Current Weather Conditions on 8th June 2019
આજે 8 જૂન 2019 ના કેરળ માં વિધિવત ચોમાસુ બેઠું. Monsoon Sets In Over Kerala Today the 8th June 2019
નીચે આપેલ 2 પાના નું IMD પ્રેસ રિલિઝ ડોક્યુમેન્ટ છે. પેજ અપ અને પેજ ડાઉન કરવા માટે પાના માં ડાબી બાજુ નીચે એરો ક્લિક કરો.
Here below is a 2 page IMD Press Release Document. Click Page Up Down arrows at the bottom left corner on the Document page to read all the pages.
20190608_pr_485The Maximum Temperature yesterday increased over large areas of Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch. The Hot Centers all were above 44.0 C
As per IMD:
In view of the enhanced cloudiness, strengthening of westerlies and persistent cyclonic circulation in lower & mid-tropospheric levels over Lakshadweep area and neighbouhood, the southwest monsoon has further advanced into some more parts of south Arabian Sea, most parts of Lakshadweep area , some parts of Kerala & south Tamilnadu, remaining parts of Maldives – Comorin area, some more parts of southwest, southeast & Eastcentral Bay of Bengal and some parts of northeast Bay of Bengal. Thus the southwest monsoon has set in over Kerala, today, the 8th June 2019.
Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) passes through Lat. 11°N/Long. 60°E, Lat. 11°N/Long. 70°E, Amini Divi, Kochi, Madurai, Lat. 11°N/Long. 86°E, Lat.
16°N/Long. 91°E and Lat. 20°N/Long. 94°E.
Conditions are favorable for further advance of Southwest Monsoon into remaining parts of South Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep area & Kerala, some more parts of Tamilnadu, southwest, southeast, east-central & northeast Bay of Bengal and some parts of central Arabian Sea and west-central Bay of Bengal during next 48 hours.
Conditions are also becoming favorable for advance of southwest monsoon into some parts of Northeastern states during the same period.
The east-west shear zone now runs roughly along Lat. 11°N between 2.1 & 3.1 km above mean sea level across extreme South peninsula.
The off shore trough from south Maharashtra coast to Kerala coast persists.
The Cyclonic Circulation over Southeast Arabian Sea & adjoining Lakshadweep area off North Kerala coast now lies over Lakshadweep area & adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea extending up to 4.5 km above mean sea level. Under its influence, a low pressure area is very likely to form over Southeast and adjoining Eastcentral Arabian Sea during next 48 hours. It is likely to move North-Northwestwards and intensify gradually.
સૌથી ઉપર ની લીલી લીટી ના છેડે જે તારીખ હોઈ તે તારીખે લીટી ની નીચે ના ભાગ માં બધે ચોમાસું પોંચી ગયું છે તેમ સમજવું.
લાલ ત્રુટક લીટી જે તે વિસ્તાર માં નોર્મલ ચોમાસું બેસવાની તારીખ દર્શાવે છે
The date shown at the end of green line shows that the Southwest Monsoon has set in over areas below the green line on that date.
The red dashed line shows the normal date of onset of Southwest Monsoon over various regions
Forecast 8th June to 13th June 2019
For Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch – Potential Low Pressure System Over SE Araian Sea.
The Upper Cyclonic Circulation over Southeast Arabian Sea extends up to 4.5 km. above mean sea level. This potential System is being monitored as 93A.INVEST. Location at noon was Lat. 9.6N & Long. 72.5N. Under the influence of this UAC, a Low Pressure area is expected to develop in the next 24 hours. There is a differing outcome in forecast track by the two main Forecast Models ECMWF and GFS, although both show that the Low Pressure will gain strength in the up coming days. Windy Map of the potential System is shows the outcome on 13th June morning, both for ECMWF and GFS. Further update will be given on Monday the 10th June 2019. Pre-monsoon activity could occur over South Gujarat and Coastal Saurashtra during the later parts of forecast period. Temperature over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch is expected to remain high but with marginal decline. Humidity will increase during the forecast period.
NRL IR Satellite Image of 93A.INVEST ( Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation) on 8th June 2019 @1130 UTC
WINDY- GFS for 13th June 2019 @ 06.00 am.
