Current Weather Conditions on 19th July 2015 @ 11.30 am.
The axis of monsoon trough passes through Bikaner, Jaipur, Nowgong, Sidhi, Daltanganj, Jamshedpur, Diamond Harbour and thence South Eastwards to East central Bay of Bengal and extends upto 3.1 km above mean sea level tilting Southwards with height.
The Western Disturbance as an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over North Pakistan & neighborhood extending upto Mid-Tropospheric levels persists.
There is an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha & adjoining parts of Chhatisgarh and extends upto 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting Southwestwards with height and another Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over West Bengal and neighborhood and extends upto 5.8 km. This has created a broad East West shear zone from West Bengal to Madhya Pradesh.
IMD GSF (T574) 700 hPa Forecast Wind Valid 00 UTC 19th July 2015
IMD GSF (T574) 500 hPa Forecast Wind Valid 00 UTC 19th July 2015
Forecast: 19th July to 23rd July 2015
Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch:
Conditions seem to improve for meaningful round of rainfall expected till 23rd July over whole Gujarat on one/two or multiple days. The main rainfall expected between 20th to 23 rd July. The quantum of rainfall over various regions of Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch would be 35 mm. to 60 mm (1.5 inch to 2.5 inches). with some centers getting above 100 mm (4 inches). The quantum is also depicted by Maps below.
COLA/IGES Rainfall Forecast Map valid for 00 UTC 21st July 2015 (for 20th July)
COLA/IGES Rainfall Forecast Map valid for 00 UTC 22nd July 2015 (for 21st July)
COLA/IGES Rainfall Forecast Map valid for 00 UTC 23rd July 2015 (for 22nd July)
તારીખ 19 જૂલાઈ થી 23 જૂલાઈ :
સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ:
સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ માં સવાર્ત્રિક સંતોષકારક વારસદ નો રાઉન્ડ માટે વાતાવરણ સાનૂકૂળ થતું જાય છે. મુખ્ય વરસાદ 20 જૂલાઈ થી 23 જૂલાઈ દરમ્યાન શક્યતા છે. વરસાદ ની માત્રા નો અંદાજ 35 મીમી થી 60 મીમી (1.5 થી 2.5 ઇંચ ), અને અમૂક વિસ્તાર માં 100 મીમી (4 ઇંચ ) થી પણ વધુ. ક્યાં વિસ્તાર માં હળવો, ક્યાં વિસ્તાર માં મધ્યમ, ક્યાં વિસ્તાર માં ભારે તે માટે ત્રણ દિવસ ના નકશા આપેલ છે. મોડલ આધારિત તેમજ સીસ્ટમ આધારિત વરસાદ હોઈ થોડા ફેર થતા હોઈ છે. છતાં પણ જનરલ રાઉન્ડ છે. અલગ અલગ દિવશે અલગ અલગ વિસ્તાર માં એક, કે બે, કે ત્રણે દિવસે વરસાદ થશે.
સૂચના: કોમેન્ટ માં પ્રશ્ન ઘણા લોકો વાહિયાત પૂછે છે તેમજ રીપીટ પૂછે છે. જેથી ના છૂટકે કોમેન્ટ વ્યવસ્થા બંધ કરવી પડશે. માટે સંયમ રાખો અને અધીરા ના થાઓ. 25 જૂન 2015 થી કમેન્ટ ના જવાબ દિવસ માં એક કે બે વાર એક સાથે આપવામાં આવશે. જવાબ ની રાહ જોવો અને રીપીટ પૂછો નહિ. આગાહી આપેલ છે તેના થી આગળ ના સમય માટે કઈ સાવલ ના કરવા. જેમ જેમ આગળ નું ચિત્ર સ્પષ્ટ થશે તેમ તેમ અપડેટ થશે.
3 image ma joyu ne 22 tarikh na jamnagar area upar green colour batave che to kripa kari ne enu matlab samjavo ne aa round ma jmr no varo avi jase k nay
abhas karo. marey je kahevanu hatu te kahi didhu. ek be kalale koi update na hoi.
