Current Weather Conditions on 8th July 2016
The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat. 24.0°N/ Long. 60.0°E, Lat. 24.0°N/ Long. 70.0°E, Bhuj, Jodhpur, Phalodi and Lat. 28.0°N/ Long. 71.0°E.
Conditions are becoming favorable for further advance of Southwest Monsoon into remaining parts of Kutch and West Rajasthan by 12th/13th July.
The Well Marked Low Pressure area over Northeast Madhya Pradesh & neighborhood, weakened into a Low Pressure area and lies over the same area. The associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.
The trough at mean sea level now runs from Punjab to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal across Haryana, south Uttar Pradesh, Center of Low Pressure area, Jharkhand, Odisha and Northwest Bay of Bengal.
The off-shore trough at mean sea level runs from Karnataka coast to Kerala coast.
The Western Disturbance as UAC lies over Eastern parts of Jammu & Kashmir & neighborhood between 2.1 km & 3.6 km above mean sea level.
There is a UAC over Northwest Bay of Bengal & adjoining areas of Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Chhattisgarh & Vidarbha between 3.1 & 7.6 km above mean sea level.
Forecast: 9th July to 14th July 2016
The Depression System over Northeast Madhya Pradesh had weakened to a WMLP and subsequently to a Low Pressure over the same region with associated UAC up to 1.5 Kms. above sea level. There is another UAC over a very large area covering Northwest Bay of Bengal, Odisha, Gangetic West Bengal, Chhattisgarh & Vidarbha at 3.1 Kms & 7.6 Kms. above mean sea level. Both these will merge and gradually track Westwards. Main strength of UAC will be at 3.1 kms. upto 5.8 Kms.
Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 8th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC
Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 9th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC
Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 10th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC
Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch: 9th July to 14th July
Light, medium, heavy rainfall expected initially along Gujarat border areas and subsequently move inwards during the forecast period. The quantum of rainfall is System (UAC) dependent and would var from places to places. Saurashtra expected to get light, medium rainfall with isolated heavy rainfall during the forecast period. All areas of Saurashtra will have varying amount of rainfall and it is difficult to pin point specific areas since the expected rainfall is System dependent (UAC). Monsoon expected to cover the remaining areas of Kutch and so expected to get light to medium rainfall with isolated heavy rain. The quantity of rain will be completely variable. High speed winds from Arabian Sea will blow over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch during the forecast period. Cloudy weather expected on many days of forecast period.
Rain quantum over Gujarat will be higher than Saurashtra & Kutch.
There is some differences in the forecast location of 850 hPa UAC in Forecat maps of GSF & ECMWF as shown in respective maps valid for 11th July 0600 UTC.
Wunderground ECMWF 850 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 00 UTC Valid for 11th July 2016 @ 0600 UTC
Wunderground GFS 850 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 00 UTC Valid for 11th July 2016 @ 0600 UTC
Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 8th July 2016
(નોંધ: કચ્છ માટે સૌરાષ્ટ્ર મૂજબ ની આગાહી સમજવી )
Weather Forecast In Sanj Samachar Daily Dated 8th July 2016
Guideline for Comments:
1. Please post comment if you have a valid email address.
2. Read earlier comments and their reply before posting any comment.
3. Do not ask question about when the update will take place. Usually as and when deemed fit update will be given.
4. I do not forecast for long term, so do not ask for any forecast beyond 7 days.
5. Do not ask when it will rain in any city, town or village or city. Normally the forecast is given for broad areas of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat. However, for your information Multicity Wunderground Forecast link has been provided for various centers of Gujarat, Sayrashtra & Kutch.
6. All Comments will not be answered. Comments that is meant for larger audience is preferable and will be answered.
કમેન્ટ માટે માર્ગદર્શન:
1. ખરું ઈ મેઈલ એડ્રેસ હોઈ તો કમેન્ટ કરો.
2. આગળ સવાલો અને તેના જવાબ વાંચી ને તમારી કમેન્ટ કરો.
