Arabian Sea System To Give Good Rainfall For Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch – Update 19th June 2015

Current Weather Conditions on 19th June 2015

 

There has been above normal rainfall activity over many parts of Saurashtra & Gujarat. Kutch has got showers in few places but limited amounts. Some more areas have been covered on 17th June and 18th June.

There is an Off-shore monsoon trough that extends from South Gujarat to North Kerala coast.

The Low Pressure area over the North West Bay Of Bengal off the South Odisha coast had strengthened to a Well Marked Low Pressure area. Associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends up to 7.6 km above mean sea level tilting Southwestwards with height.

An East West trough at mean sea level runs from Northwest Rajasthan to North Madhya Pradesh, Odisha and the Center of Low Pressure over the Bay of Bengal & extends up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.

An Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over the Arabian Sea Southwest of Saurashtra coast and extends from 1.5 km to 4.5 km above mean sea level.

 

IMD 700 hPa Chart valid till 20th June 2015 @ 05.30 am. IST

 

24hgfs_700wind_190615

IMD 850 hPa Chart valid till 20th June 2015 @ 05.30 am. IST

 

24hgfs_850wind_190615

 

 

 

IMD MSLP Chart valid till 20th June 2015 @ 05.30 am. IST

 

24hgfs_mslp_190615

 

Wunderground GFS 925 hPa Chart Valid 20th June 2015

 

@ 1500 UTC ( 08.30 pm. IST)

GFS_925_190615

 

Wunderground ECMWF 925 hPa Chart Valid 20th June 2015

 

@ 1500 UTC ( 08.30 pm. IST)

ECMWF_925_190615

 

Forecast: 19th June to 21st June 2015

 

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch

The Bay of Bengal Well Marked Low Pressure could strengthen further during the next 24 hours.

The Arabian Sea Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation is expected to strengthen further and under its influence a Low Pressure area is expected to develope by 20th June evening over the same area.

Scattered good amounts of rainfall will continue over most parts of Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch during the forecast period with increase in coverage of rainfall on each day. Due to the change in location of the center of UAC/(Low Pressure as & when it develops) in the Arabian Sea, the rainfall amounts will vary by areas on different days.

Southwest Monsoon has been stand still over Veraval and Surat from 14th June onwards. Conditions are improving for onset of Monsoon over further parts of Saurashtra, South Gujarat & Central Gujarat and also parts of North Arabian Sea during next 72 hours.

 
 

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 19th June 2015

 

akila_190615

Weather Forecast In Sanj Samachar Daily Dated 19th June 2015

 

sanjsamachar_190615_120

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Yahya Shaikh
Yahya Shaikh
20/06/2015 11:43 am

Like last year, this year too the monsoon reached Veraval, Surat in gujarat and has stopped…

niteshvadaviya
niteshvadaviya
20/06/2015 11:24 am

Sir.amuk comment Mara mitro karta hoy chhe. Baki to tamari sathe 2varsh thi jodayelo chhu.avi nani nani babto ni temj auc.low.pavan no disha.wind ni disha.bhej. auc nu low nu depression nu deep nu cyclone ….aap ne teacher Manine abhyas karu chhu.jay shree guru dev…

piyush patel
piyush patel
20/06/2015 11:20 am

Sir cloud top imege 19-6 2:45 batave che.

zala ramsih
zala ramsih
20/06/2015 11:17 am

sir savrast mate varsad ni vadhare sakyta vali det aapone ? please

rekesh patel
rekesh patel
20/06/2015 11:05 am

Sri mare Gujrati opan thatu nathi menu opan thatu nathi sri pl…? Pahela bathu ok hatu Aa emel ok6

niteshvadaviya
niteshvadaviya
20/06/2015 10:38 am

Sir.aaj savar thi agni khuna mati pavan chalu thayo chhe atle ke dxin guj baju thi pavan aave chhe to te pavan chomasu pavan kahevay(morbi)

hiren
hiren
20/06/2015 10:32 am

Sir botad ma varasqd kyare avse

shailesh trambdia
shailesh trambdia
20/06/2015 9:38 am

Sir kolki ma varsad ni sambhavna kyare kya samye janava vinati

jatin koyani
jatin koyani
20/06/2015 9:21 am

sir color image jovi hoy to kevi rite jovani

krinal solanki
krinal solanki
20/06/2015 9:20 am

C.T.T. Image – Below -40 image kal savarthi update kem nathi ?

Jivabhai
Jivabhai
20/06/2015 9:19 am

Hju pavanni disha sw nthi..tya sudhi jamse nay

Raj
Raj
20/06/2015 9:13 am

Sri kutch.adipur ma vadada phoch ta phelaj vekhera i jaye che enu su karan

Faruk masani
20/06/2015 9:11 am

Sir Havaman vibhag ni bhare varsad ni mota bhag ni aagahi fail jay che tenu shu karan ?

Raj
Raj
20/06/2015 9:10 am

Sri kutch.adipur ma varsad kyare avse

Parth Patel
Parth Patel
20/06/2015 9:01 am

Sir, good Morning
Good rain falls in Mumbai… Same it … will be come sautastra? If yes.. How many days?

vishal ghodasara
vishal ghodasara
20/06/2015 8:55 am

arebian sea low pressure sauvrastra upper avvani shkyata khari?
k pachi “ashoba” ni jem oman baju jase

Jasmin Patel
Jasmin Patel
20/06/2015 8:43 am

Sir
Alnino ni su position chhe?

