Well Marked Low Pressure Over Odiha – Andhra Coast Expected To Track Towards Maharashtra – Gujarat & Vicinity

Current Weather Conditions on 29th August 2014 @ 6.00 pm.

The rainfall activity had improved from 23rd August on wards and light to medium rainfall has been reported from many places in Gujarat & Saurashtra.

The Low Pressure over West Central & Adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal off North Andhra Pradesh- South Odisha coast has strengthened to a Well Marked Low Pressure. Associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends up to Mid-Tropospheric level tilting Southwards with height. It is expected to strengthen further as it tracks inland.

The Western end of Monsoon trough has shifted Southwards and now it passes through Jaisalmer, Kota, Narsinghpur, Jagdalpur, Center of Well Marked Low Pressure area and thence East Southeastwards to East Central Bay of Bengal.

The Off-shore trough at mean sea level is active from  Goa coast to Kerala coast.

The Western disturbance as an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over North Pakistan & adjoining Jammu & Kashmir extends up to Mid-Tropospheric persists.


 COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 31st August 2014

 

india3.72hr_280814

 

 

COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 1st September 2014

 

india3.96hr_280814

COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 2nd September 2014

india3.120hr_280814

 

COLA/IGES  SLP Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 1st September 2014

india2.96hr_280814

 

IMD MSL Pressure Forecast Map Valid for 1200 UTC 28th August 2014

96hgfs_mslp_280814

 

IMD Daily All India Mean Rainfall (mm./day) Forecast Till 4th September 2014

GFS574rain-drf_280814

 

The above rainfall graph shows that rainfall activity over whole India average will be very good  for the week 28th August to 4th September. Overall above average rainfall expected for India for week ending 4th September.

 

Forecast: 29th August to 2nd September 2014

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch :

The Well Marked Low Pressure System will track mainly West Northwestwards and strengthen further as it tracks inland towards Maharashtra and finally track towards Gujarat & vicinity.

Major portion of Saurashtra & Gujarat expected to get medium to heavy rainfall during the forecast period while some parts of Saurashtra & Gujarat would get light to medium rainfall. Kutch is also expected to get light to medium rainfall from this round.

Overall looking at the current forecast models this round of rainfall will be above average.

NOTE: On Vacation so post will be put if time permits !

Forecast_290814

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ :

તારીખ ૨૯ ઓગસ્ટ થી ૨ સપ્ટેમ્બર ૨૦૧૪:

બંગાળની ખાડી નું વેલ માર્કડ લો પ્રેસર મુખ્યતે  પશ્ચિમ ઊત્તર પશ્ચિમ તરફ ગતિ કરશે અને હજુ મજબૂત થઇ શકે છે.

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત ના મોટા ભાગ માં મધ્યમ અને ભારે વરસાદ થશે બાકી ના સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત ના વિસ્તારો માં તેમજ કચ્છ માં હળવો મધ્યમ વરસાદ થશે.

વિવિદ્ધ ફોરકાસ્ટ મોડલ આધારિત માહિતી પ્રમાણે આ રાઉન્ડ માં સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ માં વરસાદ ની વધુ આશા છે.

નોંધ: રજા માં બહાર ગામ હોવા થી નવી અપડેટ માટે વેળા મોડું ગણવું તેમજ પોસ્ટ ના જવાબ પણ વેળા મોડા મળશે.

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asif vadiya
asif vadiya
31/08/2014 11:13 pm

Sir rajkot jilla ma hevy rain kayre thase ke nai thai

anil gami
anil gami
31/08/2014 10:50 pm

sir imd ma vadlo gujrat par se te low se?

ankit
ankit
31/08/2014 10:42 pm

sir,raat thi atyar sudhi ma jetpur ma 3 inch thi vadhu varsad padi gayo…..

