Current Weather Conditions on 3rd June 2019
The Maximum Temperature during the last seven days over hot Centers of Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch ranged from 43 to 45 C. The Maximum Temperatures today the 3rd June were:
Kandala (A) 44.8 C, Gandhinagar 44.4 C, Surendranagar 44.3 C, Rajkot 44.1 C, Ahmedabad 44.0 C, Deesa 43.2 C.
Moderate windy conditions prevailed over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch on many days, especially in evening period.
Forecast Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch 4th June to 10th June 2019
Hot Centers expected over North Gujarat, Eastern Saurashtra and some pockets of Kutch. Maximum Temperature range for Hot Centers of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat are expected to be as under:
4th & 5th June : 42C to 44C
6th, 7th & 8th June : 43C to 45C
9th & 10th June : 41C to 43C
Moderate wind mainly Westerly directions during the forecast period with higher wind speed 9th/10th June. Saurashtra & Kutch expected to have higher wind speeds compared to Gujarat. Higher wind speed expected mostly in evening periods. There will be a moderate Upper Air instability over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch on 7th & 9th June. Evening Humidity expected to increase during the Forecast period.
Rest Of India:
Kerala & Karnataka: Expected to receive cumulative 3 Cms. to 10 Cms. of rain during the forecast period.
Andaman & Nicobar: Expected to receive cumulative 8 Cms. to 12 Cms. of rain during the forecast period.
There is a differing outcome of development of a System and progress of Monsoon by GFS and ECMWF for the current forecast period. There would be more clarity in the next 2 days.
અરબી સમુદ્ર માં સિસ્ટમ બનવા ની તેમજ ચોમાસા ની પ્રગતિ બાબતે GFS અને ECMWF વચ્ચે મતમતાંતર છે જે બેક દિવસ માં ક્લિયર થશે.
As per IMD:
In view of the deepening of cross equatorial winds up to the Southern parts of South Arabian sea and further to the North over Bay of Bengal and persistent cloudiness over these regions, the Southwest Monsoon has further advanced into Southern most parts of Arabian sea, some more parts of Maldives-Comorin area, Southwest, Southeast and Eastcentral Bay of Bengal. The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) passes through Lat. 6°N/Long. 60°E, Lat. 6°N/Long. 70°E, Lat. 6°N/Long. 81°E, Lat. 10°N/Long. 86°E, Lat. 13°N/Long. 89°E and Lat. 17°N/Long. 95°E.
Cross equatorial flow over Southern parts of South Arabian Sea (to the south of 10° N) is likely to increase gradually favoring
further advance of Southwest Monsoon over some more parts of South Arabian sea, Maldives-Comorin area, Southwest, Southeast and
Central Bay of Bengal during next 48 hours.
An East-West shear zone at 3.1 km above mean sea level is very likely to develop across extreme South Peninsula from 05th June on wards leading to favorable conditions for onset of Southwest Monsoon over Kerala subsequently.
સૌથી ઉપર ની લીલી લીટી ના છેડે જે તારીખ હોઈ તે તારીખે લીટી ની નીચે ના ભાગ માં બધે ચોમાસું પોંચી ગયું છે તેમ સમજવું.
લાલ ત્રુટક લીટી જે તે વિસ્તાર માં નોર્મલ ચોમાસું બેસવાની તારીખ દર્શાવે છે
The date shown at the end of green line shows that the Southwest Monsoon has set in over areas below the green line on that date.
The red dashed line shows the normal date of onset of Southwest Monsoon over various regions
વાંચવા માટે ઇમેજ ક્લીક કરો – Click Image for reading
વાંચવા માટે ઇમેજ ક્લીક કરો – Click Image for reading
વાંચવા માટે ઇમેજ ક્લીક કરો – Click Image for reading
સર..mjo શુ છે?અને તેની ભુમીકા અંગે માર્ગદરશન કરવા કૃપા કરશૉ..
Aashare 30 thi 50 divas ni ek cycle chhe vadhu varsad na vistar maate.
Duniya ne Ghumedo mare… je 8 vistar naksha ma batave chhe.
