Weather Conditions on 8th September 2017
The Axis of Monsoon trough at mean sea level now passes through Jammu, Patiyala, Meerut, Gorakhpur, Muzaffarpur, Purnea and thence towards East Assam through Sub-Himalayan West Bengal.
There is a North South trough from Madhya Maharashtra to South Tamilnadu accross Karnataka and extends up to 0.75 km above mean sea level with an embedded UAC over Madhya Maharshtra & neighborhood at 1.5 km above mean sea level.
The East West shear zone now runs roughly along latitude 8.0°N between 3.1 & 5.8 km above mean sea level
There is an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Southern Bay of Bengal & neighborhood between 0.75 km to 5.8 km above mean sea level.
Forecast: Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch
11th to 17th September 2017
Under the influence of various weather parameters expected to play out during the forecast period:
60% areas of Saurashtra & Gujarat expected get on different days scattered showers/light or medium rain with isolated heavy rain during the forecast period cumulative quantum 4 cm. to 8 cm. (40 mm. to 80 mm). Isolated centers could get more than 80 mm rainfall.
Most parts of Kutch & rest of Saurashtra & Gujarat expected get on different days scattered showers/light rain with isolated medium rain during the forecast period cumulative quantum between 2 cm. to 4 cm. (20 mm to 40 mm).
Note: There is a very big difference of quantum of rain between various forecast models.
આગાહી: સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, કચ્છ અને ગુજરાત
11 થી 17 સપ્ટેમ્બર 2017
આગાહી સમય માં અલગ અલગ પરિબળો ની સંયુક્ત અસર હેઠળ:
60% સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત માં અલગ અલગ દિવસે છુટા છવાયા ઝાપટા /હળવો-મધ્યમ વરસાદ અને કોઈ કોઈ જગ્યાએ ભારે વરસાદ ની શક્યતા છે જેની કુલ માત્રા 4 સેમી થી 8 સેમી. (40 થી 80 મીલીમીટર) સુધી. કોઈ કોઈ જગ્યાએ 80 મીલીમીટર થી વધુ ની શક્યતા છે.
કચ્છ ના મહત્તમ ભાગો તથા બાકી ના સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત ના ભાગો માં અલગ અલગ દિવસે છુટા છવાયા ઝાપટા /હળવો વરસાદ અને કોઈ કોઈ જગ્યાએ મધ્યમ વરસાદની શક્યતા છે જેની કુલ માત્રા 2 સેમી થી 4 સેમી (20 થી 40 મીલીમીટર ) સુધી.
નોંધ: અલગ અલગ ફોરકાસ્ટ મોડલ વચ્ચે માત્રા માં બહુ મોટો તફાવત છે.
Caution:
Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.
સાવચેતી:
સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.
Vadodara ane Bharuch vache thunderstorm che.
Sir, windy ECMWF pramane 14/9 ane 15/9 aaspas bob ma west Bengal niche system bane chhe. Je 16/9 orrisa na tat pase dekhai chhe.17 ane 18 tarikhe Nagpur niche dekhai chhe.e samaye mumbai ma jordar varsad batave chhe. Windy gfs pramane 18 tarikhe m.p. ma batave chhe. Gfs ma system west bangal ma bani hoy evu lage chhe, bob mathi banti dekhati nathi Bey model ma saro varsad batave chhe 18 tarikhe m.p. , maharashtra ane south gujarat ma Sorry sir, Apne hal ni system nu rakholu rakhvu joi pan Cola second week ma saro varsad batave chhe etla mate… Read more »
Sir
Navratri ma kheduto NE bumper offers Aapjo. 4 thi 5 inch ni
Je mitro a WhatsApp grup bnavu hoy te potano contact no. post kare jethi bija mitro grup ma jodai sake. Please
Mara gaam kava , ta- idar, di.s.k.
Ma jordar varsadi zaptu At 5-00 p.m.
To 5-30 p.m.
Surat ma 3:45 thi bhare varsad mota chhata no vijdi Na kadaka sathe 4:30 sudhi ane tyar pachi haju medium varsad chalu che.. area pramane khaso farak hashe..
Sir surat ma saro varsad saru 4.30 pm thi haju saru j se
Surat ane bharuch na vistaro ma lighting report brave che to aaj thi saru new round varsad no
Sir saurashtma paavnni gati keetliraheshe
Mahiti chokkas thaay etle post karish.
