.
Ashok bhai amone chomasu dhari ni Kai khabar na pade. Pan Upleta, kolki,paneli,Bhayavdar,Jamjodhpur vistar ni dhari vise koi Sara varsad ni dhari rahese?
Sir,
In 925 hpa, wherever there is no colour, it means, wind with below 10 km/hour speed? Does such less velocity helps in cosntructing local clouds? Request to reply.
not necessary. The wind brings the moist air from Arabian Sea. Only thing required something to stop them over Saurashtra and rain out.
Mane tamari aagahi par puro vishvash che, thank you..
Sir skymate ni agahi : 23 thi 26 tarikh ma kutch ne bad karta akha gujrat ma saro varsad thase to te Sachu ganvu?
Ane te sourashtra uper Ek UAC thi a varsad avse
sara varsad ni vyakhya su ganavi ?
madhyam, bhare ke ati bhare ?
sir keshod ma tadako chhe to aavu vatavaran kya sudhi raheshe?
vatavaran ma ger far thaya rakhe. kalake kalake ooncha nicha thavanu na hoi !
Ashok bhai have heavy rainfall kedi these amare haju magfadi vavva ni baki che plz ans me…
ghana vavani vagar na vistar chhe.
SauRashtra saro ma varsad thavani sakyta khri ke nhi.
varsad toe avashe . Tamare hisaabe saro etle ketlo ?
Good afternoon
Sir Hal ma al nino ni asar che gujrat ma ??
Ke pachi puri thay gay
Please ansvar…..
El Nino koi evi mayaa nathi ke fakt Gujarat ne asar kare.
General desh levele chomasu normal jevu chhe athvaa thodu vadhu.
sir, as per 700 hpa uac shows good rain next week all condition are change fastly two days ago imd sys lp in up devlop but even uac is merge with moonsoon trough last year is good then this year
Wankaner.taluka na lunsar gam ma chomasano pahelo jarmar varsad chalu
Hello sir
Tame je 19 to 27 mate cola image apyo 6 tema koi ferfar Thai sake?????? Y or N
Dar roj fari jashe. Hu teni oopar madar nathi rakhato. Loko ne bahu harakh hato etle aapel chhe.
Sir gujrat na kheduto ne havaman khata upar visvas rahyo nathi to tame kaik aagotru aapo to kheduto ne su vvavetar karvu te khabar pade
Hu je kai pirsu chhu tema 60% Havaman khatano lot hoi chhe !
Sir, saurashtra ma pavan nu jor vadhare chhe, jyare hu kale Mumbai aavyo tyare rasta ma joyu ke gujarat region ma pavan sav thambhi gayo chhe ane surat thi chhek Mumbai sudhi satat varasad chalu hato to mane evu lage chhe ke saurashtra ma pavan j varasad ma vilan bane chhe
Pavan ghatshe ek be divas ma.
Dhoru..45 day ma kai n madyu…dem badha khali che.. sir aa ‘varsh’ fail java nu che ke su??….aavta mahina ni rah jova ni rahi…..
Sir Chomasu Dhari jova mate imd na Kya maxa ma hoy plz link aapo ?
925 hPA jovo
સર ભરુચ જિલલામા સાવઋિક વરસાદ. લગ ભગ ૪થી ૫ ઈંચ વરસાદ હજુપણ ચાલુ છે… સર માહિતી આપવા બદલ ખુબ ખુબ આભાર…
Sir Hal ma pictures che e Kyo software che jova mate link aapo.
Ane saurashtra ma bhare varsad ane aalg aalag virtar ma ketlo inch varsad padse.
aagahi ma aapel thi vishesh kai nathi.
LP jova mate mslp ooparant kya hpa chart no adhar lay shakay?
Low pressure MSLP ma ane 925 hPA jovaay je fakt 0.75 km. ni oonchaay hoi etle khyaal ave ke Low thashe.
sir 27 jul to 4 aug ni cola image ni like (said)apo ne sar plizzz
email to sachu che
Mey tamone email karel te deliver na thayo !!!
dhavalpatel992517@gimail.com
mey gimail.com nathi sambhadel !!!
Sir mendarda ma have varap rahese
Sir aapna kehva mujab 22-25 ma jamjodhpur ni aaju baju, upleta ni aaju baju sakyta chhe ?
Je avey te jovo
Hi Ashok Bhai,
Ahmedabad Weather Update :-
Gai kale sanje fari 4:30 thi vadado gherai gaya ane saru japtu padyu. Rate fari gheraya bad 5 min saru japtu padyu.
Aaje savare to thodo ughad hato ne surprisingly jordar vadado gheraya 9ek vage, ane jordar japtu varasyu 🙂 savar na por ma ughad pachi achanak j aavu japtu joi ne am thayu k bhale koi j moto varsad nathi aavyo to bhi aa chomasa ma dum to che j 🙂
Aaje sanje fari vadado gheraya hata pan aaje na varasya 🙂 may be savare varsi gaya atle 🙂 haha
Thanks.
Ha sir tame kayu a sachu che pan jem jem hu navu joto jav chu am hu comments karu chu have aa comment mari final che….
Sir ta-26 ma 925hsp ma sistam gova-mumbai shudhi aave che.jo te nabdi na pade ane tenu direction west north north rahe to te guj sourastra ne jarur faydo karavi sake avu lage che. Aam bane to tamaru su kahevanu thay che? Ane biju ke hind mahasagar ma aa ak biju sayclonic strom aakar lay rahyu che to aavu upra- upri ke bane che . Javab aapjo abhyas mate.pls
2 week nu precipitation map aapel chhe. baaki kai nathi oomerbva maate.
