System Over Northeast Madhya Pradesh Has Weakened To A Low Pressure – UAC Dependent Rainfall Expected Over Gujarat & Then Saurashtra & Kutch 9th To 14th July

Current Weather Conditions on 8th July 2016

The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat. 24.0°N/ Long. 60.0°E, Lat. 24.0°N/ Long. 70.0°E, Bhuj, Jodhpur, Phalodi and Lat. 28.0°N/ Long. 71.0°E.

Conditions are becoming favorable for further advance of Southwest Monsoon into remaining parts of Kutch and West Rajasthan by 12th/13th July.

The Well Marked Low Pressure area over Northeast Madhya Pradesh & neighborhood, weakened into a Low Pressure area and lies over the same area. The associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.

The trough at mean sea level now runs from Punjab to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal across Haryana, south Uttar Pradesh, Center of Low Pressure area, Jharkhand, Odisha and Northwest Bay of Bengal.

The off-­shore trough at mean sea level runs from Karnataka coast to Kerala coast.

The Western Disturbance as UAC lies over Eastern parts of Jammu & Kashmir & neighborhood between 2.1 km & 3.6 km above mean sea level.

There is a UAC over Northwest Bay of Bengal & adjoining areas of Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Chhattisgarh & Vidarbha between 3.1 & 7.6 km above mean sea level.

Forecast: 9th July to 14th July 2016

The Depression System over Northeast Madhya Pradesh had weakened to a WMLP and subsequently to a Low Pressure over the same region with associated UAC up to 1.5 Kms. above sea level. There is another UAC over a very large area covering Northwest Bay of Bengal, Odisha, Gangetic West Bengal, Chhattisgarh & Vidarbha at 3.1 Kms & 7.6 Kms. above mean sea level. Both these will merge and gradually track Westwards. Main strength of UAC will be at 3.1 kms. upto 5.8 Kms.

 

Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 8th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC

 

 

Wunderground_GSF_700_080716_080716_1200z

Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 9th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC

 

Wunderground_GSF_700_080716_090716_1200z

Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 10th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC

 

Wunderground_GSF_700_080716_100716_1200z

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch: 9th July to 14th July

Light, medium, heavy rainfall expected initially along Gujarat border areas and subsequently move inwards during the forecast period. The quantum of rainfall is System (UAC) dependent and would var from places to places. Saurashtra expected to get light, medium rainfall with isolated heavy rainfall during the forecast period. All areas of Saurashtra will have varying amount of rainfall and it is difficult to pin point specific areas since the expected rainfall is System dependent (UAC). Monsoon expected to cover the remaining areas of Kutch and so expected to get light to medium rainfall with isolated heavy rain. The quantity of rain will be completely variable. High speed winds from Arabian Sea will blow over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch during the forecast period. Cloudy weather expected on many days of forecast period.

Rain quantum over Gujarat will be higher than Saurashtra & Kutch.

There is some differences in the forecast location of 850 hPa UAC in Forecat maps of GSF & ECMWF as shown in respective maps valid for 11th July 0600 UTC.

Wunderground ECMWF 850 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 00 UTC Valid for 11th July 2016 @ 0600 UTC

 

Wunderground_ECMWF_850_080716_110716_0600z

 

Wunderground GFS 850 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 00 UTC Valid for 11th July 2016 @ 0600 UTC

 Wunderground_GSF_850_080716_110716_0600z

 

 

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 8th July 2016

(નોંધ: કચ્છ માટે સૌરાષ્ટ્ર મૂજબ ની  આગાહી સમજવી )

akila_080716

 

Weather Forecast In Sanj Samachar Daily Dated 8th July 2016

 

 

 SanjSamachar_080716

Guideline for Comments:

1. Please post comment if you have a valid email address.

2. Read earlier comments and their reply before posting any comment.

3. Do not ask question about when the update will take place. Usually as and when deemed fit update will be given.

4. I do not forecast for long term, so do not ask for any forecast beyond 7 days.

5. Do not ask when it will rain in any city, town or village or city. Normally the forecast is given for broad areas of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat. However, for your information Multicity Wunderground Forecast link has been provided for various centers of Gujarat, Sayrashtra & Kutch.

6. All Comments will not be answered. Comments that is meant for larger audience is preferable and will be answered.

 

કમેન્ટ માટે માર્ગદર્શન:

1. ખરું ઈ મેઈલ એડ્રેસ હોઈ તો કમેન્ટ કરો.

