Meaningful Rainfall Forecast 20th To 23rd July For Whole Gujarat – Update Of 19th July

Current Weather Conditions on 19th July 2015 @ 11.30 am.

The axis of monsoon trough passes through Bikaner, Jaipur, Nowgong, Sidhi, Daltanganj, Jamshedpur, Diamond Harbour and thence South Eastwards to East central Bay of Bengal and extends upto 3.1 km above mean sea level tilting Southwards with height.

The Western Disturbance as an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over North Pakistan & neighborhood extending upto Mid-Tropospheric levels persists.

There is an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha & adjoining parts of Chhatisgarh and extends upto 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting Southwestwards with height and another Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over West Bengal and neighborhood and extends upto 5.8 km. This has created a broad East West shear zone from West Bengal to Madhya Pradesh.

 

IMD GSF (T574) 700 hPa Forecast Wind Valid 00 UTC 19th July 2015

 

 

IMD_hgfs_700wind_190715

 

IMD GSF (T574) 500 hPa Forecast Wind Valid 00 UTC 19th July 2015

 

IMD_hgfs_500wind_190715

Forecast: 19th July to 23rd July 2015

 

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch:

 

Conditions seem to improve for meaningful round of rainfall expected till 23rd July over whole Gujarat on one/two or multiple days. The main rainfall expected between 20th to 23 rd July. The quantum of rainfall over various regions of Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch would be 35 mm. to 60 mm (1.5 inch to 2.5 inches). with some centers getting above 100 mm (4 inches). The quantum is also depicted by Maps below.

COLA/IGES Rainfall Forecast Map valid for 00 UTC 21st July 2015 (for 20th July)

india3.48hr_190715

COLA/IGES Rainfall Forecast Map valid for 00 UTC 22nd July 2015 (for 21st July)

india3.72hr_190715

 

COLA/IGES Rainfall Forecast Map valid for 00 UTC 23rd July 2015 (for 22nd July)

india3.96hr_190715

તારીખ 19 જૂલાઈ થી 23 જૂલાઈ :

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ:

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ માં સવાર્ત્રિક સંતોષકારક વારસદ નો રાઉન્ડ માટે વાતાવરણ સાનૂકૂળ થતું જાય છે. મુખ્ય વરસાદ 20 જૂલાઈ થી 23 જૂલાઈ દરમ્યાન શક્યતા છે. વરસાદ ની માત્રા નો અંદાજ 35 મીમી થી 60 મીમી (1.5 થી 2.5 ઇંચ ), અને અમૂક વિસ્તાર માં 100 મીમી (4 ઇંચ ) થી પણ વધુ. ક્યાં વિસ્તાર માં હળવો, ક્યાં વિસ્તાર માં મધ્યમ, ક્યાં વિસ્તાર માં ભારે તે માટે ત્રણ દિવસ ના નકશા આપેલ છે. મોડલ આધારિત તેમજ સીસ્ટમ આધારિત વરસાદ હોઈ થોડા ફેર થતા હોઈ છે. છતાં પણ જનરલ રાઉન્ડ છે. અલગ અલગ દિવશે અલગ અલગ વિસ્તાર માં એક, કે બે, કે ત્રણે દિવસે વરસાદ થશે.

સૂચના: કોમેન્ટ માં પ્રશ્ન ઘણા લોકો વાહિયાત પૂછે છે તેમજ રીપીટ પૂછે છે. જેથી ના છૂટકે કોમેન્ટ વ્યવસ્થા બંધ  કરવી પડશે. માટે સંયમ રાખો અને અધીરા ના થાઓ. 25 જૂન 2015 થી કમેન્ટ ના જવાબ દિવસ માં એક કે બે વાર એક સાથે આપવામાં આવશે. જવાબ ની રાહ જોવો અને રીપીટ પૂછો નહિ. આગાહી આપેલ છે તેના થી આગળ ના સમય માટે કઈ સાવલ ના કરવા. જેમ જેમ આગળ નું ચિત્ર સ્પષ્ટ થશે તેમ તેમ અપડેટ થશે.