Thanks sir
Surat Na varachha vistar ma mandani varsad.vadla Ni sal uttar thi dakshin….. Andaje 0!! Inc
Sir navratri bagade tema shu taklif chhe ghana mitro ne ? ghana kheduto nu varsh bagde tena karta navaratri bagade te saru…
Bhai sawal navratri no nathi.
Varsad ave ne kheduto ne faydo thay e sauthi sari vaat chhe.
Pan atibhare varsad ne vavajoda ne poor thi koino faydo thato nathi.
Uparthi sauthi vadhu jaan maal nu nuksan kheduto ne garibo ne j thay chhe.
Ne aa varse akha desh ma samanya karta gano j saro varsad thayo chhe.
Sir cola chart jovani site btavone
Ahi Menu ma Ashok Patel’s Forecast aapel chhe teni niche “Weather Forecast Website” chhe tema COLA sahit badho khajano chhe.
Tamone lagu padeu chhe em hu kaheto nathi…tem chhata….(Jo aatli sarad vaat tamo na samji shako toe raheva dejo… mahenat na karta !)
Sir Surat ma to aje CB cloud banya che …
Sir varasad sado hase ke gaj vij sathe
Fix karyakram na hoy. Pahela vijadi thunder hoy pachhi thaki jaay etle mungo thai jaay varsad… avu bantu hoy chhe.
Chotila ma keteli matera aaves
Sir,
Aa second week COLA ne su thai gyu chhe?
Atlo bhare rain batave chhe.
Monsoon withdrawal na time e.
COLA divas ma 2 var badlay e vaat sachi pan atlo heavy rain monsoon na end phase ma batave evi system kyathi banva lagi.
CHomasu puru thatu hoy tyare Low Pressure aney Vavazoda bana hoy chhe.
Aa jota to Navratri bagdi sake chhe.
Jayant Sarkar to kale tv9 ma kehta hata k koi chance nathi navratri ma varsad na and have Gujarat ma heavy rain ni possibility pan nathi. Light to moderate rain hase ne aa COLA to ati bhare laine avyu.
COLA aaj kaal ma badlai jay evi prabhu ne prathana.
Dar tran varshe ek Navratri ne Varsadi vighna lagu padey karan ke te Navratri September 21/25 aaspaas chalu thati hoy chhe.
IMD ma 10divas nu pan forecast hoy chhe.
CPC ma pan week 2 hoy chhe.
Sir.
Last year Navratri kadach 1 October thi start thai hati.
To pan pehla 4 norta ma to bau j bhare varsad hato and navratri bagdi hati.
Ne aa vakhte pan atla varsad baad chomasu javanu name letu nathi to September end sudhi to varsad ni possibility nakari sakay nai.
Haal to 17 September sudhi tamari agahi chhe j joie agad su thay chhe.
Ek vaat ma bhul thay chhe.
mari koi pan aagahi start aney end date etle System avi aney puri thai em nathi hoti.
Koi ek samay maate aapel hoy. Te darmiyan ni position aapel hoy. 17 tarikhe varsad thashe ke nahi thay ke vadhshe evu kai kahel nathi.
to sir aap pan mani rahya chho ne ke 16 thi 22 sep na gala ma gujrat ma varsad jordar hase
Koi pan Week 2 forecast fakt shakyata samajvi.
Psvim na pvn ni Jan kari બદલ થેંન્કયું સર
Chomacu ketlo Time Baki 6
Rajasthan ma chomasu viday liye pachhi Kutch ane Pachhi Saurashtra aney North Gujarat.
Sir 16 ni Aaju Baju mumbai upar UAC jevu dekhay che ne 2 week cola pan full pojitive thaya che…..
To vatavaran 16 pachi pan sudhartu rahe kadas tamaru chu kehvanu che..?
Ane 2 week cola batave evu to no thay toe saru nakar bav Aati bhare batave Aatyare to
Sir COLA na bija week ma saru batave che haju sara varsad na chans che Navratri ma mara jova mujab
Thanks sir for new updet and good work
Thank you for new update, sir
Sir dariya pati ma varsad nu praman kevu rahse ???
Sir…dt 17 pachi pan vatavarn saru rehse. Mane avu lage che…barabr? ?
