Current Weather Conditions on 7th September 2014 @ 11.00 pm.
The rainfall activity has stopped or become minimal over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch from 5th/6th September.
The Well Marked Low Pressure over Chhatishgarh has now crossed over to Visarbha & vicinity. Associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends up to 7.6 Kms. above sea level tilting South Westwards with height.
The monsoon trough at mean sea level passes through Phalodi, Kota, Guna, Narsinghpur, Center of Well Marked Low Pressure area over Vidarbha & vicinity, Gopalpur, thence South Eastwards to East Central Bay of Bengal. It extends up to 3.1 Kms. above mean sea level.
A weak Off-shore trough at mean sea level runs from Gujarat coast to Lakshawdeep area.
Last Western Disturbance has moved away from Jammu & Kashmir. However, another Western Disturbance as an Upper Air Trough in Mid level Westerlies along longitude 65.0°E and latitude north of 25.0°N has come up.
COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 9th September 2014
COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 10th September 2014
COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 11th September 2014
COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 12th September 2014
COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 8th September 2014
IMD MSL Pressure Forecast Map Valid for 0000 UTC 9th September 2014
IMD All India Rainfall from 1st June to 7th September 2014
The above map shows that rainfall till 7th September is 11 % less than normal for the season till date. A very good recovery has taken place during the month of September.
Forecast: 8th September to 12th September 2014
Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch :
The Well Marked Low Pressure System will track West Northwestwards and will cross over to Madhya pradesh & vicinity. This System is not expected to come over Saurashtra or Gujarat. However, the associated UAC at 700 hPa is strong and would cover areas of Madhya Pradesh & Gujarat & Suarashtra. Also the clouding associated with this System is expected to be spread mainly on the West & Southwest of the System and would benefit both Gujarat & Saurashtra.
Major portions of South Gujarat, Central Gujarat & Coastal Saurashtra expected to get medium to very heavy rainfall during the forecast period.
50% of Interior Saurashtra is expected to get medium to heavy rainfall while other 50% of Interior Saurashtra is expected get light to medium rainfall during the forecast period.
North Gujarat is expected to get light to heavy rainfall during the forecast period.
Kutch could get light rain in the latter part of forecast period.
NOTE: On Vacation so post will be put if time permits !
સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ :
તારીખ ૮ સપ્ટેમ્બર થી ૧૨ સપ્ટેમ્બર ૨૦૧૪:
બંગાળની ખાડી નું વેલ માર્કડ લો પ્રેસર મુખ્યતે પશ્ચિમ તરફ ગતિ કરી છાતીશ્ગઢ ઉપર થી હાલ વિદર્ભ ઉપર આવેલ છે. આ સીસ્ટમ હવે એમ. પી. બાજુ ૨૪ કલાક માં પોન્ચશે. ત્યાં થી ગુજરાત અને સૌરાષ્ટ્ર બાજુ આવવાની શક્યતા નથી પરંતુ તેને અનૂસંગિક એક ૭૦૦ hPa ઉપર UAC છે તે એમ. પી. ગુજરાત અને સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ઉપર ફેલાશે. તેવીજ રીતે આ સીસ્ટમ ના અનૂસંગિક વાદળ સમૂહો સીસ્ટમ થી પશ્ચિમે તેમજ દક્ષીણ પશ્ચિમે રહેશે. જેથી સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત ને ફાયદો થશે.
દક્ષીણ ગુજરાત તેમજ મધ્ય ગુજરાત ના મોટા ભાગ માં મધ્યમ થી અતિ ભારે વરસાદ ની શક્યતા છે. તેવીજ રીતે સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ના કાંઠા ના વિસ્તાર માં પણ મધ્યમ થી અતિ ભારે વરસાદ ની શક્યતા છે.
બાકી ના સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ના ૫૦% વિસ્તાર માં માધ્યમ ભારે વરસાદ ની શક્યતા અને બીજા ૫૦% વિસ્તાર માં હળવા થી મધ્યમ વરસાદ ની શક્યતા.
ઊતર ગુજરાત માં મધ્યમ વરસાદ ની શક્યતા છે.
કચ્છ માં હળવો વરસાદ આગાહી ના પાછલા દિવસો માં શક્યતા છે.
નોંધ: રજા માં બહાર ગામ હોવા થી નવી અપડેટ માટે વેલા મોડું ગણવું તેમજ પોસ્ટ ના જવાબ પણ વેલા મોડા મળશે.
ઉપર વરસાદ માટે નકશા આપેલ છે તેમાં ૪ દિવસ માં ક્યાં ક્યાં વરસાદ ની શક્યતા છે તે જોવું. થોડી મેનત કરી ને શીખો.
