Current Weather Conditions on 9th August 2014 @ 9.00 pm.
Under the influence of the Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over the North Bay of Bengal and neighborhood a Low Pressure area has formed over the same region this morning. Associated UAC extends up to 5.8 kms. above mean sea level. The System is currently located over Coastal West Bengal and neighborhood.
The axis of monsoon trough at mean sea level passes through Ganganagar, Narnaul, Agra, Sultanpur, Gaya, Center of Low Pressure area and thence Southeastwards to East Central Bay of Bengal. It extends up to 2.1 kms. above mean sea level.
The off-shore trough at mean sea level continues to run from North Maharashtra coast to Kerala coast.
The Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Northeat Rajasthan and neighborhood extending up to 4.5 kms. above mean sea level persists.
The Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Kutch & neighborhood at 3.1 Kms. above mean sea level persists.
Due to the UAC over Kutch some benefit to Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat.
The Low Pressure of Bay of Bengal is not expected to track towards Saurashtra.
IMD Weather Chart Showing 700 hPa Winds Valid 0000 UTC on 10th August
IMD Weather Chart Showing 700 hPa Winds Valid 0000 UTC on 11th August
The above chart shows East-West shear zone for a day valid till 0000 UTC 11th August. It is monsoon axis at 3.1 Kms. above mean sea level. This could give rain over some areas along the axis which runs East -West from West Bengal to Kutch.
IMD Weather Chart Showing 700 hPa Winds Valid 0000 UTC on 12th August
COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 10th August 2014 (updated @ 10.30 pm. IST)
COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 11th August 2014 (updated at 10.30 pm. IST)
IMD Forecast Rainfall Chart Valid 0000 UTC 10th August 2014
IMD Forecast Rainfall Chart Valid 0000 UTC 11th August 2014
Forecast: 9th August to 14th August 2014
There is an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation at 700 hPa or 3.1 Kms. above mean sea level over Kutch, Western Saurashtra, Sindh and vicinity which could persist for a day or two. As per 700 hPa chart for 10th August valid till 0000 UTC 11th it shows East-West shear zone for a day. It is monsoon axis at 3.1 Kms. above mean sea level. This could give rain over some areas along the axis which runs East -West from West Bengal to Kutch.
Saurashtra & Kutch :
Scattered light/medium rainfall possible on 9th/10th August.
11th to 14th August there would be scattered showers/light rain but quantity of rain and the area of rain coverage would be less.
Gujarat:
Scattered light/medium rainfall possible on 9th/10th August. There is possibility of medium heavy rainfall over West M.P. so some adjoining areas of Gujarat could get meaningful rain till 11th. Rest of Gujarat there would be scattered showers/light rain but quantity of rain and the area of rain coverage would be less from 11th to 14th August.
બંગાળની ખાડી વાળું નવું લો પ્રેસર હાલ માં પશ્ચિમ બંગાળ ના કાંઠા ના વિસ્તાર આસપાસ છે. હાલ ના અનુમાન મૂજબ તે સીસ્ટમ સૌરાષ્ટ્ર બાજુ આવે તેવું નથી જણાતું.
સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ :
તારીખ ૯ અને ૧૦ ના છૂટો છવાયો હળવો મધ્યમ વરસાદ પડશે.ગુજરાત ના અમૂક વિસ્તાર માં ૧૧ તારીખ સુધી મધ્યમ વરસાદ શક્યતા છે.
તારીખ ૧૧ થી ૧૪ ઓગસ્ટ દરમ્યાન છૂટો છવાયા ઝાપટા અથવા હળવો વરસાદ પડશે પરંતુ વરસાદ ની માત્રા તથા વિસ્તાર ઓછો રહેશે.
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ramesh savseta
12/08/2014 10:08 am
Have rajkot jillama kyare varsad avse anuman kaho ne
sir. varsad na vartara ma ak agahikar am ke chhe k have 1 ak mahina nu vayru chhe. to mane khyal chhe ke ap 8divas ni agahi apo chho parntu apna anubhav mujab aavat ma ketlu sachu manvu
Hello sir, I am following your website since 2 years and you have been providing very accurate, detailed and informative details about weather and it’s forecast, specially during monsoon season. I am basically from Rajkot only, currently settled in Ahmedabad. Sir, currently I need some information from you, we are travelling to mumbai and pune during the period of 14 Aug 2014 to 19 Aug 2014 and I have kid of 1.5 year. I want to know in general what would be the weather condition during these mentioned period in these areas (just general information) because I am worried that… Read more »
Currently wettest place in India is Mawsynram which is nearby to Cherrapunji. Cherrapunji is a subdivisional town in the East Khasi Hills district in the Indian state of Meghalaya. It was credited as being the wettest place on Earth earlier. Cherrapunji still holds the world record for the most rainfall in a calendar month – It received 9,300 mm (366 in) in just one month in July 1861. Cherrapunji still holds the world record for the most rainfall in any continuous 12 months period of a year. It received 26,461 mm (1,041.75 in) between 1 August 1860 and 31 July… Read more »
It is called cloud burst. When the rain rate is more than 100 mm. per hour. In short exceptionally high rain rate.