Raj
Raj
20/06/2015 8:32 am

Sir aje sourashtra ma saro varsad thay tevu vatavaran se

Kaushik
Kaushik
20/06/2015 8:01 am

Sir
Aj savarthi vatabarn saru se to low ni asar ajthi j salu thai jase?

chavda mayur
chavda mayur
20/06/2015 1:04 am

Sir veraval ma haji sudhi varshad thayo nathi tenu reason shu hoy sake? Pls ans

hemendra.r.solanki
hemendra.r.solanki
20/06/2015 12:40 am

sir.je bhaio ne setellite imege jova ma taklif hoy temne opera mini ma gujarat weather kholvanu kho. problam nahi aave.ok tnks.

gaurav raninga
gaurav raninga
19/06/2015 11:42 pm

Sir ,some agencies forecasting this low to move towards saurashtra coast after 21…..What’s your views on this?

Sureshbhai
Sureshbhai
19/06/2015 11:00 pm

Sir GFS 574 ma rainfall imegs ma pilo kalar vadli kalar ane lal kalar su batave she ane 20 40 70 aa aakda su batave she

hitesh patel
hitesh patel
19/06/2015 10:46 pm

Morbi Rajkot ma chomasu kyare jaamse sir

nikhil dhebar
nikhil dhebar
19/06/2015 10:40 pm

A very precise forecast .Hope it is proved so.

kishor patel
kishor patel
19/06/2015 10:17 pm

Thanks sir

bhavesh
bhavesh
19/06/2015 9:53 pm

Sir. Arabian sea in system Ghana divas salvani 6. ane teno saso labh saurashtra kutch.& Gujarat ne 25-26-27-28 June thase.

Jivabhai
Jivabhai
19/06/2015 9:51 pm

Sir low no track kai baju rese

Dhaval Mankad
Dhaval Mankad
19/06/2015 9:39 pm

Sir. I know you do short term forecast but do you see any chances of rainfall at ahmedabad in a day or two? (Though monsoon has not reached yet.)
I am observing since many days that the clouds always pass by ahmedabad.
why is it so?

chetansuthar
chetansuthar
19/06/2015 9:28 pm

Sir mahisagar gi ma bhare varsad kyare padse

piyush patel
piyush patel
19/06/2015 9:22 pm

Sir mara mobile mo setelait imege cloud top,wather waper ane colour imege mo juda juda time batave che ane te pan savare j time hato tej atyare che tenu su karan? Hu gujaratwather. ringroad wather rajkot jou chu.Pl.reply me

patel yogesh
patel yogesh
19/06/2015 9:18 pm

Sir north Gujarat no varo avse

ashok vala
ashok vala
19/06/2015 9:07 pm

sir. a sistam thi katha vistar ma andaje ketla inch sudhi varsad thai sake? ane andaje kai tarikh ma vadhu asar rahese?

mitesh kothiya
mitesh kothiya
19/06/2015 8:55 pm

Sar kanthana vistar daxin gujaratna k saurashtrana vistarni vaat kari che?

Javiya mahesh T.
Javiya mahesh T.
19/06/2015 8:36 pm

Sir arebin sistam ave to savarastra ma 3-4 inch no round avani skayata khara?

vivek
vivek
19/06/2015 8:32 pm

Jamngar jila ma kevu raheshe

tejabhai
tejabhai
19/06/2015 8:17 pm

tharadma kevo varasas thase?

Jagdis
Jagdis
19/06/2015 8:16 pm

Wonderground ma cyclone batave chhe te sachu chhee????

niteshvadaviya
niteshvadaviya
19/06/2015 7:58 pm

Sir aavti kale urban see ma low thse to morbi koru dhakod chhe morbi ma varshad ni skyta kevi ganvi.pls rpl

Rajnikant Faldu
Rajnikant Faldu
19/06/2015 7:45 pm

Sir, Arbima thanar low pressure saurashtra ma sarvtrik varsad apse ?

vipul
vipul
19/06/2015 7:36 pm

Arbi. UAC gujrat na katha thi ketla km dur chhe??sir

ashok nakiya
ashok nakiya
19/06/2015 7:28 pm

Lopresar surendranagar me lagupada se

sunil patel
sunil patel
19/06/2015 7:21 pm

sir saurashtra ma kal thi 3 thi 5 inch varsad padi sake ?

aaryan
19/06/2015 7:14 pm

Sir bhare varsad na chance???

vipul butani
vipul butani
19/06/2015 6:59 pm

Sir gujrati ma mahiti apo ne

N.S.Makhela
N.S.Makhela
19/06/2015 6:43 pm

Sir
Rajkot thi Jamnagar Ni vache
Kyare rain Aavse?

Hansraj Dhoriya
19/06/2015 6:25 pm

Kutch ma jordar garmi pawan no name nishan nhi.

Jagdis
Jagdis
19/06/2015 6:17 pm

Sir wonderground weather ma arabian sea ma cyclone thay em batave chhe

hardik
hardik
19/06/2015 6:10 pm

Sir tame su kehaya mago cho mane gujrati ma anuyad kare ne kaho

Jivabhai
Jivabhai
19/06/2015 6:08 pm

Sir low saurashtra thi sindh baju swing thase ?