3. “અપડેટ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ કરવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે યોગ્ય લાગશે ત્યારે અપડેટ થશે.
4. હું લાંબા ગાળા ની આગાહી નથી કરતો માટે 7 દિવસ થી આગળ માટે આગાહી બાબત કમેન્ટ ના કરવી.
5. “મારા શહેર, કે ગામ માં વરસાદ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ પૂછવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ ના બહોળા વિસ્તારો ની આગાહી આપેલ હોઈ છે.
6. જે કમેન્ટ વધુ લોકો ને સ્પર્શતો હોઈ તે આવકાર્ય છે અને તેના યોગ્ય જવાબ મળશે. બધા કમેન્ટ નો જવાબ નહીં મળે.
સર સોમનાથ માં તેજ પવન સાથે વર્ષાદ ના વાવડ છે…
Ashokbhai
Aaje 10 am jamkhambhalia ma road palre evu japtu padiyu…pavan dhimo padio,bapharo vadhi gayo,vadado pan ghata thaya chhe…..
Any chances for good rain ?
Hadvo madhyam ni vaat chhe Saurashtra ma. Ekal dokal saro (bhare)
Dear Ashokbhai, What is the optimum height for clouds to rain heavily.
Ideal 3.1 Kms. Lower side 1.5 km. and higher side 5.8 Kms.
Sir, atyare kudrati rite varsad aavto nathi to kutrim varsad varsavi sakay tevu vatavaran chhe rajkot sahit saurastra ma.
Kudarat ne koi na ponche.
Kudarat Dam bhari shakey. Tankere Tankre bharaay ?
Sir, agahi che vadada che mahol che to pan varsad nathi Gujarat mate chintajanak sthiti che.
Dear sir,
Satellite image ma vadalo vikhay gaya 10:00 am??
vadada vikhata ane banta two three kalak thaay.
Sir….accuweather ma kale moti system batavta hta ..ane aje bov nani che ……system avse k nahi…sir pls
Sir amdavad ma aaje savar thi khub j vadad 6 pan varsad nathi thato gai kale 1 japtu padu to varsad kyare saro padse
9-14 date lakhel chhe… ek daivas ni dhiraj na hoi toe su thaay ?
Sir megraja kutch par kyare maherban thase
aagahi samay ma.
Dear sir
M. P. Vali system Gujarat ma Aavase ke kem
Gujarat ma Saro Varasad Thava na chance se ke nahi ema khas karine suarashtra ma
Saurashtra maate Gujarat karta ochhi matraa aagahi ma lakhel chhe.
Sir mahisagar district ma rain na chance che ?
Yes
Saurashtra ma halhvo thi madhyam varasad lakhel che te kadi thi chalu thase aja thiy se ke kal thi
aagahi samay ma shakyata chhe.
Sir
Saurastra ma ke o6o varsad pade 6
Anu karan su hoy sake?
Bhaugolik location ne hisabe.
Jam raval kalyanpur weather update kaladibang vadalo pan varsad nathi,
Good morning sir,
Imd na forecast ma 13 tarike heavy rain batave 6 saurashtra ma pan have bharoso aavto nathi karan ke vadado upar thi chalya jay 6 ane road pan bhinjata nathi chomasu saru thayu tyarnu aamaj chalya kare 6 varajo 40 varas no thai ne parane ema pela jevo umang na hoy to koy bharoso aave teva samachar aapo to tadhak thai
Thank for your excellent job
Bija koi vadhara na samachar nathi.
Sir
Shri lanka niche je be system bani chhe te monsoon ne negative affect kare chhe?
Ek System baney chhe je visuvrut thi Dakshine chhe… je vishuvru cross na kari shake aney Dakshin godardh ma jaay.
vadado te paike chhe mukhyatve.
Bhai kudarat ni karamat chhe aagahi aapva thi varsad thato hot to bhagavan pase koy jat j nahi.
Kudarat ne varsad varshavvo hase to aagahi karo suta hashe ane system bandhay jashe ane savare aagahi karo uthashe tya bar y megh varsadi het varshav ta hashe.