Gunjan jadav
19/07/2015 7:59 pm
Je sistem mp par dekhay çhe te have dime dime upar ni baju ( rajstan ) ma vadiru çhe to sir gujarat par aa mp ni sistem pachi gujarat baaju aavse sir? And sir haal ma raatrina 8 vaagya ae dahod ma rim Jim varasad chalu çhe pan jaraye pavan nathi. Sir mara upar na saval no javab aapjo sir please
According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, a low pressure over West Madhya Pradesh is expected to move westwards giving good rainfall over Southeast Rajasthan and East and Central parts of Gujarat.
Skymet forecasts, rain will start lashing parts of western states during the next 24 hours and is expected to continue till next two to three days. By July 23, rain belt will also cover more parts of the states.
Abhyas tamare karvano chhe.. badhane tena gaam vistar ma shu thay te jovo. ek divas etle 24 kalak ma varsad ni matra batave chhe.
Devasi V.Bhadarka,.thepada
19/07/2015 5:59 pm
A .Ashokbhai comment bandh no karata ho.
mer kismat.
19/07/2015 5:41 pm
thanks sir,
sir, any chance to extend off-shore trough over karnataka region toward south gujarat and combine with the UAC which will come on gujarat from west MP?
SIR. Aaje update aapso new
NO
sir manny cloud in sky at junagadh but steal not rain
Hal ma sir gujarat (junagadh) ma kay varsad aave tevu wether nay thyu to su. Varsad aavse????
Sir gandhinagar havaman vibhag vara ke che ke u.gujrat & m.gujrat lagi varsad rahese. Saurastra & katch ma kai jogvay nathi. To tamaru su kehvu thay.
Marey je kahevanu hatu te kahel chhe.
Sir badha mitro ne kaho dhiraj na fal MITHA hoy j
Aa low pressure sauratra ma aav se kharu?
UAC avashe.
નમસ્તે સર,N.india & M india મા સારો વરસાદ છે અહિ વાદળો ફાટવાની ઘટનાઓ બની તો એમાં શું થાયછે Guj.મા આવુ થયું છે?
Tamaro prashna samjano nahi.
M.p upar nu low pressure lage che k maharastra temj south gujrat taraf fantayu chhe aa sachu chhe?
andaaj bandhe rakho…. aaghi apel chhe.
Kyare varsad aavvano chhe vatavaran ma palto thayo chhe….
aagahi ma lakhel chhe.
Sir, Is there any chances for meaningful rain in Bhuj, Because in current monsoon we didn’t got the rain?
Yes.
Sir upc kiya pochiyu m.p thi kai baju sveshe
LOw Pressure ane UAC banne M.P. ooopar chhe.
Sir rajkot asspass 4-inch ni sakyta khari?
आजे नेटमा वादला आसा देखायसे तो सर लोप्रेसर वघुकेवाय के धटयु केवाय
Low Pressure em nem chhe.
Sir
aagahi aapava ma tamari karta imd pachhal chhe.
Aa sistam 3 dives mate se
Sir.modal pramane 21 tarikhe 4mm .22t.14mm.and 23.tarikhe 26mm.varshad padse to varshad bovaj o6o padse.
3 image ma joyu ne 22 tarikh na jamnagar area upar green colour batave che to kripa kari ne enu matlab samjavo ne aa round ma jmr no varo avi jase k nay
Jamnagar General 35 mm gani ne chalo. 21 ma zaapta & main 22 tarikh
Sir vatavaran ma ekdam fer padyo keshod ni aspas na vistar 7 vagya pa6i 3 vakhat neva pade teva japata avya.
thnks sir for ans…
Forecast model na abhiyash par thi avu anuman nikde chhe ke b o b ma 48hr ma low thase?
Sir low pressure thay to sir varsad nu praman ghate ke vade ? Varsad vade ke ghate?
M.P. ma low pressure thayu chhe ane te ganatri ma levaayel chhe.
Sir halma low system kya che ane kai direction ma jase??..??????
Sir aa uldate ma nt aapel etle puchyu….