Jyan pahonche tyan varsad nu praman vadhu hoy ke active hoy.
Jovo Menu ma ahi http://www.gujaratweather.com/wordpress/?page_id=18620
Sir,Arab ni system nu picture 10 tarikhe clear thase ne ??
Atyare to positive/negative thay che.
Aamaj hoy. Low pressure location nakki thaay pachhi vadhu clear thay.
Sir je system arb bani rahi che, Tena vishe updet kyare apcho
LOw pressure thay etle
Namste sir jo atiyare al nino chalu hoy to e atiyare varsad ne agad vadhva ma kay rite nadtar rup thato hse??
EL Nino shu chhe te vancho. Shu position chhe. El Nino koi switch nathi ke chalu hoy etle varsad na avey.
Sir arb vali sistam vadhu majbut thai ne vavazodu bane to chomachu pavan ne set kare ke vikhere
System India najik hoy toe System niche na Pavano Southwest na Chomasu set karey.
14/15 gujrat na padrama avse vathavva tyarrevu
Sir ecmwf mujab to system cyclone bane tevu batavi rahyu se. 36kt wind speed & 986mb pressure. Ane gujarat baju thi turn ley se. 986mb ane 36kt etle DD athava cyclone samji sakay.majbut system
સર તમે પોપટ ભાઈ નેં સવાલ પુસો તેનો જવાબ
iMD gfs માં સમાતાં છે એક સરખું બતાવે છે
,ser.gfs.pan.ecm.norasto.pakadeuo
sir windy ma GFS ma kashro Aavi gyo k chu tema Sistem J nathi Batavti Banne Vache Difrence To hoy che pan Aa thodok jajo lage che..?
IMD kahe Che ke Gujarat ma chomasu June end sudhima avse. This is latest news from IMD(Mr.Jayant Sarkar).
IMD New Delhi shu kahe chhe ?
આગલા વરસ નો અનુભવ એમ કેય કે gsf કરતા ecmwf વઘારે ચસોટ આગાહી આપે છે. જૉયે આ વારસાની પહેલી સિસ્ટમ માં કોણ ચાસોટ સાબિત થાય સે.પણ આ વખતે ડીફરન્ટ બોવ મોટો સે.બાકી બન્ને વસે ટ્રેક બાબત અસમાનતા હય છે.
IMD GFS jovo and pachhi kaho shu farak chhe !!
એમાં તો બરાબર છે.
Imd mujab next 48 hours ma chomasu keral ma pahoche tevi sambhavna …. good news ….
Mahiti strot shu chhe ?
Sir al nino ni asar Gujarat upar thase?
Haal El Nino chalu chhe.
Thanks
Sir windy ma 13/14 ma low Gujrat na veraval pase batave che to avavani ketli sakyata?
Forecast Model ne lagyu etle batave chhe.
Bija model joday em pakku thaay.
સર ગુજરાત મા ચોમાસું બેસતા કેટલી વાર લાગશે
Aaj na badha comment ek var vancho.
haji to Somashu bethu nathi k morthi Aarbi vali sistem ni Sinta thava thava lagi .!
Parva Bav tension lidhu Aavar koy tension levu nathi Hitachi nu Driving karva vayu javu sistem Aave k na Aave.
windy joy ne Aagahi karo jaja thay gya ho facebook ma.!
ab vali sistam no track aaje thodo ferfar thayo ke su sir..
લાગે છે કે એટમબોંબ નુ સૂરસૂરીયુ થઈ જાશે.
સર ગુજરાત માં ચોમાસુ બેસવામાં કેટલો ટાઈમ લાગશે
Kerla, Pachhi Goa, Pachhi Maharashtra ma bese pachhi vicharo
Sea level jova mate windy ma Kyo options select krva no…
Wind ma Surface etle sea level. Te default surface j batavatu hoy starting ma.
Sir generally chomasu andaman sri lanka thai ne kerala thi india ma enter thaay che
Pan evu bani sake ke arabian sea ma koi system thaay k jena thi kerala ni sathe sathe gujarat rajasthan ma pan saro varsad thai jaay ??
