Current Weather Conditions on 3rd July 5.00 pm.
After an early onset of Southwest Monsoon over the Southern Coastal Saurashtra and South Gujarat on 15th June, there has not been any progress for Monsoon over rest of Saurashtra, Gujarat and whole of Kutch. Yesterday there was 24 mm. rainfall in Keshod of Junagadh District. In south Gujarat rainfall has been reported from Valsad District where average District rainfall was 26 mm. yesterday with Khergam getting highest of 69 mm. rainfall. Navsari District average rainfall yesterday was 25 mm. with highest in Dharampur 45 mm. Scattered showers were reported in Tapi & Surat Districts yesterday.
IMD Map showing the Progress of Southwest Monsoon Till 3rd July 2014
The Arabian branch of Southwest Monsoon has not moved ahead since 15th June.
The Southwest Monsoon has further advanced into some more parts of Uttar Pradesh, remaining parts of Haryana (including Delhi) and Punjab and some parts of north Rajasthan.
The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) passes through Lat. 21°N / Long. 60°E,Lat.21°N / Long. 65°E, Veraval, Surat, Nashik, Washim, Damoh, Lucknow,Aligarh, Bikaner and Lat.28°N / Long. 72°E.
Also conditions are favourable for further advance of Southwest Monsoon in to remaining parts of Uttar Pradesh and some more parts of Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh during next 3 days.
The Low Pressure area over Gangetic West Bengal and adjoining Bangla Desh now lies over Gangetic West Bengal and neighborhood. Associated Cyclonic Circulation extends up to 7.6 kms. above sea level.
The trough at mean sea level now runs from Punjab to North Bay of Bengal across Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand and the center of Low Pressure area.
The above clearly suggests that the Southwest Monsoon is yet active along the Foothills of the Himalayas. The 925 Mb. charts also suggests that the Easterly winds are restricted to the Himalayas only.
Forecast: 3rd July to 8th July 2014
Cloudy weather would prevail on most days of the forecast period. Wind speed is expected to decrease between 4th to 6th July and again pick up speed on 7th & 8th July.
Saurashtra: 3rd July to 8th July 2014
Current estimate of rainfall over Saurashtra during the forecast period is 10 mm. to 40 mm. of rain. The upper range would be around the Coastal areas.
Kutch & North Gujarat: 3rd July to 8th July 2014
Current estimate of rainfall over Kutch & North Gujarat during the forecast period is scattered showers.
South Gujarat: 3rd July to 8th July 2014
Current estimate of rainfall over South Gujarat during the forecast period is 50 mm. to 100 mm. of rain. with isolated places getting higher quantum.
Central Gujarat: 3rd July to 8th July 2014
Current estimate of rainfall over Central Gujarat during the forecast period is 20 mm. to 50 mm. of rain. Scenario could change for Central Gujarat on the outcome of Bay of Bengal System track.
Moisture laden winds are passing over Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat. Conditions are improving, however, conducive parameters for precipitation in a big way is absent. Scenario could change on the outcome of Bay of Bengal System track or if an UAC forms in the vicinity of Gujarat. Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch can get beneficial rain from the Bay of Bengal side also but only after the Southwest Monsoon sets in over rest of Maharashtra & rest of Madhya Pradesh.
IMD GFS Rainfall Forecast Valid for oo UTC 6thJuly 2014 ( mainly 5th July)
IMD GFS Rainfall Forecast Valid for oo UTC 7th July 2014 ( mainly 6th July)
COLA/IGES Precipitation Forecast Map valid 00 UTC 7th July 2014
(mainly 6th July)
Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 3rd July 2014
daxin gujrat ma varshad saru se sir
Sir there is slow but gradually improvement in the atmosphere but will take time to spread. recently the temp. is too high and unaffordable. A.C. are still cont. in our offices. when temp. will down then some parts cover i think
sir tamari aagahi mujab aaje chelli tarikh che to rajcot jilla ma haju varsad nathi to biji koi navi aagahi che
Navi aagahi kyare aapso
vatavarn fari dry thayu hoy tevu lage se..
pavan ni speed pan vadhi gayi se
Sir….
Any new update of rain in Saurastra region .?
gova baju je vadla se sir.. te pressar se ke karant… ane te gujrat ne labh karse
Sar any news for super typhoon Neoguri in west pecific
It has winds speed of 250 kms/hour and will make landfall on 9th July over Japan.
Good news Avta week ma Gujarat ma saro varsad padse
kone kidhu?
tarikh pe tarikh tarikh pe tarikh tarikh pe tarikh. . . . . . .
aaje arashadi vatavarn ubhu thay se pan pavan ni speed vadhu se atle vadalq vikheray jay se
Morbi ma pavan ni gati vadhu 6e aaje to vsrsad ni koi shakyta khari be char divasma
sir, gujrat na dariya kinare je hazardous chemical plants che, te air pollution to kare j che pan sathe sathe polluted water pan dariya ma j chhode che. ketlajk anse aa pn javabdar hoy sake varsad na anukul sajogo ne avarodh mate?
No
7-8 ma jodiya taluka ma varsad ni sakyata 6e?
SIR,
SOI NEGATIVE MEANS GOING TOWARDS EL NINO
WHAT IS POSSIBILITY OF RAIN IN MUMBAI WITHIN 2-3 DAYS.
SOI is in neutral zone. Same is the case with SST nino 3-4 region is below +0.5 C.
Mumbai received rain today.
hello sir navi agahi kayre apso?