Iqbal
Iqbal
31/08/2014 10:27 pm

Bharuch ma havvy raine chalu cha…

Jaysukh Bavaliya
Jaysukh Bavaliya
31/08/2014 10:10 pm

Botad ma kyare varsad padse please ashokbhai answer

Yahya shaikh
Yahya shaikh
31/08/2014 9:50 pm

Ahmedabad city recieved very heavy thunderstorm with blowing heavy wind.

Iqbal
Iqbal
31/08/2014 9:22 pm

Bharuch distric ma jordar varsad chalu che…

devendra
devendra
31/08/2014 9:20 pm

Thx sir goood neeeews. Madya Gujarat ma very veryyy 2 very heavy rain.

Vavadiya Vitthal
Vavadiya Vitthal
31/08/2014 8:59 pm

Sir tamara kaheva mujab ta.29 thi 31 sudhi ma rajkot jila ma varsad nathi thayo…???

bipin chaniyara
bipin chaniyara
31/08/2014 8:41 pm

sir,bangal ni khadi ma biji koi system thai chhe?

Chetan
Chetan
31/08/2014 7:58 pm

Presser kya che sir?…

Ashok sojitra
Ashok sojitra
31/08/2014 7:03 pm

sir…..rajkot ma saro varsad kyare aavse

arif
arif
31/08/2014 6:49 pm

Sir very very heavy rain in junagadh city today

Dilip kadeval
Dilip kadeval
31/08/2014 6:48 pm

Sir nw insat image ma clouds at Mid Gujarat and wind direction NE so mid night te saurastrama Jsdn Rjkt pr avi vrsi ske?

pradip
pradip
31/08/2014 6:29 pm

sir sistem puri thai gai ke su aaje to saurastra ma tadko aakho divas rahiyo

M V RANA
31/08/2014 6:08 pm

Ashok bhai aaje to vatavaran badlai gyu che , vadal nathi ane tadko j che savar thi ( ahmedabad,Gandhinagar,bagodra,
Limbdi,sayla,)etla area ni khabar che.
System badlai gai k su ? , janavjo please…please…please…

tala rahul
tala rahul
31/08/2014 5:44 pm

Sir . Varsad aaje sav aavyo j nathi .kyak system nabdi to nathi padi gay ne? Aaj aavu vatavaran chhe

kishor patel
kishor patel
31/08/2014 4:09 pm

Sir
Namaskar
Khedut ne jilavar varsad ni mahiti aapi sako to khedut ne pak ne pani aapvanu aayojan thay jethi khedut ne faydo thay
Anukul hoy to yogy margdarsan aapso
Tevi aasha sathe
Ek

….khedut

ashok
ashok
31/08/2014 3:54 pm

sir atyare imd ma saurastr parthi vadlao arab sagar baju fantai gya avu dekhai chhe to shu je vistar baki chhe (jnd. jilo) temne nahi j levanu k? ? ? ? ? ?

tejabhai
tejabhai
31/08/2014 3:32 pm

Uac na kendrathi kai baju varasad vadhare hoy?

pratik findoriya
pratik findoriya
31/08/2014 2:56 pm

sir… aa low pressure 2 tarikh sudhi nu se to aaje to sav tadko nikli gayo to shu te vikheray gayu se ke shu ?

jagdish
jagdish
31/08/2014 2:33 pm

Sir a varsad bav tofani chhe vijdi ghani jagya e padi tenu su karan

smit pandya
smit pandya
31/08/2014 2:26 pm

Sir, is this the last round of the monsoon?

jatin
jatin
31/08/2014 1:45 pm

Sir varap kyare thase

Pravinsinh
Pravinsinh
31/08/2014 12:55 pm

sir paddhari talka is not satisfied with havvy rainfall
if their eny chance for havvy rain in retailers in paddhari Tallulah up to three days

arif
arif
31/08/2014 12:34 pm

2 divas thi vadado south to north ne badle north to south chale che tenu su reason hoy che.

pradip
pradip
31/08/2014 11:11 am

Sir aaje rajkot ma tadko Che to varsad padvana chancis khara?

