Well Marked Low Pressure Over Odiha – Andhra Coast Expected To Track Towards Maharashtra – Gujarat & Vicinity

Current Weather Conditions on 29th August 2014 @ 6.00 pm.

The rainfall activity had improved from 23rd August on wards and light to medium rainfall has been reported from many places in Gujarat & Saurashtra.

The Low Pressure over West Central & Adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal off North Andhra Pradesh- South Odisha coast has strengthened to a Well Marked Low Pressure. Associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends up to Mid-Tropospheric level tilting Southwards with height. It is expected to strengthen further as it tracks inland.

The Western end of Monsoon trough has shifted Southwards and now it passes through Jaisalmer, Kota, Narsinghpur, Jagdalpur, Center of Well Marked Low Pressure area and thence East Southeastwards to East Central Bay of Bengal.

The Off-shore trough at mean sea level is active from  Goa coast to Kerala coast.

The Western disturbance as an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over North Pakistan & adjoining Jammu & Kashmir extends up to Mid-Tropospheric persists.


 COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 31st August 2014

 

india3.72hr_280814

 

 

COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 1st September 2014

 

india3.96hr_280814

COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 2nd September 2014

india3.120hr_280814

 

COLA/IGES  SLP Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 1st September 2014

india2.96hr_280814

 

IMD MSL Pressure Forecast Map Valid for 1200 UTC 28th August 2014

96hgfs_mslp_280814

 

IMD Daily All India Mean Rainfall (mm./day) Forecast Till 4th September 2014

GFS574rain-drf_280814

 

The above rainfall graph shows that rainfall activity over whole India average will be very good  for the week 28th August to 4th September. Overall above average rainfall expected for India for week ending 4th September.

 

Forecast: 29th August to 2nd September 2014

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch :

The Well Marked Low Pressure System will track mainly West Northwestwards and strengthen further as it tracks inland towards Maharashtra and finally track towards Gujarat & vicinity.

Major portion of Saurashtra & Gujarat expected to get medium to heavy rainfall during the forecast period while some parts of Saurashtra & Gujarat would get light to medium rainfall. Kutch is also expected to get light to medium rainfall from this round.

Overall looking at the current forecast models this round of rainfall will be above average.

NOTE: On Vacation so post will be put if time permits !

Forecast_290814

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ :

તારીખ ૨૯ ઓગસ્ટ થી ૨ સપ્ટેમ્બર ૨૦૧૪:

બંગાળની ખાડી નું વેલ માર્કડ લો પ્રેસર મુખ્યતે  પશ્ચિમ ઊત્તર પશ્ચિમ તરફ ગતિ કરશે અને હજુ મજબૂત થઇ શકે છે.

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત ના મોટા ભાગ માં મધ્યમ અને ભારે વરસાદ થશે બાકી ના સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને ગુજરાત ના વિસ્તારો માં તેમજ કચ્છ માં હળવો મધ્યમ વરસાદ થશે.

વિવિદ્ધ ફોરકાસ્ટ મોડલ આધારિત માહિતી પ્રમાણે આ રાઉન્ડ માં સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ માં વરસાદ ની વધુ આશા છે.

નોંધ: રજા માં બહાર ગામ હોવા થી નવી અપડેટ માટે વેળા મોડું ગણવું તેમજ પોસ્ટ ના જવાબ પણ વેળા મોડા મળશે.