Low ane UAC badhu M.P. ane Gujarat ne asar karshe.
Sir mp ni system ver vikher thai gai hoi…evu lage che and varaad to ocho avse….su kevu
Kalake kalake chad khao thav toe evu lage.
Thank you sir
COLA/IGES Forecast map it has 100% prediction surely ( or ) maybe possibility ?
Please give my answer !
It is like many forecast models. Accuracy for two three days is 70%
નમસ્તે સર,uacએ lowp.કેwellmlpથાય તે કઇ રીતે જાણી શકાય?
From IMD mslp chart for Low Pressure.
M.p par low thayu
Bangal ni khadi ma uac chhe?
barobar chhe.
Sir mp vali system mane avu lage che ke week padi gayi hoi tevu to tamaru shu kevu che system majbut che ke week padi gayi?
abhas karo. marey je kahevanu hatu te kahi didhu. ek be kalale koi update na hoi.
Je sistem mp par dekhay çhe te have dime dime upar ni baju ( rajstan ) ma vadiru çhe to sir gujarat par aa mp ni sistem pachi gujarat baaju aavse sir? And sir haal ma raatrina 8 vaagya ae dahod ma rim Jim varasad chalu çhe pan jaraye pavan nathi. Sir mara upar na saval no javab aapjo sir please
ek be kalake fer far thaay tema tamo ne ras hoi abhyas karo. marey je kahevanu hatu te kahel chhe.
good work
25 tarikhe bob ma biji sistam thai avu lage k nai?
abhyas karo.
Sir bhuj taluka ma pavan ni gati vathu che 25/30 kmph jevi
sir mp par uac che chance to convert into low preser?
Low thai gayu.
Sir, tv9 ma dekhade 6e k saurashtra – kutch and uttar gujarat ma vrsad ni smbhavna nthi e sachu 6e?
TV9 ne khabar.
According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, a low pressure over West Madhya Pradesh is expected to move westwards giving good rainfall over Southeast Rajasthan and East and Central parts of Gujarat.
Skymet forecasts, rain will start lashing parts of western states during the next 24 hours and is expected to continue till next two to three days. By July 23, rain belt will also cover more parts of the states.
sir jam kandorana ma kale varsad aavse?
M.p par je uac 6 te low pressure thai sake 6 ? Low pressure thay to varsad ni matra ma vadharo thay ?
Low thai gayu.
Sir tame je colour vishe kho cho tema kya colour ma ketla mm varasad thay
Color nu table jamani baju oopar aapel chhe te pramane varsad ek divas ma mm. ma samajvo. aakada pael chhe juda juda color maate.
Sir upar no chart jota evu lage che k Jamkandorna no aa round ma varo nai aave.
Khali 4 mm. J varsad aavse??
Abhyas tamare karvano chhe.. badhane tena gaam vistar ma shu thay te jovo. ek divas etle 24 kalak ma varsad ni matra batave chhe.
A .Ashokbhai comment bandh no karata ho.
thanks sir,
sir, any chance to extend off-shore trough over karnataka region toward south gujarat and combine with the UAC which will come on gujarat from west MP?
Yes.
sir keral ane krnataka na dariya pan vadlo dekhay 6 te shu 6
Dakshin pashchim chomasa na vadado chhe je south ma varsad ape.
sir image ma mp ane south gujarat upar khubaj ghatta vadal dekhay 6 to pan surat ma varsad avto nathi
Thank u sir
सर जामकंडोरणा थी उपलेटा भायावदर बाजु वरसाद औछो छे,
आ राउंड मा त्यां वरसाद केवो रहेशे.??
Naksha apel chhe thodu shikho. color chhe te mm. ma chhe ane 24 kalak ma ketlo varsad kya vistar ma thaai te batave chhe.
thank sir..
Sir plz. Plz. Piz avi j rite javab deta rejo
And
Sir thank you for among response
news vala nu manvu nahi.. ashok bhai ane imd vala par trust karvo
As per forcast ujjain m.p get 319 mm rainfall
West mp aakhu pani pani thayi gayu
Saru
Please sir do not stop your analysis