Weather Conditions on 8th September 2017
The Axis of Monsoon trough at mean sea level now passes through Jammu, Patiyala, Meerut, Gorakhpur, Muzaffarpur, Purnea and thence towards East Assam through Sub-Himalayan West Bengal.
There is a North South trough from Madhya Maharashtra to South Tamilnadu accross Karnataka and extends up to 0.75 km above mean sea level with an embedded UAC over Madhya Maharshtra & neighborhood at 1.5 km above mean sea level.
The East West shear zone now runs roughly along latitude 8.0°N between 3.1 & 5.8 km above mean sea level
There is an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Southern Bay of Bengal & neighborhood between 0.75 km to 5.8 km above mean sea level.
Forecast: Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch
11th to 17th September 2017
Under the influence of various weather parameters expected to play out during the forecast period:
60% areas of Saurashtra & Gujarat expected get on different days scattered showers/light or medium rain with isolated heavy rain during the forecast period cumulative quantum 4 cm. to 8 cm. (40 mm. to 80 mm). Isolated centers could get more than 80 mm rainfall.
Most parts of Kutch & rest of Saurashtra & Gujarat expected get on different days scattered showers/light rain with isolated medium rain during the forecast period cumulative quantum between 2 cm. to 4 cm. (20 mm to 40 mm).
Note: There is a very big difference of quantum of rain between various forecast models.
આગાહી: સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, કચ્છ અને ગુજરાત
11 થી 17 સપ્ટેમ્બર 2017
આગાહી સમય માં અલગ અલગ પરિબળો ની સંયુક્ત અસર હેઠળ:
60% સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત માં અલગ અલગ દિવસે છુટા છવાયા ઝાપટા /હળવો-મધ્યમ વરસાદ અને કોઈ કોઈ જગ્યાએ ભારે વરસાદ ની શક્યતા છે જેની કુલ માત્રા 4 સેમી થી 8 સેમી. (40 થી 80 મીલીમીટર) સુધી. કોઈ કોઈ જગ્યાએ 80 મીલીમીટર થી વધુ ની શક્યતા છે.
કચ્છ ના મહત્તમ ભાગો તથા બાકી ના સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત ના ભાગો માં અલગ અલગ દિવસે છુટા છવાયા ઝાપટા /હળવો વરસાદ અને કોઈ કોઈ જગ્યાએ મધ્યમ વરસાદની શક્યતા છે જેની કુલ માત્રા 2 સેમી થી 4 સેમી (20 થી 40 મીલીમીટર ) સુધી.
નોંધ: અલગ અલગ ફોરકાસ્ટ મોડલ વચ્ચે માત્રા માં બહુ મોટો તફાવત છે.
Caution:
Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.
સાવચેતી:
સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.
hello sir pratik here. which system will be effecting or causing rain. i mean any uac? what will be possibility in ahmedabad? plz reply.
I do not forecast for specific City.
Read forecast for the reason for rain.
Sir, Central Gujarat 60% ma pakku ne??
Genral aagahi aapel chhe.
North Gujarat ne spast karvu hatu etle kari didhu…. baaki hisab kari liyo !
Sir tmari aa Navi update ma 60% saurashtra ni je aagahi che ema kiya ditrict aave che
plz
Haju nakki thaay chhe.
Pordandar baju kevuk rheshe sir am are varsad khub ocho che kuva ma hju pain nathi avya please sir
85 thi 90% varsad thayel chhe aney chomasu haju vidaay nathi lidhi
Khoti wat chhe
Porbandar atyar sudhi no kul varsad 15 inch jetlo man thyo hse Ashok bhai
Sandipbhai vanchta aavadatu hoy ahi aa website ma Rainfall mahiti chhe. Porbandar ma 571 mm thayo chhe.(aashare 23 inch)
Dhang dhada vagar ni commnent ek epari paasey thi apeksha na hati !!
Kutch na mundra taluka ma atyar sudhi sareras 81% varsad sarkari aankda mujab chhe to sir aa dukal ni j paristhiti j kevay ne??? Ketla % sudhi normal ganay?
90% etle normal.
Hu avar navar kahu chhu ke aa ek Taluka ni sharerash ma tamone tamara gaam ne asantosh chhe… toe aakhaa desh ni sharerash no koi matlab kharo ?
Marey hisabe Mumdra ma varsad ochho na kahevaay karan ke haju chomasau viday nathi thayu.