2. આગળ સવાલો અને તેના જવાબ વાંચી ને તમારી કમેન્ટ કરો.

3. “અપડેટ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ કરવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે યોગ્ય લાગશે ત્યારે અપડેટ થશે.

4. હું લાંબા ગાળા ની આગાહી નથી કરતો માટે 7 દિવસ થી આગળ માટે આગાહી બાબત કમેન્ટ ના કરવી.

5. “મારા શહેર, કે ગામ માં વરસાદ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ પૂછવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ ના બહોળા વિસ્તારો ની આગાહી આપેલ હોઈ છે.

6. જે કમેન્ટ વધુ લોકો ને સ્પર્શતો હોઈ તે આવકાર્ય છે અને તેના યોગ્ય જવાબ મળશે. બધા કમેન્ટ નો જવાબ નહીં મળે.

 

 

0 0 votes
Article Rating
659 Add your comment here
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
rakesh . vadodara
rakesh . vadodara
11/07/2016 10:16 am

Sir….aje system guj…bodar par avvani hati.? Avi k nahi sir…kyare avse varsad vadodara ma? ????

Rajendra Arora
Rajendra Arora
11/07/2016 10:05 am

Sir when can southwest monsoon activated? at what condition ? or at which factor affecting ? and why in some area of gujarat it rain in the beginning and suddenly it stops giving rain further? I am positive about good rain in gujarat in few days…

Vijay Chauhan
Vijay Chauhan
11/07/2016 9:49 am

Sir jam raval ma aaje savarthi bhare zapta atyare 9:40 chalu

Bhautik Rohitbhai Bhatt
Bhautik Rohitbhai Bhatt
11/07/2016 9:46 am

Sir gujarat ma shu saro varsad avase

Aman masani
Aman masani
11/07/2016 9:44 am

sir Gujrat weather sarkari app. Chhe k privet

Nitin Patel
Nitin Patel
11/07/2016 9:36 am

હવે મેહમાન સૌરાષ્ટ્ર બાજુ મેહમાની કરવા આવતા હોય એવું લાગે છે.

Kaushik Aghera
Kaushik Aghera
11/07/2016 9:23 am

Sir tamari apdate na divse (8july) mp system je shithi ma hathi tema ajni tarikhe koi pragati che❓ gujarar & Saurashtra mate kai new ?

Sandip patel
Sandip patel
11/07/2016 8:47 am

Ashokbhai rajkot ma kyare varsad aavshe

Sandip patel
Sandip patel
Reply to  Ashok Patel
11/07/2016 9:45 am

Ashokbhai maru name Sandip Patel j che pan mare I mail I’d notu atle bijanu nakhiyu che maru gaam sangnva talk. Lodhika dist rajkot me vaveter kari nakhyu che have varsad ni raah joy ne betha chiye have 2 ke 3 divash ma varsad nahi aave to maru biyaran badi jashe

Ashu
Ashu
11/07/2016 6:04 am

Sir , tame ketata k MP vadi system somvare rajasthan & gujarat bordar pochse tena su news che ??

P S Ganvit
P S Ganvit
11/07/2016 3:54 am

Samagra dang dist. Ane ene lagu maharastra border vistar ma date 8/7/16 fridy thi dhodmar varsad chalu 6e aa varsad kyare ochho thase? Sundy saputara ma shelani o pan atvai gaya

deven bhuva
deven bhuva
11/07/2016 1:02 am

Sir at this time Pacific ocean dipole and Indian ocean dipole are neutral and sea surface temp.are also at average level than why the western winds from Arabian sea to East direction very fast like enso alert (elnino)

ranjit
ranjit
10/07/2016 11:51 pm

Sir. Surendranagar ane Botad jillo kaya vistarma aave

Ravin magecha
Ravin magecha
10/07/2016 11:23 pm

Last 5-6 years thi aapni aagahi akila ma vachiye chhiye ane almost aap 90+% ma right j hov chho , actually hu upleta thi chhu ane aapni aagahi no fen chhu so jyare pan aap kolki aavo tyare rubru malsu… Thanks for read

kd patel
kd patel
10/07/2016 10:18 pm

Sir. Tame agadni comentma kahel k m.p value low UAC Thau ane biju UAC low Thau to aa navu low atyare kai jagayaye chhe?