GOD IS GRAT
aapda sacha Agahi kar to bhagvan chhe.
Bus mitro prarthna karo meghraja jaldi aave.
Sir mslp ma 12 13 tarikh low batave che bay of bangal ma.Maro abhyas sacho che??ha k na.
Abhyas karo aney IMD declare kare ke 12/13 ma Low thayu toe sachu samjo.
Darek vachak mitro je kai jovey teno hu abhyaas na kari shaku.
Hi Ashok Bhai,
Ahmedabad Weather Update :-
Jordar japtu sanje. Sanje vadado khubj saras rite gherayata jordar vadado nahi but aacha ane ghhatta vadado ni saras chadar jevu 1k ras aakash thai gayu hatu. Lagbhag 1kad kalak aavu vatavaran rahyu pachi jordar entry thai hati like june type typical monsoon rain but surprising k koi gajvij noti 🙂
Thanks.
Sir,
Central gujarat ma varsad aavsa…..
Yes
Sir bangal valu anr mp valu banne uac sathe thai gays??have te kai baju gati karse aevu lage 6??
aagahi ma naksha aapel chhe … tema kai baju jaay chhe te batavel chhe.
Sir have sara varsad ni rah ketalik jovi padashe ?
Sara varsad ni vaat nathi kari.
Saurashtra hadvo ane Madhyam varsad ane ekal dokal saro (bhare)
jsk. Sir. Chomasu rekha aaje kai kai jagyaae thi pass thay chhe ???
The trough at mean sea level from Punjab to eastcentral Bay of Bengal across south Haryana,
north Madhya Pradesh, north Chhattisgarh, north Odisha and northwest Bay of Bengal persists.
Chomasu dhari ni aveji.
Axis of monsoon ni position kyare jova made? Kya chart ma?Axis of monsoon no kyo path saurashtra/Gujarat mate vadhu faydakarak hoy?
The trough at mean sea level from Punjab to eastcentral Bay of Bengal across south Haryana,
north Madhya Pradesh, north Chhattisgarh, north Odisha and northwest Bay of Bengal persists.
Axxix of Monsoon ni aveji.
Sir really bafaro bahuj che any chance to good rain in sabarkatha ?
Yes shakyata chhe.
Sir. Atyare M.P ma je system chhe te low chhe k UAC ? Ane te atyare purv m.p ..ma chhe?
Atyare UAC chhe je bahoda vistar ma chhe. Samgra M.P., Chhatishgarh, Odisha, Maharashtra ane lagu Gujarat sudhi.
700 hPA ma.
850 hPa ma Central M.P. ma
500 hPa 700 hPa thi thodu Dakshine.
took ma badha levele UAC chhe je tilting southwards with height chhe.
हवामान मे भेज कितना % हैं
Forecast ke dahiney current weather ka sticker hey dekh lo !
Dear ashok Bhai,
Atyare etv news & sandesh news ma daxin Gujarat ma atibhare varsad ni aagahi Kahe che ane kalectore head quarter no chodvano aadesh apyo che to aa daxin Gujarat ma kyo varsad aavse? Ke pachi news vala Havana goli bar kare che?
Tamarey nakki karvanu chhe.
Scattered light rainfall observed at many places in Ahmedabad. Wind 0km/hr since two hours.
Gujarat is currently d most rain deficit pocket in d entire country.
Rains r needed, badly.
Hope for d best in coming 2 days !
Rajkot-jetpur-junagadh-mendrda-keshod aa side varo aay jay to saru hve….manday che avto nth
Sir cola image ma je kalo ane laal colour batavr tya bhare varsad pade?????
MAp na right corner (jamana khuney) alag alag color maate ketlo varsad te batavel chhe. je mm. ma chhe.
Sir aa system gujrat karta rajshatan ne vadhare asar kar se teyu accuweather na map ma jota lage se reply pls
Hu darek website nu confirmation na aapi shaku.
tamoe abhyas karel hoi… je samjya te thaay etle samajvu barobar chhe.