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jimit rabadiya
jimit rabadiya
01/09/2014 9:56 pm

Sir, navu update kyare mukso?

raj
raj
01/09/2014 9:56 pm

Sir very very heavy thunderstorm in Ahmedabad today evening 1sep..will it still continue?? N why does such happen …why not only rain ..does thunderstorm effect when we r waiting inside home…plz reply sir plz plz

dharmendra thumar
dharmendra thumar
01/09/2014 9:51 pm

Sir navi agahi kyare?

tejabhai
tejabhai
01/09/2014 9:38 pm

Hal low kya chhe?

nitin vadaviya
nitin vadaviya
01/09/2014 9:37 pm

Sir….navi apdate ni varsad ni jem rah joi rahiya chiye.

jakhaniya ashwin
jakhaniya ashwin
01/09/2014 9:27 pm

amdavad ma 7:20 to8:00 vagya suthi ma kadaka bhadaka sathe aproxy 2.5 inch varsad padyo & haju dhimi dhare varsad chalu

vijay ahir
vijay ahir
01/09/2014 9:06 pm

Sir
Jamnagar ma varsad kyare avshe?
Atyar sudhima mand 3 inch thayo chhe

dharmendra antala
dharmendra antala
01/09/2014 8:58 pm

Ashokbhai aa round ma bhadar dam bharay tevi sakyata chhe?

Ramesh vadhel
Ramesh vadhel
01/09/2014 8:56 pm

Thanks Sir….
aapani update mujab Dhasa vistar ma varsad thayel ane amara vistar na chekdemo ourflo thayela chhe . to kharif pak puratu pani no stok thayel chhe.
So sir I am very happy and hopefully and ones again thanks very very much sir……….

janak patel idar
janak patel idar
01/09/2014 8:09 pm

Aaje idar 1″ jetlo varsad thayo.aapnu kam bahu sari che .thank’s for good weather information.

Suresh Hirani
Suresh Hirani
01/09/2014 8:02 pm

At moviya ta gondal

saurin vora
saurin vora
01/09/2014 7:57 pm

sir, cloud top ma -20 to -70 no shu meaning thay.

rakesh
01/09/2014 7:54 pm

Dwarka side varsad ni jarur she 2 tarikh kato 3 tarikh ma aavse sir???????plsss sir

sanjay virani
sanjay virani
01/09/2014 7:50 pm

sir:lathi,damngar ma khub varsad thayo.aa round kai tarikhe puro thase.

jignesh patel
jignesh patel
01/09/2014 7:44 pm

Aaj sanjhe samachar ma havaman vibhag ni aaghai hati k vavajoda sathe varshad these to su vavajodu aava nu che..

yogesh k patel
yogesh k patel
01/09/2014 7:43 pm

sir, amara bahadha kheduto vati vinanti ke
tamo agahi karo tyare gujrati ma pan lakhajo.english ma samajvama takliph thay che. thank you ashokbhai.

Ankit soni
Ankit soni
01/09/2014 7:39 pm

Hello Sir…
good news.. aaje Gadhada ma dhodhmar varshad tyo ..2″thi.3.”..
jetlo ..biju e mare janvo che k ???
imd.gfs forecast ma jota mane aevo lage che k 5 ..tarikhe hevyy varshad mate saro vatavarn che. Mane khber che mandve aave tena gito gavay pan mara gyaan mate khesho .???????
Please sir answer. ……

bipin chaniyara
bipin chaniyara
01/09/2014 7:09 pm

sir,kolki ma aaje bopar pachhi 4 to 5″ varsas chhe

N.S.Makhela
N.S.Makhela
01/09/2014 6:41 pm

Sir
Paddhari Vistar Ma Aagahi Mujab Varsad Thayo
Haju Vadhare Aavse. ?

pradip
pradip
01/09/2014 6:16 pm

Sir aaje to rajkot ma akho divas jarmar varsad aviyo havvy rain avse ke nahi?

chirag koradiya
chirag koradiya
01/09/2014 6:06 pm

When new update ..sir?????

nitin vadaviya
nitin vadaviya
01/09/2014 5:43 pm

Sir…navi apdete kyare muksho

kishan patel
kishan patel
01/09/2014 5:26 pm

Sirji bob baju nvu koi low pressure create thai evu lage che k su???