Badhu shakya hoy pan Chomasu rekha continue dorati hoy. Vachma koi vistaro baaki raheta hoy tyan sudhi Gujarat ma Chomasu declare nathay.
South gujarat ma pre moonsoon activity kya re chalu tha she.
Kerala ma Chomasu bese pachhi
T hank you sar
Sir , incase lowpressure devloped thai ne gujarat taraf gati kare to monsoon ma boost gujarat sudhi mali sake??
Overall CHomasu rekha zadapi aagad chale jo System baney and Gujarat/Maharashtra baju aavey toe
Sar saurashatr ma premonsun varsad mate bhej ketlo hovo joye
Bhej toe thoda kalako ma thai jaay chhe. Gaj Vij thaay chhe te achanak j thay chhe ne ?
sir pre monsoon ma ketlo varsad padi sake.
Kyarek simit vistar ma Vavani layak pan padel chhe pre-monsoon ma.
આભાર સર
આભાર સર
Thanks.
Jsk.Sir. Thanks for new Update
Sir imd gsf Ane windy ECMWF ma samyta Che jyare windy ma banne model Sama chede ubhel Che …?????
Aafeda badha gothvasey…. jashe kyan… gamey te ek vaat ubhi rahe !
Good news sir ji.
Sir aa vakhte iod chomasa pahela positive che to te ek plus point kevay ne aapna mate
Yes
sar savrastra ma chomasu kyare avse pls janavo
Ahi tamo paheli var avo chho ? Hu Lamba Gadaa ni aagahi nathi karto
Sir windy ma 7 tarikhe thi uac batave chhe ne 12 tarikhe Gujarat najik pohchhe chhe tyare bhej pan saro chhe pan ecmwf ma ak ma j batave chhe gfs vara koru dhakod chhe
Sir noaa and cpc modele pan thodak teko Saurashtra ne aapyo second week
Sir, saurashtra ma pree monsoon ketali tarike thi chalu thai shakshe?
Kerala ma Chomasu bese pachhi and Gujarat ma Chomasu na bese tyan sudhi je varsad thay te premonsoon samjo.
sir… tarikh…10…11…12 june ma madhy bharat maghni jagyaye air pressur 700 thi 850 hpa 999 jetlu btave … to tene low pressur kahi skay ??
Pressure jova maate surface nu etle ke Sea level par jovu.
700 ke 850hPa nahi.
Thanks for new update.
Sir Andhra Pradesh upar vadalo che te varsad chalu Hoy k pachi khali vadlo hoy
Zaapta, chhuto chhavayo hadvo varsad hoy.
Sir daxin Arb sagar ma je sistam bane che te hal ane aavta 5 divas rajsthan uchu tapman rahe to gujarat baju sistam aave khadi?
GHana factors kam karey. Alag alag vistar ma UAC, WD vigere, Garmi ne hisabe pressure vadh ghat thatu hoy.
Sir mane lage chhe daxin gujarat ma kadach pach divas bad premonsoon chalu thay?
આ વષેઁઁ સૌરાષ્ટ્રમાં ચોમાસાનુ આગમન દેશના અન્ય ભાગો કરતા વેલુ થાય તેવાં સંજોગો બનતા દેખાઈ છે કારણ કે અરબસાગર માં બનતું લો પે઼સર ગુજરાત ભણી આવતુ જણાય છે અને એ સમયે પાકિસ્તાન ઉપરનુ યુએસી તેને ટેકો જાહેર કરે તો ગુજરાત માં વાવણી સુધરી જાય. અશોકસર માગઁદશઁન કરવા વીનંતી
Sir chomasanu aagman vhelu thay ke modu tenathi kul varasad ketlo thase tena par Kai asar pade?etle ke chomasu vhelu to varasad vadhare Ane modu to varasad ochho?
Evu kai na hoy.
સર ok થેંક્યુ
Sir thunk.new.apdet
કય સિસ્ટમ બનશે અરબી સમુદ્ર માં અશોક સર
Abhyas karo