nitin vadaviya
nitin vadaviya
31/08/2014 10:54 am

5th.nu biju low guj su kach ne faydo karavase……forcast mujab

vivek patel
vivek patel
31/08/2014 10:53 am

Sir haju latipur ma saro varshad nhti thyo

rakesh
rakesh
31/08/2014 9:49 am

Chandra vada me varsad thase sir dariya kinare

jimit rabadiya
jimit rabadiya
31/08/2014 9:43 am

Sir,well makes low pressure Majbut bani ne depression ma fervase?

nitin vadaviya
nitin vadaviya
31/08/2014 9:35 am

Good morening sir…….forcast mujab 5th sp nu odisa ma thanar biju low utter purv rajya ma vadhu .& rajesthan ma thase .anuman sachu…abhayas mate. pls…ans

pravin
pravin
31/08/2014 8:55 am

sir
good morning
imd ma gujrat upar vadal dekhay che je jagiyaye ghata vadal hoy tiya vadhu varasad na sanjog bane

renish patel
renish patel
31/08/2014 8:46 am

Moti paneli ma 6 inch thayo pan dem haju khali chhe kyare bharase?

tejabhai
tejabhai
31/08/2014 8:09 am

Tharadna bhadodarma varshno pratham saro varasad thayo 10pm to 11pm

jentipatel
jentipatel
31/08/2014 7:54 am

Jodiya talka na keshiya gam ma1eic

Bipin chaniyara
Bipin chaniyara
31/08/2014 7:42 am

Sir i am from kolki last night mediam to heavi rain in kolki..

pradip
pradip
31/08/2014 7:18 am

Sir tankara na gramiy vistar ma huju sushi varsad nathi padiyo to varsad aavvana chances ketla?

dangar hitesh
dangar hitesh
31/08/2014 2:19 am

sir .. keshod taluka mate kevo varshad raheshe..khas kari gramy vistar ma

Jadeja gauravsinh
Jadeja gauravsinh
31/08/2014 12:49 am

Sir still rajkot has not satisfying rain max 25 mm and every area has differant number

karahan
karahan
31/08/2014 12:31 am

porbandar ma bapor thi divas darmyan andaje 1 inch jetlu pani padyu… atyare 15 min thi chalu.. gramya panthak ma rat thi bhare varsad chalu.. bhanvad taluka na vartu 2 dam na 2 darvaja kholaya ni nadi kanthe farm dharavta khedut mitra a mahiti aapi!

Gaurav
Gaurav
30/08/2014 11:42 pm

Sir !

Ahmedabad ma 9.45 thi thunder saathe varsad chalu… control room ma haji mm na samachar nathi pan lage che ke 2 inch paid gayo. …

Ahmedabad heavy ke medium varsad ni sambhavna che?

ankur patel
ankur patel
30/08/2014 11:16 pm

sir jamjodhpur ma 2inch (dist. jamnagar)

nitin vadaviya
nitin vadaviya
30/08/2014 9:30 pm

Good morning sir……hpa ma 2sp ma 996 darshave se to welmarked vadhu majbut samjavu.?

Chetan
Chetan
30/08/2014 8:33 pm

Sabarkatha ma jordar varsad chalu…

vijay
vijay
30/08/2014 8:29 pm

Hello ashok sir koi god nai hai wo analasis karte hai plz aisa mat kaho mere village mai kab barish hogi wo bhagwan pe aasha rakho plz

anand vadodariya
anand vadodariya
30/08/2014 7:08 pm

Aa varsad no round rajkot jilla mate kevo raheshe

Bhavesh Patel
Bhavesh Patel
30/08/2014 7:03 pm

Sar Sara samachr wankaner na Lunsar gam ma 2 thi 3 inch varsd padyo hagi chlu che

shashikant
shashikant
30/08/2014 5:39 pm

Latest system nu nam su te saurastra ma kyare aavase varsad ni sakyata ketali

Chetan
Chetan
30/08/2014 4:09 pm

Well mark low presser situation su che? And sir North gujrat ma heavy rain chances che?…