G M Teraiya
G M Teraiya
01/09/2014 5:17 pm

Sir…
Chital ma aaje dhimi dhare 2each varsad padi gyo.

pravin panara
pravin panara
01/09/2014 4:42 pm

Junagadh vistar ma aa round ma varasad saro thayo, have 2 tarikh pachhi ketla ketla divas varap rahese

Dharmesh patel
Dharmesh patel
01/09/2014 4:29 pm

Gondal savarthi lag bag 3 inch jevo ..atyare. chalu

Shiroya pravin
Shiroya pravin
01/09/2014 4:11 pm

dhari vistar ma saro varsad thayo chhe.

vivek patel
vivek patel
01/09/2014 3:48 pm

Sir haji latipur ma varshad saro thyo nahti aavse

Ramesh Karangia
Ramesh Karangia
01/09/2014 3:28 pm

Sir u r great

Kally makwan
Kally makwan
01/09/2014 2:19 pm

Ashok bhai dhoraji ma varsad nathi avto………………….

Bhavesh
Bhavesh
01/09/2014 1:55 pm

Supedi ma varsat kayra

Laxman ahir
Laxman ahir
01/09/2014 1:49 pm

Sir…kuttch ma mehulo jamto nathi koi upsets plz..

ashvin
ashvin
01/09/2014 1:44 pm

Sir Jetpur ma varsad Sato che

mer kismat
mer kismat
01/09/2014 11:55 am

There are light rain fall during night in botad region !!!!

pradip
pradip
01/09/2014 11:38 am

Sir low presser kiya pahochiyu

pradip
pradip
01/09/2014 11:37 am

Sir varsad to ave Che pan thodikvar ma bandh Thai jay Che continue varsad ave aeva chances khara tankar Latipur side

kalpesh patel
kalpesh patel
01/09/2014 11:33 am

sir paneli moti ma 2 divash maa 11 ench vashad padyo thank you sir

Hitesh patel
Hitesh patel
01/09/2014 11:26 am

Sir bangal ni khadi ma navu lo praser thatu hoy evu lage 6 tame su kaho 6o

Mehul patel
Mehul patel
01/09/2014 11:18 am

Sar rajkot ma man muki Varsad avsi

ashok
ashok
01/09/2014 11:03 am

sir. orissa baju bija ghta vadlao dekhay chhe te shu chhe? plz kak mahiti apso?

G M Teraiya
G M Teraiya
01/09/2014 10:17 am

Tamari aagahi mujab chital ma varsad ta.29 ma divse padyo.pan have ratre ja varsad na japata aave chhe.aam kem.

Nirmal Bhojani
Nirmal Bhojani
01/09/2014 9:35 am

Sir, low pressure je vistar par hoy tya varsad hoy k low pressure ni west dishama j varsad thato hoy 6….

kothiya dines kharedi
kothiya dines kharedi
01/09/2014 9:17 am

Sar 5tarekh pachi barsad ni sakyata

Che

Bhavesh Patel
Bhavesh Patel
01/09/2014 9:06 am

Sir, rat thi atiyar sudhima Lunsar gam ma 3inch jevo varsad varsi gay.

bansipatel
bansipatel
01/09/2014 8:53 am

lowperssur aaje gujarat ma pochi ja6

vijay
vijay
01/09/2014 8:48 am

sir aa varsad bahu tofani chhe bhare gaj vij thay chhe ghani jagya e vijadi padi tenu su karan

Ashok sojitra
Ashok sojitra
01/09/2014 8:39 am

sir…dhoraji ma full rain

anil gami
anil gami
01/09/2014 8:37 am

thanx sir.. to low hoh tya vadlo nathi to te varshad lavi sake?

Ankit soni
Ankit soni
01/09/2014 7:03 am

Good morning sir. …
raat no amare gaam Gadhada ma to dhodmar varshad thyo sir ….
andaje 5″
jetlo 1 j raat ma thyo che sir………
Jay swaminarayun

Dilip kadeval
Dilip kadeval
01/09/2014 1:13 am

Sir … hal jasdanma varsad dhodhmar chalu thyo chhe. 1 vage chalu thayo. Sir mari agli coment pramane vrsad chhe. Sir plz ans me…