Ashok bhai aa saurastra ma jordar pavan fukay che to varsad avama kai asar thai sake ..
Pavano raheshe haju. Jovo su haay chhe.
SIR IMD VARA GUJARATMA WS ANE SURASTRAMA S.C.T LAKHE CHE KYAY CHATOY PADTO NATHI
Ghata vadlo surat upar 6 pan varsad nathi avto…koi varsad ave to comment karjo bhai
13 July e final rajkot ma varsaad che
Sir aa je vatavaran ma ferfar 6e te mp vala lp nu 6e ane kadach tenathi varsad padse but my question about south west monsoon. When he active on gujarat.
Last year pan monsoon deactive j rahyu hatu je varsad thayo hato te arebian sea valu lp ane bob lp thi j thayo hato so this year will same situation ?
Saurashtra & Kutch ma lagbhag avi System na varsad aavata hoi chhe.
Dakshin Gujarat ane Konkan karnataka ane Kerla ma Off-shore trough shakriya hoi etle avey.
General matraa bija karta Saurashtra & Kutch ma ochho hoi chhe desh na bija bhago karta.
Sir Gujrat par vadla bahuj che pan chanta pan padta nathi atle vadla uncha che ?
Ooncha ane medium pan chhe.
મુરબ્બી શ્રી અશોકભાઈ,
છેલ્લા કેટલાય સમયથી ઘટાટોપ વાદળો પસાર થાય છે, હવામાં ભેજ નું પ્રમાણ પણ જણાય છે. તો પણ માત્ર મેઘાડંબર…… આવું વાતાવરણ હોવા છતાં વરસાદ નથી પડતો…. શું કારણ હોય શકે..?
aapade gaamthi bhasha ma pashu dhan maate kahiye chhiye ke “parho mukey toe thai” !
Badha mitro ne khas vinanti ke system Na vadado Gujarat upper hoey je pan vistar ma varasad pade to post dwaraa janavo jethi bija mitrone khabar padey.
good news sir aabhar sir gaya varse pan varsad nathi joyo aa varas no pan varsad nathi 2 varas thi dhodh mar varsad joyo j nathi su aavnari sistem no varsad surendranagar ma dhodh mar padi sake??? vavani nathi thay
Gujarat karta Saurashtra ma varsad ochho chhe aa round ma.
ગુજરાત ઉપર વાદળા નો સમૂહ તો દેખાયે છે તે શુ છેimd red ma
Te tamo kaho te pramane vadada chhe.
Sir,
Gujarat ma alnino ni asar ne karane varsad ochho chhe……ane alnino ni asar ketlo samay rahe chhe.
Gujarat na varsad ane EL Nino ne sabhandh hoi tevi koi research haju sudhi joiy nathi.
Amdavad ma savar thi vadad 6 to su varsad ni taiyari samajvi
Yes.
Sir sourastra upar thi funkata aa tej ane bhej vala pavno any one sistam ne majbut banavase ane tene sourastra-kucha taraf khenchi lavse jethi forcast piread ma ane tena pachina divso ma soura-kucha ma varsad nu jor vadhu rese tevu lage che .pls.ans.sir
Lakhel chhe te tamaru anooman chhe….. pl. ans. sir. su chhe ?
marey je kahevanu hatu te kahel chhe.
Sar 11 thi savrast ma varsad saru thase pan nadi talav bharay tevi sakyata chhe dhrol taluko Sumra gam
Nadi tadav ni vaat karta pahela…. vavel chhe tene bachey ane baaki rahi gayel ne vavani toe thava dio !
Dear ashok Bhai,
Atyare satellites image ma jota evu lage che me mp valu low ane vadlo no jatho Ahmadabad upar aavto hoy tevu lage che.
Today atmospheare change in sabarkatha…
Saurastra ma to khub j pavan fukai chhe hal ma vadado chhe pn lagtu nthi k varsad aave aasha rakhu k pavan pde n varsad aave
Junagadh ma to khub j pavan che zarmar zarmar ek be var avel