 

 

 

0 0 votes
Article Rating
373 Add your comment here
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Bipin
Bipin
20/07/2015 5:52 pm

Sir bob ma je vadado chhe te law pressur thai sake ?

jkpatel
jkpatel
20/07/2015 5:46 pm

Sir morbi distric ma pavan ni gati vadare 6e ane tena karne varsadni Matra ma koi fer pade

Vishal patel
Vishal patel
20/07/2015 5:28 pm

Dear sir…Jamnagar ma kiyare varsad avase.kiyare pan nathi aviyo…

R.k.chandravada
R.k.chandravada
20/07/2015 5:26 pm

sir jamnagar dristik ma kal to vadad sayu vatavaran hatu pn aaje to pavan fukai rahyo se te su varsad ma kai nava junu thai varsad to aavva ni sakyata rye j na

Bharat Ahir
Bharat Ahir
20/07/2015 5:23 pm

sir morbi vistar ma aagla raund ma sav oso varsad hto aa vakhte kevu rese.

chetansuthar
chetansuthar
20/07/2015 5:13 pm

Sir lunavada ma bhare varsad ni sakyta

ankur sapariya
ankur sapariya
20/07/2015 5:11 pm

sir aa vakhte gujrati ma aagahi kem nathi btavti tamara page uper

Hiren patel
Hiren patel
20/07/2015 5:04 pm

Halma bob ma koi system che ???

anil patel
anil patel
20/07/2015 4:50 pm

according to skymate on 22july south gujrat recevie heavy rain also some saurastra area recevie havey rain likeli bhavangat ans amreli more chaance

laxman Ahir
laxman Ahir
20/07/2015 4:47 pm

Sir kuttch ma vatavarn to saru che pan pavan ni Gati vathare che plz..answer

mahendra
mahendra
20/07/2015 4:46 pm

Dhrol ma varshad avse ke nay

ramesh savseta
ramesh savseta
20/07/2015 4:46 pm

sir varsad avto nathi tamara upar bharoso rakhi ne rah joye 6paddhari ma kyare ave teni

Bharat
Bharat
20/07/2015 4:36 pm

Sir saurashtra ma ketli tarikhe varsad pahosse pls ans

mayur surani
mayur surani
20/07/2015 4:36 pm

Sir Amreli ma Varsad ni sakyta kevik sistam ma koy fark che

jayesh manvar
jayesh manvar
20/07/2015 4:10 pm

Sir me abhyash karyo ae mujab Manavdar baju 1.5 inch Varsad 23 tarikhe thase sachu ? Javab aapso plz

jayantilal sanghani
jayantilal sanghani
20/07/2015 3:50 pm

Sir Tankarama kiyare sara varsadni shakyata plz

anil patel
anil patel
20/07/2015 3:43 pm

south gujrat ma varshad chalu se teva samachar se… kaprada and dharmpur ma 1 thi 2 inch varshad padi gyo

vipul desai
vipul desai
20/07/2015 3:42 pm

Rajkot ma bafaro khub thay chhe

ashok vala
ashok vala
20/07/2015 3:38 pm

sir. Guj.na bija vistar karta SORATH ma vadhu varsad padi sake k ochho? Ane nondh patr varsad kai tarikhe avavana chans?

MAKVANA SANJAY
MAKVANA SANJAY
20/07/2015 3:14 pm

thanks sir. Q.વાદળ ફાટવું એટલે શું?Ans. મળી ગયો છે મેઘસ્ફોટ 6 ઑગષ્ટ 2010 લેહમાં 1મીનીટમાં 1.9 ઇંચ વરસાદ થયો હતો.

Keyur
Keyur
20/07/2015 3:07 pm

Sir,khajuri gundala ma varsad padavani sakyata khari?

anil patel
anil patel
20/07/2015 3:04 pm

mara anuman mujab 21th na south gujrat and bhavnagar amreli ma bhare varshad padse

mayur patel
mayur patel
20/07/2015 3:02 pm

Sir
Jamnagar ma haju nerutya na pavano fukay che te Varsad mate kyak pratikul to sabit nay thay ne?

naresh popat
naresh popat
20/07/2015 2:57 pm

Sir morbi baju 4 inch sudhi avi sake varsad ane amreli jilla na dhari ma ketla inch sudhi sakyata che please reply sir

mayur sinh
mayur sinh
20/07/2015 2:56 pm

Sir Jamnagar darikatha vistar ma jaja varsafd ni sakyata khari??