WINDY-ECMWF for 13th June 2019 @ 06.00 am.
Caution: Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC/Government Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.
સાવચેતી:સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.
વાંચવા માટે ઇમેજ ક્લીક કરો – Click Image for reading
વાંચવા માટે ઇમેજ ક્લીક કરો – Click Image for reading
Sir, Amreli ni dariya pati ma sans keva?
Dariya pati Etle Ketla k.m vistar keyvay?
Map ma jovo tamo kyan chho. Normally 25/30 km dariya paati samjo.
સર તમો ક્યારે કહેશો કે અરબીસમુદ્ર વાળી સિસ્ટમ થી પશ્ચિમ સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ના દરીયાય પટી મા વરસાદ થશે.plz ans
Haal Forecast model Kahe j chhe.
Hu 6 kalke ke 12 kalake update na aapi shaku.
Kora ma kapasiya shopavathi ugavo bahu saro ave ane kharcha pan ochu ave
Sir north Gujarat ma varsad thse?
Windy ma jovo
Sir rain accumulation ma jota upleta
dat 12. Thi15 sudhima 0.24&4.8 1.8 aa akada mm ma batave che te ma ferfar thato hoy che ke nahi aa mm samjatu nathi 4.8 mm ketla
Haju choksay karo and shu jovo chho
Right hand corner ma vigat hoy chhe.
દખણા આવે મેઘ તો ડુંગરે ડોબાં પાણી પીવે
Sir have bey balad AK dusariye juti Gaya
Sir aa varasadi system che ke vavajodu finally samjavo and vavajodu che to aani speed su hoy sake
Haal te Low Pressure chhe.
Jsk. Sir. Sir Amaru gaam SIDSAR Taluko JAMJODHPUR nu Location ketala ” N ” ane ketala ” E ” Oopar aave ?? Plz Sir Batavva vinanti .
Koi pan ne tenu location joiytu hoy te Google ne kahe
Gaam nu Lat and Long….Dakhala trikhe SIdsar lat long…. evu Google ne puchho
Sir kyarey avu bane ke Mumbai ma chomasu dikler na thayu hoy ne gujrat ma thai jay dikler
evu mari knowledge ma nathi.
Continue line dori shakay ee ritey declare thay.
sir topical titbits ma 921 lowest pressure batave che to a fani karta bhi bhayanak hoi shake ??
Te pressure ganu nichu kahevay.
sir , bhavnagar kantha ma system kevi asar kari sake.
Windy ma andaj karo
Sir have time sort j rahyo to track ma haju moto ferfar thay sake ke pasi aaj track mujab hale. Badha modelo atane sapine kam kare se.
Saru kahevaay.
6 kalke and 12 kalake naakaa varo !!
Sir
Chitra clear thayu 6e bas tamari update ni rah chhe
Sir keshod na ghed na gamone Coastal area gani sakay ?
Yes
Gfs and ecmwf bane update thay gaya ecmwf ma sudharo thayo rain accumulation saru batave che pan ecmwf 700hpa ma bhej ocho batave che. to sir bija level na bhej thi pan varsad saro thai sake?
Varsad maate main 700 hPa, 850 hPa and System hoy 500 hPa
Atyare jota saurastra ma bov varsad thai tevu lage che khedut bhai yo mate khus khabar
સર સાબરકાંઠા મોં પ્રિ મોનસૂન વરસાદ કયારે ચાલુ થશે ?
અહીં ગરમી બહુ જ છે
ઈડર, વડાલી, વિજયનગર, બાજુ
45.0
12 aaspaas
Saheb vavazoda ni shakyta ketli 6 ane Kyra thi aavse
Aagala commnet na jawab vancho.
Ketla pressure hoy toe shu teno andaj aapel chhe
આભાર સર
અરબ વાળી સિસ્ટમ તારીખ 11 પછી મજબૂત થતી બતાવાય રહી છે અને ગુજરાત બાજુ આવતી દેખાઈ રહી છે આપની આગામી અપડેટ માટે આતુર
Sir g…in windy … system is shifting to Pakistan…then wat is your short term forcaste…does it give rain to Gujarat or just pre monsoon activity only???