Ranjit R Dodiya
Ranjit R Dodiya
10/07/2016 10:05 pm

Sir this time aapna meatrological department & Skymeat a kahyu hatu k 2016 ma La Nino pravah vahese to varsad khub saro thase pan Gujarat ma to athi ultu thayu………

kanji pAtel
kanji pAtel
10/07/2016 9:56 pm

Sir a agashi tharad {bodar visatar} baju laghu pade se?
pavan vadhare che
Havaman thodo farak aavyo che
Pan varsad nathi

Umesh Ribadiya@Visavadar
Umesh Ribadiya@Visavadar
10/07/2016 9:45 pm

700 hpa/850hpa mujab 13 july saurashtra ma light to medium rain thashe.

Ashok vala
Ashok vala
10/07/2016 9:20 pm

a vakhte midiya ye chorine chiknu karyu che k(24 kalak ma atibhare ave chhe. adhikari tantra sabdu) to kothara mathi biladu na nikde to saru

meet patel
meet patel
Reply to  Ashok vala
10/07/2016 10:17 pm

Bhai ee MP nu samachar ma ave che

Chetan
Chetan
10/07/2016 9:07 pm

Really bahuj garmi che bafaro che varsad avsej kal thi vatavaran badlase 2divas jor rehse varsad north gujrat par…

Raju Ahir (Visavadar )
Raju Ahir (Visavadar )
10/07/2016 8:56 pm

Sir tame agli comment na javab ma kidhu hatu tem Bob ni system no labh sourashtra Ane kutch ne vadhare male se to Bob nu low se Atyare te sourashtra Ane kutch ne labh apse?

Vatsal
Vatsal
10/07/2016 8:27 pm

Mitro thodi dhiraj rakho dhiraj. 14 sudhi jota raho. Dhiraj na fal mitha.

CA. Jiten R. Thakar
CA. Jiten R. Thakar
10/07/2016 8:03 pm

2013 ma chhek 26 September ae bhare varsad aavyo hato ane Saurashtra na badha dam overflow thya hata. Bas aavo j kaik chamtkar aa varsh pan thay aevi prathna kari ae.

kqeyur bhoraniya
kqeyur bhoraniya
10/07/2016 7:48 pm

Sir . Namste 1) uac 2)low p.3) wm low p.4) d.p 5) dip dp 6) syclo 7) super sycol

.sir aa barobar6

haresh halai (godhra-mandvi)
haresh halai (godhra-mandvi)
10/07/2016 7:48 pm

Sir blind ni baji attle su

ramesh santoki
ramesh santoki
10/07/2016 7:09 pm

Sir tamari apdate na divse (8july) mp system je shithi ma hathi tema ajni tarikhe koi pragati che❓ and ha to te Tamara anuman mujab che ke nahi.ane system thi Amara area ma (Jamnagar to jodiya costal area)vavni layak varsad Ni sakyata che❓ please and. Sir

Harsh
Harsh
10/07/2016 7:04 pm

Sir aa varshe arebian sea ma koi halchal thati nathi…nishacriya hoy avu lage chhe…matra bob ma je system thay chhe te north west derection ma aagad vadhe chhe…je gujrat ne labh kare pan saurastra ne ochho labh kare chhe…aagad na varsho jota je saurastra ma varshad che je matra ne matra arebian sea ma system hova thi aaviyo chhe…aa varshe arebian sea sant kem chhe?

Hipal ahir
Hipal ahir
10/07/2016 6:47 pm

Jamnagar. Ma hadvu zapatu. Rode bhina thaya

kaushik trivedi
kaushik trivedi
10/07/2016 6:46 pm

Sir anuman mujab avu lage chhe ke Kutch ma 12 July thi 13 July vachhe ekad inch jevo varsad padi jase. jo ke aje vatavaran sav clear hatu

gunjan jadav ( Dahod )
gunjan jadav ( Dahod )
10/07/2016 6:30 pm

Sir 2 divas thay gaya pan Gujarat ma koy pan jagyaye varsad nathi . Je UAC CHE te have Pachhim MP PAR che Ane Biju UAC Hatu te have Uttar Odisha paase Loapreser thay gayu che Tenaathi Tramph pan che je uttar Rajasthan thi Uttar Pachim MP THI bangal ni khadi maa CHE to pachi MP ni Bordar vaala vishar kem varsad padto nathi ? Tame kaho cho ke vaadalo bantaa vaar nathi laagti pan 2 thran divas THI pachim MP maa varsad pade che pan Bordar vaala vishar kem nathi padto ???? aaje ghana divaso thaya sir pan koy… Read more »

Jaydeepsinh
Jaydeepsinh
10/07/2016 6:24 pm

Sir hal ni position su che 2 uac ni??plz clear about both systems position and further track.