South of Equator vadi System North ma asar na karey.
અશોક ભાઈ
જવાબ આપવા બદલ આભાર
Sir chomasu dhari ka rite jani sakay ?
IMD ni website ooparthi.
અશોક ભાઈ
એટલે 10 દિવસ સુધી જોરદાર વરસાદ ની કોઇ શક્યતા નથી
HU 2 athavadiya nu forecast kyarey na jov.
Ahi aagotaru ni vaat thati hati etle aapel chhe.
Be divas ma fari jashe. eni oopar kai madar na rakhaay !
Have to bhagvanj bachave
Ohh
Apado varasad no dhori mahino sav dhoro j jase bedluck our.
I guess that is the reason negative iod why we are experiencing less rains in Gujarat state and Konkan Mumbai belt. Last year positive iod helped couple of depressions in saurashtra Gujarat belt but as El Niño developed the effect was less later in the season. Imd has mentioned excess rains in central India also and ruled out a possibility of below normal rainfall in central India. What is your experience about a situation of negative iod and Enso neutral effect of rainfall on our two states of Maharashtra and Gujarat. Past data analysis?
Negative IOD has inactive Arabian sea and active Bay of Bengal.
Right sir. In that case of negative iod how far will it adversely effect monsoon in western India particularly Gujarat, Mumbai, Maharastra belt? Whether bay of Bengal systems will be enough to.cover inactive Arabian sea for west India? I am a resident of Mumbai and following your forecasts since past 4-5 years
Konkan will not get affected. Normally north of Konkan gets affected.
Sir, does that mean less than normal monsoon for gujarat n saurashtra belt. I belong to patan in North gujarat. Lack of Arabian sea systems is affecting monsoon in gujarat, at least for now.
Rain for Saurashtra is dependednt on UAC or some System (LOW).
Regular Southwest monsoon winds does not give good rain for Saurashtra. It’s always when there is some disturbances.
Most rain is in spurts fo 4 to 8 inches at a time whenever we get them.
Patan could benefit from any UAC tracking over South Rajasthan.
sir 27 jul to 4 aug ni cola image ni like (said)apo ne sar plizzz
aaje audit ma tamaru email address khotu chhe tem message avel chhe.
Sar. Gujarati ma jpg. Image mukone updetni kemke. Amukma. Gujtati font no hoy etle
Gujarati update toe vadharani aapel chhe. Baaki Akila ke Sanj Samachar ma avey tedi mukish.
Sir pavan na jor haju ketala divas rahese…
pavan nu jor ghatshe avata be divas ma.
rajkot ma hadvo varsad padyo
Sir Bharuch area bharuch to Dahej line saro varsad padyo 7:30pm to 8:35pm 1 kalak sudhi to dhodhmar varsyo
Dhiraj rakho have najik na samay ma bhari varsad thase…
Agotaru aedhalh apo to saru
aagotara endhan maate Naksho aapel chhe te jovo 2 athavadiya maate chhe.
Sir kutch par je UAC hatu te haal maa kaya 6
pachhu UAC thashe be/tran divas ma.
sir,dhrol ma chela 3 divas thi harvo varsad pade 6. agami divso ma varsadni matra vadhava ni sakyta 6?
Sar. Amare aje rajpar. (Ku) ma. 1.5inch varsad hato. Vheli. Svarthi bpor sudhi aaviyo. Ane. Mne aevu. Lage 6e. Ke nvlkhi. Na driyanu moju amara vistar ma lagu pdiyu hoy ske
Have to bhagwan Saurashtra-Kutch-Gujarat par kaik chamtkar kare to saru. Baki Samay jato jay chhe.
Ane loko have negative vicharta thai gya chhe.
Sir 25 mi thi arebiyan sea active Thai jase atle apde 25/28 ma saro varsad apse aa maro abhyas che……
Tamari 17 tarikhni comment:
Sir me badha model ane badha hpa no abhays karyo che ama 22 Bob ma ek uac bane te pan majboor nathi atle 8/10 divas sudhi whole gujrat ma koi sistem ke local sistem thi varsad nathi I’m right….
Sir cola precipation weekly forecast jota bv chinta janak sthiti lage che.tma gujarat ma vrsad ni intensity bv ochi lage avnara divso ma.
Sir gaya varash ni jem aa varse pan varsad ocho thay tevu lage che
Wounded ground kema jovanu sir?
Ahi Menu ma Saurashtra/Kutch Wunderground Forecast chhe http://www.gujaratweather.com/wordpress/?page_id=12138
Tamara najik nu Centar ma su chhe te andaj aapel hoi chhe 4 divasno.
Sir…aje vadodara ma dhimo saro varsad padyo…hmna pn vatavar saru che……havy rain padi sake che???
ok thenks sir
Sir wonderground map kya Jova male
Wunderground forecast ni link apel chhe…. ahi menu ma chhe ane aaje comment na jawab ma.
sir tharad vav na ghana vistarma varasadnu tipuy nathi agahi samayma vavani thay tevo 1 ench jevo varasad thase?
Kutch ni aagahi pan tamare maate lagu padey.
jam kalyanpur ma 2thi3 inch padi sake aagahi samyama ochha ma ochho
fix location nu nathi lakhel.
Tamare wunderground ni aaghi najik na center ni jovaay.