Varasad maate vatavaran chhe etle varo avi jashe. tamare varsad thay to bhadar dam ma pani ave.
s p upadhyay
09/09/2014 7:51 am
Sir I follow ur web site but found some data incorrect for Bavla rainfall shown therein as 928 mm up to 5th September 14 as the same was only 697 mm as recorded by our RF station under Irrigation deptt which provide d official RF data to revanue deptt in Bavla.
vadado bandhata ane vikharata var na lage. tran char kalak ma nava vadado bandhay shake.
tushar shah
09/09/2014 6:47 am
Sir I hv been browsing thru many weather forecasting website for rain fall predictions but I must confess from the limited interaction with your website your predictions are the most accurate.
Thanx for all true intraction of monsoon
Dear sai tame jem kyo 6o tej rite varsad aave 6e.
jakhaniya ashwin
08/09/2014 10:39 pm
sir amdavad ma savare 8to11 ma medium varsad 2inch jetlo padyo ane sanje 5 to 10:30 vagya sudhi ma kyarek medium to kyarek havy varsad chalu ce
saro varsad padi rahyo ce ..
haju medium varsad chalu ce
Suman Daas wait it out for a few days starting today. Clouds are present over Gujarat & Saurashtra but it is raining in Gujarat and now started in Saurashtra.
anil gami
08/09/2014 9:44 pm
sir rajkot jarmar varshad chalu se
Ashwin limbsiya
08/09/2014 9:40 pm
Sir,
Varsad na aa round ma paddhari,Mitana,Tankara ne Dhrol na vachhe na vistar ma varsad kevo padse.plz reply sir.
Nirmal Bhojani
08/09/2014 9:34 pm
Atyare pan saro varsad chalu j 6 a vistar ma..
Nirmal Bhojani
08/09/2014 9:33 pm
Himatnagar 5.5 to 6 inch in 4 hour….modasa, Dhansura also heavy rain….
aagal comment na samjavel chhe naksho kem jovo. mahenat na karvi hoi to agahi apel chhe ane raah jovo.
pratik
08/09/2014 7:53 pm
sir on the satellite image almost whole gujarat is covered with dense clouds is it because of low pressure or uac and as you said that clouds are on west of low pressure than does it mean that wherever there is low pressure at that place rain is less but to its west rain is more please reply.
Sir saurasta kyare bhinjase?
Almost average 4-5 inches rain recorded in past 24 hours in Ahmedabad city
very good round of rain
UAC, Low pressure & offsortrack meaning appo
sir atyare well mark low pressure kya chhe???
Northwest M.P. and Southeast Rajasthan border area.
SIR,
Aa round ma paddhari taluka ma varsad kevo raheshe?
ha bhadar ma jay6
sir vadalo to kutch ane uttar gujarat pa chhe to pan saurastra ma varsad avse???
sir jasdan ni aajubaju na gamdam kevo varsad padase plz
Varasad maate vatavaran chhe etle varo avi jashe. tamare varsad thay to bhadar dam ma pani ave.
Sir I follow ur web site but found some data incorrect for Bavla rainfall shown therein as 928 mm up to 5th September 14 as the same was only 697 mm as recorded by our RF station under Irrigation deptt which provide d official RF data to revanue deptt in Bavla.
I will check that and let yo know by email.
Uttar gujrat (deesa’palnpur) ma bhare varsad se.ketla divas varsad rahse
Genral 12th/13th sudhi chhe. Daily varsad pade evu pan na hoi.
Sir vadalo kutch ane rajasthan ma baju fantay gaya tamaru su kevu chhe
vadado bandhata ane vikharata var na lage. tran char kalak ma nava vadado bandhay shake.
Sir I hv been browsing thru many weather forecasting website for rain fall predictions but I must confess from the limited interaction with your website your predictions are the most accurate.
Could you name a few websites you visited ?
Himatnagar ma dhodhmar vsrsad che
rajkot ma aavche ke nhi
Vistar pramane ane sanjogo pramane vadh ghat varsad ave. UAC Gujarat ane Saurashtra ne labh aapshe. Rajkot thi Jamanagr sudhi area varsad ochho chhe. Aa round ma jovo su thay chhe.
Rajkot ma kevo varssd che sir
sir heavy rain in vadodara 4 to 5 inches in a whole day on monday & happy vacation sir
Thanks for the rain feedback.
Sir,mindblowing rain cont. In himatnagar…8.5 to 9 inch in 6 hour……sabarkantha ma abh fatyu lage 6 a round ma….
Thanks again for the detailed report of rain.
Thanx for all true intraction of monsoon
Dear sai tame jem kyo 6o tej rite varsad aave 6e.
sir amdavad ma savare 8to11 ma medium varsad 2inch jetlo padyo ane sanje 5 to 10:30 vagya sudhi ma kyarek medium to kyarek havy varsad chalu ce
saro varsad padi rahyo ce ..
haju medium varsad chalu ce
Varsad na report maate aabhaar.