Thanks sir.
Sir
Aa varsad na Round ma south Gujarat,Ane saurastra karata kutchh Ane utter Gujarat ma varsad nu praman ochhu Rahese,maru Anuman barobar chhe?
Sir,
Thunderclouds na development vishe forecast hoy chhe?
Jem rain intensity vishe agahi kari sakay tem thunderstorm/thundershower ni intensity vishe agahi thai sake?
Varshe duniya ma Karodo Lightning thay chhe
Thanks sir new update aapava badal
Sar As raund jasdan vishtar ma shans6 keva se ,,,
Thanks sir
Sir bhadarva mahina ma tadko vadhare padvanu su karan che?
Te manyata khoti chhe.
September/October ma 30 divas tadaka padey
Admin je loko hoy te plz number muko
Sir jamnagar taluk kana Satapar,Vansjaliya, tarsai, sakhpur,taja taha Rana khirsra ,devda aa gamoma varsad bilkul ocho Che nadioma Pani Nathi avya as dushkad ma Ave ke nai Porbandar ,ranavav ma pan ocho varsad che
Bije vadhu varsad thayo chhe etle pet ma dukhey chhe ?
Baaki Jamnagar District ma 100 % thi vadhu varsad thayo chhe ne nabada ma nabadu Lalpur rahyu chhe .. jyan 24 inch je 89% chhe.
Nadi nada ma paani nathi te j vandho chhe.
Paani ne dariya ma jaatu rokvu joiye… badha em kahe marey shu… etle aa halat chhe !
Thank you for new update, sir
Dwarka ma varsad have padse sar palese reply
Good news ashok sir
Sr svrashtr Na kheduto ni avi manyta chhe ke psvim thi purv trf pvno jata hoy chhe ત્યારે મસ મોટા ghta top વાદળા ને વિખેરી નાખતા હોય છે અને ખેડુતો વરસાદ થી વંચીત રહી જતાહોય છે એ પવનમાં તો એવુ શુ છે એ પવન માટે વિજ્ઞાન નુ શું કહેવાનું થાય છે જ્યારે પશ્ચિમ ના પવનો વતા હોય છે ત્યારે ખેડુતો વરસાદ ની આશા છોડી દેતા હોય છે
Aapadu chomasu chhe tenu naam Daksin Pashchim chhe… tame j nakki karo.
Thanks sir Sara samachar chhe. Thodi pavan ni gati vishe mahiti aapjo sir date.11 thi 17 ma Kevi rahe chhe.
Sir saky hoy to 12 Tarikh aju Baju nvi apdet aapva vinanti…..Karan aj ke vividh forkast modal ni varsad ni Matra ma moto tafavat se te Samantar thay se k ny.
Hi Ashok Bhai,
Thank you. Good news 🙂
Chlo kaik to aavse. Haro varsad no intjar lambo hoy che ane jyare aave che tyar pchi divso jldi pura thai jay che.
Good news sir
Good news sr thenkiu jamkaliyanpur taluka ma kevo andaj Kari sakay dist_devbhumi Dwarka
Sir Wonder ground ma kutiyana kem nathi batavatu?
Porbandar joiy liyo
Good .
Sir dwarka kachh baju praman kevu rahese sar javab apone pliz
Kyan kevu raheshe ne badale varsad avavano chhe etlu kafi chhe.
Baaki aagahi ma lkhyu chhe Kutch maate te vancho.
Jayant sarkar to kidhu chomasu viday le che 11 thi 13 thodo varsad aavse
Puri vigat vagar kai kaam nu nahi.
Sir,
Aa varsad koi system no hase ke local….?
Gujarati ma lakhel chhe aagahi ma.
Thank sir chhela 5 divas thi aamni pachhad mathata hata man no boj hadvo karnari update.
Ghana mitro ne haju Whatsapp Group ma join thavu chhe.
Toe je Group chalta hoy tena Admin ahi phone number aney Group nu naam ahi post kare jethi join karva vada contact karey.
Ahi Admin shivay na phome number prasiddh nahi thaay, etle join thavu hoy te direct Admin ne contact karey.
Sir
Good news.. 60% Vistar ma saurashtra na Bhavngar amreli junagadh botad no dhasa Vistar ma varsad 40/80mm padshe.