Current Weather Conditions on 8th July 2016
The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat. 24.0°N/ Long. 60.0°E, Lat. 24.0°N/ Long. 70.0°E, Bhuj, Jodhpur, Phalodi and Lat. 28.0°N/ Long. 71.0°E.
Conditions are becoming favorable for further advance of Southwest Monsoon into remaining parts of Kutch and West Rajasthan by 12th/13th July.
The Well Marked Low Pressure area over Northeast Madhya Pradesh & neighborhood, weakened into a Low Pressure area and lies over the same area. The associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.
The trough at mean sea level now runs from Punjab to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal across Haryana, south Uttar Pradesh, Center of Low Pressure area, Jharkhand, Odisha and Northwest Bay of Bengal.
The off-shore trough at mean sea level runs from Karnataka coast to Kerala coast.
The Western Disturbance as UAC lies over Eastern parts of Jammu & Kashmir & neighborhood between 2.1 km & 3.6 km above mean sea level.
There is a UAC over Northwest Bay of Bengal & adjoining areas of Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Chhattisgarh & Vidarbha between 3.1 & 7.6 km above mean sea level.
Forecast: 9th July to 14th July 2016
The Depression System over Northeast Madhya Pradesh had weakened to a WMLP and subsequently to a Low Pressure over the same region with associated UAC up to 1.5 Kms. above sea level. There is another UAC over a very large area covering Northwest Bay of Bengal, Odisha, Gangetic West Bengal, Chhattisgarh & Vidarbha at 3.1 Kms & 7.6 Kms. above mean sea level. Both these will merge and gradually track Westwards. Main strength of UAC will be at 3.1 kms. upto 5.8 Kms.
Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 8th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC
Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 9th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC
Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 10th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC
Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch: 9th July to 14th July
Light, medium, heavy rainfall expected initially along Gujarat border areas and subsequently move inwards during the forecast period. The quantum of rainfall is System (UAC) dependent and would var from places to places. Saurashtra expected to get light, medium rainfall with isolated heavy rainfall during the forecast period. All areas of Saurashtra will have varying amount of rainfall and it is difficult to pin point specific areas since the expected rainfall is System dependent (UAC). Monsoon expected to cover the remaining areas of Kutch and so expected to get light to medium rainfall with isolated heavy rain. The quantity of rain will be completely variable. High speed winds from Arabian Sea will blow over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch during the forecast period. Cloudy weather expected on many days of forecast period.
Rain quantum over Gujarat will be higher than Saurashtra & Kutch.
There is some differences in the forecast location of 850 hPa UAC in Forecat maps of GSF & ECMWF as shown in respective maps valid for 11th July 0600 UTC.
Wunderground ECMWF 850 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 00 UTC Valid for 11th July 2016 @ 0600 UTC
Wunderground GFS 850 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 00 UTC Valid for 11th July 2016 @ 0600 UTC
Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 8th July 2016
(નોંધ: કચ્છ માટે સૌરાષ્ટ્ર મૂજબ ની આગાહી સમજવી )
Weather Forecast In Sanj Samachar Daily Dated 8th July 2016
Guideline for Comments:
1. Please post comment if you have a valid email address.
2. Read earlier comments and their reply before posting any comment.
3. Do not ask question about when the update will take place. Usually as and when deemed fit update will be given.
4. I do not forecast for long term, so do not ask for any forecast beyond 7 days.
5. Do not ask when it will rain in any city, town or village or city. Normally the forecast is given for broad areas of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat. However, for your information Multicity Wunderground Forecast link has been provided for various centers of Gujarat, Sayrashtra & Kutch.
6. All Comments will not be answered. Comments that is meant for larger audience is preferable and will be answered.
કમેન્ટ માટે માર્ગદર્શન:
1. ખરું ઈ મેઈલ એડ્રેસ હોઈ તો કમેન્ટ કરો.
2. આગળ સવાલો અને તેના જવાબ વાંચી ને તમારી કમેન્ટ કરો.