Hello,
sir varsad surendranagar ma savarthi chhaluche.. Medium.. Sir heavy rain to nathi ne surendranagar mate?
heavy Ave to pan vandho su chhe ? varsad ave te saru heavy ke medium.
Sar rajkot jamnagar vache kevo rahse varsad plz
Morbi ane aajubajuna gamo ma dheemi dhare varsad chalu
Sachot mahiti aapni
Thnx
Ketlo pade te mahi kaale aapjo
sorry sir for asking again but its cloudy condition in Jamnagar from evening but no rain so is there be rain in Jamnagar?
Suman Daas wait it out for a few days starting today. Clouds are present over Gujarat & Saurashtra but it is raining in Gujarat and now started in Saurashtra.
sir rajkot jarmar varshad chalu se
Sir,
Varsad na aa round ma paddhari,Mitana,Tankara ne Dhrol na vachhe na vistar ma varsad kevo padse.plz reply sir.
Atyare pan saro varsad chalu j 6 a vistar ma..
Himatnagar 5.5 to 6 inch in 4 hour….modasa, Dhansura also heavy rain….
Thanks.
Rajkot district ma aa round ma kevo varsad rahse?
Sir varsad north gujarat ma chalyo gayo lage chhe setelite avu bata ve chhe
Sir low presaure ni zadap vadhhare chhe vadalo bav zadap thi agal vadhi rahya chhe ans pls
Sir;very very heavy rain in sabarkatha…
Thanks for rain news upadte. How much rain please report.
When is your weather station going to be online again? I miss it…
After Monsoon season. I am currently in U.S.
Sir low pressure ni speed vadhare lage chhe vadalo bav jadap thi agal vadhhe chee
Uac ma vadalo 1.5 to 7.5 kms ooncha hoy 6….varsad padva mate ketli unchai a uac na vadalo hoy to saro varsad thay…
samnya best 3.1 Kms etle 700 hPa ane te sivay 1.5 Kms. je 850 hPa hoi chhe
saheb thunderstorm shene thi aave uac thi ke low pressure thi plz reply?
Garam ane oopar ni thandi hava na milan thi. Pavano alag alag oonchaye alag disa mathi foonkat hoi chhe.
saheb to pachi aa vakhte thunderstorm na chances keva che Ahmedabad ane aaju baju na vistar ma plz reply.
I can not guide you about thunder storm for Ahmedabad.
Tharad-wav ma varasad thase? Kevo?
Light to medium rain. System adharit hoi nakki na rahe.
Prashna ek var poonchhi ne jawab ni raah jovo. kyarek vaar laage.
Nakshama kai kabar nahti padti tame kiyo
aagal comment na samjavel chhe naksho kem jovo. mahenat na karvi hoi to agahi apel chhe ane raah jovo.
sir on the satellite image almost whole gujarat is covered with dense clouds is it because of low pressure or uac and as you said that clouds are on west of low pressure than does it mean that wherever there is low pressure at that place rain is less but to its west rain is more please reply.
Normally jyan low pressure hoi tyan vadado ochha hoi.
sir what is difference between low pressure and UAC please explain
Low pressure sea level athava jamin oopar hoi ane UAC etle Upper Air Cyclonic Ciculation je jamin thi athva dariya thi 1.5 thi 7.6 Kms. oonche hoi. Haal nu UAC jamin thi 3.1 Kms. vadhu sakriya chhe.
light -medium rain has been starting in botad region.
Thanks for rain news.
Sir Nadiad ane aaspas na vistar ma savar thi j medium to heavy rain 6 ane haju pan rain chalu j 6……
Varsad na samachar badal aabhaar.
Sir drhol taluka ma heavy rin padse
Naksha ma apel chhe te jovo.
Heavy to very heavy rain himatnagar dhansura area ma……
Thanks for rain feedback.
But sir naksha ni sangna samjavo to samjaay
aagala comment ma two times samjavel chhe. agad na comment vanchi ne saval poochho.
right top corner ma charts color ma apel chhe. te varsad mm. ma chhe. 25 mm. etle ek inch thay.
But sir naksha ni sanga samjavo to samjaay
hello sir aa raund ma saurashtra rajkot ma ketla inch
varshad thai tevi shakyata6e?
sir.
low pressure ketla divas sudhi che madhya guj par
please answer
Low M.P. baju ek be divas pan Gujarat ane Saurashtra oopar UAC chhaveyel chhe.
sir.
vadodara ma kevo varsad padse
please answer
Tamaro jawab apu te pahela varsad chalu thayo chhe.
Hu U.S. ma chhu etle ahi raat hati.
Sir,porbandar ma aa varsad aav se ?
Sir mahisagar district ma kewo varshad rehse ?
Jay ho have pachi no varsad kyare
Padar ma jaan avi chhe teni vaat karo.