Details see here http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloudburst
chetan
10/08/2014 6:46 pm
Any chances to rain next days? Gujrat ma varsad avta ketla divas lagse?…
Samanya rite chomasu 15 September thi viday letu hoi chhe. Arabi Samudrama samanya rite 15 September pachhi Low Pressure ane evi System thati hoi chhe. Hu fakt ek week ni agahi apu chhu.
bodar pala
10/08/2014 1:59 pm
Sit avakhate badha agahi vara na pej kem nathi mukya hutamari web 2 cars thi jov chhu jam kambhalia vinjalpar
we, at Junagadh, it has rained about 850mm…..till date…..
zala ramsih
10/08/2014 12:49 am
sir hu junaghed jila na kaj gam the lakhu su amare aheya atyare koy mota varsad ni jarur nathi japta pade se te barabar se ne sir hu aa varse tamari veb said ma jodai ne vatavaran ane aagahi pramane mari kheti nu kam kariyu se je khubaj upyogi thayu se to aa badel tamaro khub khub aabhar ane sir mahtvano varsad amone 10 divas pasi no rase kem ke amare vavni 15 jun na varsad ma theyeli se je aaktari kahvay pan pastara varsad dar varse nathi tata tenu nuksan jay se kem ke maru gam kaj dariyai pati… Read more »
Have rajkot jillama kyare varsad avse anuman kaho ne
Najeek na divaso ma khas kai nathi.
sir. varsad na vartara ma ak agahikar am ke chhe k have 1 ak mahina nu vayru chhe. to mane khyal chhe ke ap 8divas ni agahi apo chho parntu apna anubhav mujab aavat ma ketlu sachu manvu
Nivadiye vakhan karva.
sir Arabi samudrama keral karnata ni najik vadal no jamavdov roj rahese ane vadhi raheyo se je upr ni said gujrat par aavi varsad varsavi sake ?
NO. shakyata nathi lagati.
Sir rajesthan ma sistem che te gujarat ma ave tevu kayery bantu ho che
10 thi 1 sir(mistek)
sir,aaj surat ma 10 thi 11 sara zaapta hata.varacha
babra na aju baju na gamo ma aje 2inch jevo varsad thayo
Mare varshad ni jarur che aavse k nai
Which center ?
sir
je gay kale uac and low jovama hatu te aje jovama nathi avatu avu kem?
samanya UAC hoi ke nabadu UAC hoi tema fer far jaldi thai chhe.
Tankara 11pa6ikevo kevoraise
haal ma 14 tarikh sudhi ni agahi apel chhe. navi update thashe te mookvama avashe.
sir morbi-2 ma varsad chalu 6e
good for you….. thanks for info !
Thank you sir for your good website launch.
Sir aaje morbi ane aajubaju na gamo ma andaje adhothi ek inch jevo varsad thayo to aa varsad kai system ne lidhe 6e
zaapta hadvo varsad kayam system adharit na hoi.
Sir
17TarikhNu
LoPresar
Jordar
thase
Chhokarano janm nathi thayo ane ee kevo hoshiyar thashe teni khabar na pade.
Sir , l a farmer from Kutch, want to know that couple of days rain will come?
Zaapta only.
Sir garmi nu prman vadhare che
Hello sir, I am following your website since 2 years and you have been providing very accurate, detailed and informative details about weather and it’s forecast, specially during monsoon season. I am basically from Rajkot only, currently settled in Ahmedabad. Sir, currently I need some information from you, we are travelling to mumbai and pune during the period of 14 Aug 2014 to 19 Aug 2014 and I have kid of 1.5 year. I want to know in general what would be the weather condition during these mentioned period in these areas (just general information) because I am worried that… Read more »
From 14th to 16th August no heavy rain Mumbai/Pune.
Mp upperna uacna karaneTharad vav ma aaje varasadni sakyata kevi chhe?
samanya shakyata baaki M.P./Rajasthan border vistar baju khari.
sir what is cloud crash??? and what is the rain fall rate during the cloud crash???
This has already been answered. See earlier reply.
sir, aaj surat ma halva zaapata pade se.
Mari jankari pramane kai nathi.
Sir,aaj na news paper ma satam atham par sara vrsad ni agahi kreli che to su a thai sake?
Padi shake mane khyal nathi. Navi update ma hashe to janavish.
Greetings Sir
Uac to be formed in bob on 17th converting to low by 17th, will this have rainfall implication in Gujarat?
haju lagan nathi thaya ne chhokarane kyan bhanavasu eni taiyari karo chho !
sir clouds ma andaje ketlu pani samay
Jetlo varsad ave chhe tena thi vadhu.