Narendra Baraiya
Narendra Baraiya
20/07/2015 2:52 pm

Jamnagar ma japta chalu thaya

bharat A.patel. gandhinagar
bharat A.patel. gandhinagar
20/07/2015 2:49 pm

Sir gandhinagar ma kedi rain aav vaani shakyataa che.black vadal che.

sanjay kangad
sanjay kangad
20/07/2015 2:46 pm

Sir tame je uac ni vat karo te uac vishe thodu vistar thi janavaso

nishant
nishant
20/07/2015 2:36 pm

Sir, amdavad ma kyare varsad aavse…. Have bhajiyaa khava ni echaaa thay che…..

Rahul
Rahul
20/07/2015 2:34 pm

Ashok Sir
Atyare Law Pressure kai jagya a and ktla praman ma 6e…?plz give me answer sir….

Nishit Thakker
Nishit Thakker
20/07/2015 2:33 pm

Sir pls give me information about currant low pressure position

hiren
hiren
20/07/2015 2:26 pm

Sir as per my observation the system is go in weak condition so sir please reply is it right that the system is in goes in weak day by day? please answer sir……

kalpesh patel
kalpesh patel
20/07/2015 2:26 pm

Sir
Mp varu j low preshar thayu che to pachi saurastra ne vashad no laabh vadhu mali sake

kanani
kanani
20/07/2015 2:24 pm

Sir,jamnagar ma kedi rain aav vaani shakyataa che

rasikvadalia
rasikvadalia
20/07/2015 2:14 pm

Namaste sir
chomasu dhari hal ma kai jagya a che ? Plzz sir javab aapjo

Tarpan
Tarpan
20/07/2015 2:13 pm

Ankleshwar , gujarat ma kyare padse varsad??

Sanket savsani
Sanket savsani
20/07/2015 1:49 pm

Sir saurastra ma rain kyare pochse??

Hiren patel
Hiren patel
20/07/2015 1:45 pm

Sir dilhi ma vadhare varsad kem PDE che ?

rajesh kapuriya
rajesh kapuriya
20/07/2015 1:20 pm

Sir varsad gujarat ni andar entry kyare karse

satish patel
20/07/2015 12:50 pm

sir balasinor ma sara varsad ni sakyata khari. ?

Kauahik
Kauahik
20/07/2015 12:26 pm

Sir
Inset image jota evu lage se ke je ghata vadlo no samuh kale guj upar avse atyare khali acha vadlo j se

yogesh patel
yogesh patel
20/07/2015 12:01 pm

Sir,mane nathi lagtu ke 20 thi 23 july ma varsad thay…tamaru su kahevu se…kapas nu vavetar fail jay tem se please javab aapjo

Hiten patel
Hiten patel
20/07/2015 11:59 am

As per imd rain forecast look like system divert toward rajsthan but, rainy environment in surendranagar and full trust also on u.
But that chart make fear in mind.
Feel good or some worry their sir?

ankur sapariya
ankur sapariya
20/07/2015 11:52 am

sir chomasu dhari kai position ma che atyare plz ans. me

Renish gami
Renish gami
20/07/2015 11:46 am

Sir on monday there will be much favourable condition for the monsson to be expected but actually quantum on rain will only be bt.1.5 inch to 4 inch. In various part of gujarat…………how much qtm.of rain is getting for rajkotions…………

piyush ahir
20/07/2015 11:45 am

sir aaje to varsad aave evu lagtu nathi vadal sayu vatavran 6

bhavesh vasoya
bhavesh vasoya
20/07/2015 11:24 am

sir jamnagar. ma varshad Ni. mantra kevirese

vipul patel
vipul patel
20/07/2015 11:23 am

Sir inset jota evu lage she k m.p.varu low preshar Maharashtra baju nami gyu 6e to teno labha saurashat ne to malse ne place ..ans..
Aa sistam upar ghani ASHA 6e…

Jaydip Zankat
Jaydip Zankat
20/07/2015 11:17 am

Sir mp par j low na vadalo dekhai che te saurastra ma kyare pohchse????

Dr.savsani
Dr.savsani
20/07/2015 10:58 am

Morbi ma savarthi rasta bhina thai tevo zaramar varsad chalu