Check windy Rain Accumulation for both the models
Chotila tangadh khas karine muli talokama hamesa osho varsad pade se teno so rijan hoy sake
Muli ma gai sal ohho varsad hato.
Dar varshe evu na hoy.
Sir,
Will Jamnagar get The Benefit of This System or Not?
if yes than how many days will get Rainfall for Jamnagar.
I have given forecast. If you want to get more details please use windy.com and get idea about it.
People are learning by themselves here.
Sir Aje bapor pasi ame pan kapas Kora ma mukva na chiye
Amare VISAVADAR baju kadach vadhare chance hoy evu lage se
Aa system ma vavni layak varsaad thay to vavni karay k chomasu bese tya sudhi raah jovay
Vavani layak varsad thay toe Vavani karvi ke nahi te Khedut nirnay liye.
GHana kora ma kapasiya ni vatu pan karva mandya chhe.
Lachari chhe… varsad thay pachhi vavani ma kharch bahu vadhu lage chhe.
Sir windy ecmwf ma 700 hPa ma rain thunder ma jota 0.5 mm sudhi batave chhe ane GFS model ma 35mm sudhi varsad ni matra batave chhe ane to vadhare kya model ne sachu manvu Plz ans. Sir
tunka time ma GFS and long time ma ECMWF.
Baaki aaj na badha fari comment vancho
Ashok sir, with this new system of Arabian sea, till what area the SWM will be covered/reach? Also, whether any benefit to Mah coast i.e. Mumbai & South Gujarat due to this system? Pls guide.
Karnataka Coast will get rain. Maharashtra coast light rain.
Monsoon coverage cannot be piece meal. It has to be continuous.
System tracking mainly Northerly direction.
Yup monsoon coverage is not piecemeal. My query is this system is expected to help the monsoon cover ground in areas where its behind schedule. So whether toll what area will overall broad monsoon coverage reach due to system?
Expecting for Karnataka
Sir aaje system ne joy ne kora ma kapas vavi didho che
Kyu gaam ?
Jasdan
Sir aapne nsibdar chhie Karan ke chomasani paheli system aapana taraf aavi Rahi chhe.
Sir jo a system no labh mle.. To labh ni dates su hoy sake
12th to 15th
Sir dwarka ma vavajoda ni sakyata khari?
System haal Pashchim Saurashtra baju aavey tevu forecast ma chhe… Dwarka Pashchim Saurashtra ganay.
Sir namaste sir ecmwfs ane gfs banne model rain ma moto tafavat batave chhe to tamara mat mujab kya model par viswas kari sakay ?
Location ma ECMWF and Rain ma Long range ma ECMWF and short range ma GFS saru
Sr nmste aa sistam no abhiyash karta aevu lage chhe ke Saurastana driya pti vistar ane kutch ne puskal faydo thase jo aa sistam vavajoda ma fervay jase to pelaj varsade nand dher Aanand bhyo
સર હવે કિડ્યું ચળે છે 12 તારીખ જલ્દી આવે
SirvAa sistam thi monasoon ni gati ma avarodh avashe k normal raheshe?
Aa System thi Saurashtra/Kutch/Gujarat ne Varsad thaay evu chhe.
Chomasu besvu judi vaat chhe.
Cola ma colour a aavyo first week ma
Lage che ke system vadhu majboot bani ne cyclone ma fervashe…
Costal aeriya atle su thay
Kanthana vistaro
Dwark probandar patta ne kadach lotry lagi jay
સારું ગયા વરસે કોરું હતું
સર,
કોલા પહેલા અઠવાડિયામાં વરસાદ બતાવે એટલે પાક્કું સમજી લેવાનું ?
Week one ma batave chhe aaje COLA
Sir system Gujrat pase thi pasar thay e to naki che pan teno faaydo kelok malse haje bhadha modal ma ferfar thay saki amuk modal ma 22 mm varsad batvi che
Sir aa sistam Gujarat najik aave se to uttargujarat ne varsad no llabh male
System kyan ketlo varsad aape te pan joiy shakay.
jovo windy ma. jovo rain accumulation.