Rajbha
Rajbha
10/07/2016 6:14 pm

Jamnagar ma 4.30 thi 5 vagya vachhe varsadi zaptu

અમિત ઠક્કર
અમિત ઠક્કર
10/07/2016 5:43 pm

ધીરજ નથી જરાપણ nagetive વિચારો એ ઘર કરી લીધું છે….ધીરજ ખૂટસે તો કુદરત રૂઠસે….. મને પણ ખબર છે કે અત્યારે પરિસ્થિતિ ખરાબ છે વર્ષાદ વગર ની.મિત્રો..

Sonu
Sonu
10/07/2016 5:40 pm

Sir have to dhiraj khutva madi 6 july ni 1o tarikh thai haju amdavad ma saro varsad nathi kyare padse pli kaik to to dekhavu joia. Vadad joi ne thakya

Jatin bhalodiya
Jatin bhalodiya
10/07/2016 5:24 pm

Bangad ni khadi MA navu low pressure thayu ? Yes or no

Vijay Chauhan
Vijay Chauhan
10/07/2016 5:13 pm

Sir lp mathi uac and uac mathi lp Thai sake????

manoj
manoj
10/07/2016 4:33 pm

Sir atyare je vaddo dekhay che te system na vaddo che? Ane kya parakar na vaddo varsad lay aave?

Jignesh patel
Jignesh patel
10/07/2016 4:16 pm

Sir M.P vari system vikhrava lagi se su utter Gujarat ma koi varsad nathi koi aasha na kirno khara?

vaibhav
vaibhav
10/07/2016 3:53 pm

sir central guj anand vadodara ma varsad saro thase?
cola image ma auchho batave chee
sir evu lage chhe k aa pan chomasu week jase…

Nitin bhalodia
Nitin bhalodia
10/07/2016 3:39 pm

sir, imd 700 ne 850 jota 16, 17 ma bhare varsad ave avu lage che,

prakash patel
prakash patel
10/07/2016 3:28 pm

મારા ખૅડા જીલા મા

prakash patel
prakash patel
10/07/2016 3:27 pm

સાહેબ અાવડા વાદળ છે.પણ ટીપુય નહી કઈક ગરબડ છે.

king ahir
king ahir
10/07/2016 3:25 pm

Sir gulf of kutch ne daxin kathe varsad na chance she salaya okha patti ma?★

Firoz
10/07/2016 3:17 pm

Hello ashok bhai.

gandhinagar ma aa vara ma varsad na chance che?

gunjan jadav ( Dahod )
gunjan jadav ( Dahod )
10/07/2016 2:15 pm

Sir jaray varsad nathi. Paani tipu pan nathi . Tamari aagahi pramane varsad batave che pan aa vistar maa varsad naa chance lagtu nathi

manoj patel
manoj patel
10/07/2016 2:01 pm

sir low is on north oddisa uac is on west mp what is chance of interaction because trough is on 1.5 km asl any chance in next few days

Nikunj Patel
Nikunj Patel
10/07/2016 1:44 pm

Sir,
Rajkot,dhoraji n mota gunda ma varsad kevok che weather settelite image vada 5 hour pelani image batave to how can I see live weather. Pressure, air pr vadda varse ? Google ma vrsad Na chata j btave che 10 divs mate.

Nikunj Patel
Nikunj Patel
Reply to  Ashok Patel
10/07/2016 2:06 pm

Thank you very much sir… me link nti joy.

kamlesh saradva
kamlesh saradva
10/07/2016 1:29 pm

New update kiyare moklo cho sir ?

Plz reply

patel ashish
patel ashish
10/07/2016 1:29 pm

imd roj roj kal kal kal kal kal kyare aavse varsad kyare aavse have to koina upar viswas nathi rahyo?

haresh halai (godhra-mandvi)
haresh halai (godhra-mandvi)
10/07/2016 1:14 pm

Sir kutch ma pan varsadni matraa occhi hase saurashtrani jem

Jaydeepsinh
Jaydeepsinh
10/07/2016 1:09 pm

Sir akal dokal bhare atle su??