Tomorrow
Sir
Any update on IOD and SOI of June.
June SOI -1.5
Last weekly IOD -0.66
Hello sir,
sir 7 ne 8 na varsad heavy rese k light in surendranagar
Possibility of scattered showers over Saurashtra.
shu lage ? . kaik to sara samachar apo plz.
વાતાવરણ સુધારો દેખાડે છે.
Hello good evening sir, I think system is slow any new news about delay date of rain in saurashtra
Conditions improving gradually.
sir arabi samudrama lowpresar tayar thai rahyu chhe tevu paper ma aavyu chhe te vat sachi
હજુ જોયું નથી.
sir, cyclone created near hongkong and china. Will it be obstacle indian monsoon to progress further.
Some moisture from Bay of Bengal side gets diverted.
Sir. Have new forecast kyare update thase???.
વાતાવરણ ધીમો સુધારો બતાવે છે. શરૂઆત ઝાપટા થી થશે ૮ તારીખ સુધીમાં. લગભગ ૮ તારીખે નવી આગાહી આવશે.
gujarat ma saro varsad thay tevu lagese ke nahi?kyare thase
navi aagahi kyare avse
please rply
વાતાવરણ ધીમો સુધારો બતાવે છે. શરૂઆત ઝાપટા થી થશે.
Sir aagahi parmane varshad nhthi aaviyo jamnagar ma 7julay this gai
રાજકોટ માં ૬ તારીખ થઇ છે. બે દિવસ બાકી છે.
Sir. Chomasu aagal vadhu k nahi
Please answer. ?????
Condition is improving slowly.
sir. tamane nathi lagtu ke have vavni layak varshad ne khub modu thai gyu hoy
hello sir, cloud gathered near guj from m.p central india will bring rain ? and if it is going to bring then it would be heavy or normal?
Sir,varsad nahi aavavanu karan su chhe
Sir.
Su vishuvrat(equador) na patta ma Je
Country ave chhe ane forecast bija country ke je vishuvrat patta no bahar ho ana karta vadhare difficult hoi chhe?
sir, samachar ma to 80% duskad nu kahe chhe ,aap nu su anuman chhe.
Sir 12.july na roj BOB. ma UAC. Akar letu hoy tevu lageche ane te hal anuman mujab MP. Gujarat taraf aave avu dekhay che.
sir aaje insat jota avu lagi rahyu che k mp ane maharastra na mota bhag ma chomasu besi gayu che.To sir aagami 2 divas ma chomasu gujarat tatha saurastra ne aavri lase ava koi sanjog khara???
arabi sea ma vadal kyare thase ?
haju vadal dekhata nathi.
sir. gujaratma mane tevu
lage se ke kal pad se 80% Dusakal
Evu atyar thi na kahi sakay….ane avi comment karvathi bija ne problem thay..etle have dhyan rakhjo…tamne khbar hoy to saru pan man ma rakho..
kem se sir Gujaratma Dashin ma varsad tase to jankari apo
Sheldiya Raj
gujrat ma 80% duskal na chance… very bad
Sir…saurastr ma pavan ghatvane ne badle aaj thi vadhelo janay 6e..tenu karan su hoi sake.
સુ દુષ્કાળ ના સંભાવના ઓચ્ચી થઇ ગણવી કે હજી રાહ જોવી પડે ?
Sir
Tamari agahi Sachi pade che
Hu lamba gala nu pusu su atla mate sorry
Rajkot na pani no problem solw thay jay tevo varasad padse aa varase?
3. 8. Ma jodiya taluka ma kevo varsad tase?
SIR,
2012 JEVI SITUATION THATI JAY CHHE, WIND SPEED TO SLOW THATI J NATHI.
Sir panchmahal ma saaro varsad padse forecast period anusar ?
Sir in past anytime it happens that sw monsoon was set at Delhi before gujarat.??
Many times Ahmedabad & New Delhi the monsoon onset was on the same day. Last few years Ahmedabad has been earlier than New Delhi. Historically normal for New Delhi is 25th July while that for Ahmedabad is 14th June as per IMD Map.
sir tamaru forcasting 100%true hoy se.. imd vala kahe se ke je pavan fukay se te lamba gala sudhi fukata pavan se… tamaru su kehvu se sir
આગાહી માં આપેલ છે તેના થી વિશેષ મારી પાસે કઈ નથી.
Sir, actually this year MODI is shifted to New Delhi na….So Monsoon settled in New Delhi First before Gujarat…!! Ha Ha Ha…Its natural or unnatural…must to be noted this time…RAIN BEGINS FIRST IN NEW DELHI rather than GUJARAT…oolti ganga…..No problem..!! Its an effect of GLOBAL WARMING ..MAY BE…WAT U SAY SIR??!!
There is no Global Warming. There is Climate change ! There has not been any warming in last 16 years.
sir saurashtra ma khas karine rajkot jilla ma vavani layak varsad thase.
આગાહી માં આપેલ છે તેના થી વિશેષ મારી પાસે કઈ નથી.
sir bomby ma varasad avi gayo te sistam saurashtra ma lagu padase.
આગાહી માં આપેલ છે તેના થી વિશેષ મારી પાસે કઈ નથી.
Sir. Hal ni current situation jota, tamaru su manvu 6, Gujarat ma Monsoon kyar sudhi ma entry aapse??.
આગાહી માં આપેલ છે તેના થી વિશેષ મારી પાસે કઈ નથી.
sir saurastra ma vavni layak varshad thase aa period ma?