Amara gam na ak bhai kahe che ke 15 thi 20 sudhi ma akha gujrat ma 5 thi 8 icha thase tamaru su kevu thasi che
Hu lamba gadani agahi nathi karto. 5 thi 7 divas only.
Sir, rajkot ma saro varsad thase ke nai
Hal ma khas nathi.
Sir;aje vatavaran ma change lage che clouds pahad jeva niklya che to varsad avse?…
sir
date 15 na Bob ma uac bane Che te date 17 na low ma parivartit tjay Che tevu maru anuman sachu Che?
Ha
Sir arebian sea ma koi systam kem nathi thati
Jawab apel chhe vancho
sir namskar.keral pase je vadlo dekhay che te koy sistam che? plese reply.
Sir saurashtra ma varsad kyare avse
Haal ma zaaptaa gano.
Sir arebian sea ni koy pan UAC low presser ma convert kem nathi thata?
Ashokbhai,
What for next in saurastra after 15 th august onwards
Normally chomasa pahela ane chomasa pachhi arabi samudra ma Low Pressure system thay chhe.
sir, general knowlege
india ma sauthi vadhu varsad cherapunji ma pade se.1995 ma june 15-16 (48kalakma) 99.78 inch varsad padyo hato.
ek varas cherapunji ma aakha varash no 75(andajit ) fut varsad padyo hato.aa sachu ce?
Currently wettest place in India is Mawsynram which is nearby to Cherrapunji. Cherrapunji is a subdivisional town in the East Khasi Hills district in the Indian state of Meghalaya. It was credited as being the wettest place on Earth earlier. Cherrapunji still holds the world record for the most rainfall in a calendar month – It received 9,300 mm (366 in) in just one month in July 1861. Cherrapunji still holds the world record for the most rainfall in any continuous 12 months period of a year. It received 26,461 mm (1,041.75 in) between 1 August 1860 and 31 July… Read more »
sir… dhoraji ma kyare aavse varsad
Hal ma zaapta sivay khas kai nathi
Sir gujrat mate varsad 15 to20/8 kevo rahe se
No idea. I only forecast 5 to 7 days ahead.
sir what is cloud crash?? vaadad fate tyare per minute aprox ketlo varsad pade??
It is called cloud burst. When the rain rate is more than 100 mm. per hour. In short exceptionally high rain rate.
Details see here http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloudburst
Any chances to rain next days? Gujrat ma varsad avta ketla divas lagse?…
Hal ma koi moto varsad nathi.
hello sir, what are the chances for surendranagar for forecast period
When the forecast says scattered it means it would be hit or miss.
Sir, hu aapana forcast 2011 thi jov chhu je kheduto mate khubaj upayogi chhe
Thanks !
sir, Happy Raksha Bandhan to You and Your family.
Thanks & same wished to you and all GW followers !
Sir, rajkot district na upleta taluka ma 10 to 14 august ma bhare varsad avavani shakyata chhe k halva japta padse?
Zaapta
Sir 15 August thi 1 sep suthi weather kevu rahse.khas karine Arabian Sea ma machimar mate any idea about Arabian Sea weather
Samanya rite chomasu 15 September thi viday letu hoi chhe. Arabi Samudrama samanya rite 15 September pachhi Low Pressure ane evi System thati hoi chhe. Hu fakt ek week ni agahi apu chhu.
Sit avakhate badha agahi vara na pej kem nathi mukya hutamari web 2 cars thi jov chhu jam kambhalia vinjalpar
Aa vakhate badhani agahi ooplabdha nohati.
Sir aa air shor trough shu chhe? Je karnatak na dariyakinare to hoy j chhe ! To ae kevi system chhe je varsad aape chhe!
Ek post muki ne samjavish.
Sir tame west m.p ni najik na gujaratna bhagoma varsad ni sakyata lakhi chhe to amaro arvalli dist baju sakyata khari ?
Yes tamare shakyata chhe.
Nice job sir
Thanks.
we, at Junagadh, it has rained about 850mm…..till date…..
sir hu junaghed jila na kaj gam the lakhu su amare aheya atyare koy mota varsad ni jarur nathi japta pade se te barabar se ne sir hu aa varse tamari veb said ma jodai ne vatavaran ane aagahi pramane mari kheti nu kam kariyu se je khubaj upyogi thayu se to aa badel tamaro khub khub aabhar ane sir mahtvano varsad amone 10 divas pasi no rase kem ke amare vavni 15 jun na varsad ma theyeli se je aaktari kahvay pan pastara varsad dar varse nathi tata tenu nuksan jay se kem ke maru gam kaj dariyai pati… Read more »
Hu ek athavadiya ni agahi karu chhu etle pachhatara varsad ange tamone madad nahi kari shaku.
Low presser saurastra baju nahi aave te 100 taka paku? K tema ferfar thase?
Low pressure ma kai jor nathi etle paku chhe.
Sir;fresh low presser North gujrat baju avse? Ketla divas lage?…
Bay of Bengal nu Low Pressure Gujarat baju nahi ave.