Sir system Gujarat najik aavse pan varsad surendranagar rajkot ma ochho padse evu lage che
Model dhire dhire najik najik set thay rahiya se. System surastra costal sudhi aavi jase.. Costal area ne labh malse. Ane bija area na ts no labh mali sake. West surastra/kutch ne saro labh male tevu hal badha model par thi delhay se.. Moto ferfar na thay to.
Sir…
Low pressure ne
Dipresson k dip dipresson bane te kya joyi sakay windy ma
Pressure 1000 mb hoy Depression and 996 etle Vavazodu… andaje
Sir arbi ni system gujarat najik thi pasar thay che pan system no most of south west part to dariya ma rey che to varsad no labh gujarat ne to nahi male ne ??
Forecast model ma Varasd ni maatra pan aape chhe. Joiy levanu.
Varsad ni matra Babat GFS Vadhu che ne Ecmwfc Ma matra Osi che etale Banne No vachlo rashto nikde Joke Matra babat aagla Varash ma GFS ma vadhu Sasu pdu tu Evu mane lage.
Sir have badha modal ma Saurashtra mate varsad 6 have paku Gani sakay please ans..
Model kye ee sachu. Pan 6 kalake badle em samjo
વિદ્યાર્થીઓ તૉ ગુરુ કરતા પણ આગળ નીકળી ગયા #વાયુ # નામ ય આપી દીધું અને કચ્છ અને દક્ષિણ સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ને અસર કરશે એવા ફોટા સહિત ના મેસેજ ફરવા લાગ્યા
Ramakada ghere ghere chhe… Aapadey raaji ke Sau daya damara thai ne ramya rakhe chhe… Aakhare Kheduto ne jagrutta vadhi te saru chhe.
Aapado aashay em chhe ke Gujarat ma 100 aagahi karo hova joiye etle Weather ni mahiti vadhu vishvashniya madi rahe.
Pan e 100 aagahikaro pn sachi ane ek sarkhi aagahi kre eva hova joi nakar pchi aakha desh ne gotade chadavse
Atyar sudhi aapade je mahiti par nirbhar hata tenathi zadapi mahiti uplabdh thava mandi chhe. Aa badhi babat andaj samjaay. Pahela aandhrukiya korama vavata… havey thodu vadhu mahiti thi yogya nirnay lai shakay ne?
Ghere ghere aagahikaro hoy aapadi jaate nakki kari levanu. Ramakada toe chhe!
સાહેબ શ્રી, ખેડૂતો માં જાગૃકતા આવી તે સાચી વાત છે પણ તેમાં સિંહ ફાળો તમારો છે…
બાકી, કહેવત છે ને કે…
અધુરીયો ઘડો છલકાય ઘણો…
Maru kaam jagrutta and Khedut ne bija par nirbhar na rahevu padey te chhe. Technology uplabdh chhe teno upyog faydakar ritey karo.
તમે જે રીતે જાગૃકતા ફેલાવો છો તે સર્વ શ્રેષ્ટ છે..
પરંતુ જે લોકો તમારી માસે શીખી માહિતી એકત્રિત કરી અધકચરી ફાવટ આવી ગયી હોય તેઓ પણ દોઢડાહ્યા વધુ થતા હોય છે તેના કારણે ઘણી વાર અસમંજસ થાય છે અને ખોટો દેખાડો થાય છે તે ખોટું છે..
આ મારું મંતવ્ય છે.. ( ખોટું લગાડવું નહિ )
ગુરુ હંમેશા મહાન હોય છે..
ગુરુ આદરણીય હોય છે..
તે માંન અને સન્માન મને આપના ઉપર છે અને રહેશે જ..
Good sar
Sir good thing tamara mathi ghanu badhu sikh va jevu che
Cent percent agree SIR……When Many of Farmers and All would be aware of with such scientific weather data…..really SIR…..Agriculture sector would have a new Era….and real Thanks to u SIR….for creating such a great awareness in all of us….
Sir bau ferfar taye rakhe Che Kay nakki Nathi thatu
System Gujarat najik aavey chhe etlu nakki thayu.