Sir pavan nu jor kevu rahese
Pavan maate abhyas haju nathi karel
Thanks sir ……navi update thi khedut ne kamno vet (planing) khubaj saras rite kari sake chhe……khub..khub..abhar
Sir aa to glucose with oxizen bai bhegu moje moj
utter gujarat mate સ્પષ્ટ કહો.કેવુ રહેશે ?
40% ma
I think the rainfall would be convective. Thunder clouds development during the afternoon/evening hours !
Thank sir
Aje havaman ma ferfar hato amare sir
Sir,
Aa NOAA-CPC pan GFS model adharit j forecast ape chhe to ena quantum of rain ma dar vakhte aatlo difference kem hoy chhe bija badha karta.
Aa vakhte pan 8 thi 14 September ma ema jota Gujarat par rain quantum bau ochho batave chhe.
Te Indian model chhe k foreign nu?
GFS foreign nu chhe.
Quantum ochhu batave chhe CPC GFS model em kaho chho toe ketlu batave chhe ?
Darek ma color na table alag hoy etle kyarek paheli najare chhetaraay javaay !
IMD ma GFS pan foreign nu chhe… pachhi aapdey tema update karel hoy.
GFS ma pan ghana model chhe… thaodas thoda fer karel hoy.
Sir,
Hu janu chhu k badha ma color table alag hoy chhe.
Tamari help thi alag alag model no abhyas karvano moko male chhe ne khoob interesting lage chhe badhu.
NOAA-CPC ma 20 thi 40 mm (light to dark Green Color) rainfall batave chhe 8 thi 14 September ma.
OK chhata recheck karaay !
Good news ser
Sir south saurashtra ma vadhare chance rahse
Thank you for new update, sir ji.
Tenkyu sar nvi updet thi earth nul scool no abhyas krva mali jashe
good news
Sir,
Ahmedabad vishe pan kaik janavo.
Isolated heavy rain ni possibility ma Ahmedabad avi sake forecast period darmiyan?
Tame 60% parts ni vaat kari to bakina 40% ma Gujarat na kya parts hoi sake?
Hu janu chhu k sir tame particular location vishe kyare janavta nathi to aa vishe answer apvo na apvo tamari ichha.
aagala jawab vancho vistar maate na
Good news sir, thanks for new update.
Thanks sir
Thanks sir
Aabhar sir
good news and thenk you
Good news sir
Jamnagarma kevu raheshe
ગુડ ન્યૂઝ થેંક્યું સર આજે ટી. વી.9 સાંજના 7.19p. m ના હવામાન ખાતાવાળા જયંત સરકારે એવું કહ્યું કે તા.11થી13હળવાં ઝાપટાં પડશે અને ત્યાર બાદ નવરાત્રીમાં વિદાય લેશે
Thank you for new update
Thx sar saru thase avi asha rakhiye
thenk s ashok bhai
Peri PAtel: Email address khotu chhe etle change karo.
Aani pahela pan yaadi aapi chhe. Aa email Kachara Topli mathi nikdi chhe.
Good news sir
thank you
Sir aa varsad na raundma bapor pa6i mandani varsad aavvani sakyta 6e?
thanks ashok bhai
Tnx sir
To sir Badha model ma varsad ni matra ma Bov moto deference se to 1/2 divas ma clear thay jase?
Ane varsad ni matra ma vadharo thay sake?
Update ma Kay ferfar thay?
JEtli mahiti hati te aapi… havey chaiyd khaav na thaav !
Abhar sir.. Pan aape area wise agahi nahi aapi.. 60% rajya ma kya jilla ave ane 40% ma kya jilla avshe
Koi jilla fix nathi k je 60% ave ne bija jilla 40 % ma ave.. Akha Gujarat, kutch and saurastra no sareras 6. ( 60% vistar and 40% vistar.)
Kutch nu sarkhi ritey vancho
Good news…..!!!!!!!
Thanks for the update sir.
The effect will more towards north gujarat / south gujarat or saurashtra region?
Good for South/Central Gujarat.
Saurashtra
Thanks sir
sir 60% saurastra ma kaya jila no samavesh thay tena vishe kai kahi sakay?
thanks sir bhare varsad ni sakyata bahu ochhi lage chhe
Right Perfect
Good news sir
Ane sir thunderstorm ni sakyata kevi rahse?
Te 12/24 kalak pahela andaj avey
60% ma dwarka jilo ke dakshin suvrashtra 2 kiu sir
Jetli mahiti chhe te aapi chhe.
Vadhu mahiti avye ahi aapish.
થેંકયુ સર નવી અપડેટ માટે –ખેડુતો ને આગાહી થી ધણો ફાયદો થાય છે .
આભાર
Power play forecast
Good news…
Thanks for New update