3. “અપડેટ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ કરવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે યોગ્ય લાગશે ત્યારે અપડેટ થશે.
4. હું લાંબા ગાળા ની આગાહી નથી કરતો માટે 7 દિવસ થી આગળ માટે આગાહી બાબત કમેન્ટ ના કરવી.
5. “મારા શહેર, કે ગામ માં વરસાદ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ પૂછવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ ના બહોળા વિસ્તારો ની આગાહી આપેલ હોઈ છે.
6. જે કમેન્ટ વધુ લોકો ને સ્પર્શતો હોઈ તે આવકાર્ય છે અને તેના યોગ્ય જવાબ મળશે. બધા કમેન્ટ નો જવાબ નહીં મળે.
Kayk sara samachar apo
Gujarat ma varsad amook centaro ma padyo…. tene sara samachar kahevaay !!
Sir ahemdabad Havaman vibhag ni bhare varsad ni 1 thi 9 inch ni aagahi kare che 24 kalak ma tamaru anuman chu che
Sir i am sorry. 8:00 thi 9:24 sudima Dhodhmar varsad padyo
. Lag bhag 4 thi 4.25 inch jetlo varsad padyo Haal maa pan chaaluj CHE DAHOD MAA
Varsadni saruat
SU ane kyan ?
COLA image jovani lik. apo
COLA ni koi image jovani link nathi.
COLA forecast model chhe jeni link ahi menu ma aapel chhe.
Sir atyre dehgam talukana jindva gam ma jordar varsad chaluse 7:30pm thi continu…..
Sir; hvamaan khata ae 24 klak ma bhare varsaad ni aagahi kri chhe….is it so as per your opinion? Saurashtr ma aeni asar btavshe?
Is Ahmedabad considered in Central Gujarat or North Gujarat?
What difference would it make ?
North Gujarat
Sir junagadh jillama sakyta che
News ma kahe che sourashtra ma 24 kalak ma bhare varsad padse.
Bhaio sawal eava pusho ke tenathi ghana mitro ne labh thay nakar comment bandh thase gaya varse thayu tu khabar she ne 4 di sudhi taiyar bhajiya madiya ta bheri chatni nahoti madi
Sav sachi vat kari …pan avu kya koine karvu 6e. 50% ava se ke aagahi vachta nathi ane prasno pu6e 6e.
5:30 pm amdavad ma aje saro varsad ther ther pani bharaya……
Sir ta-12 thi sourastra-kuch ma varsad padvani sakyata che. Je normal hase tyar bad ta-20 sudhi japta ane halva varshad no dor chalu rese ane mara aagotara anuman mujab ta-22-24. Aspas sourastra-kuch ane gujrat ma bhare varsad ni sakyata janay che.nadi ane demo chalkave tevo. Ane sir hu aa anuman athe-gathe nathi karto pan ta-13 na roj tena purava tamara same raju karis ane tamne pan avu kai lagtu hoi to mari coment no bandh muthi ma javab apjo? Nahitar rasto sacho che ke khonto te janavajo.pls
Sir. Tankara taluka na otala gamma andajit 2 ech varsad 2 kalak dhimi dhare padiyo
મિત્રો plz રિકવેષ્ટ છે આપને કે ખોટા સવાલો ના પૂછો નહિ તો કમેન્ટ ની સુવિધા બંધ થઇ જશે જે જરૂરી જાણકારી મેળવવી હશે આપણે એ પણ નહિ મળી શકે..એટલે વિનંતી છે આપ સૌ ને મારી..આપણે શીખવાનું છે ઘણું હજી…
Sir
Please comment bandh na karata
Vahiyat saval kare tena javab na apata
Please mitro khota saval na karata je nava junu hoy te ashok sir update karej se to thodi dhiraj rakhava vinati
Tankara Taluka nu maru gaam bangavdi ma 3 inch varsad
It is raining in ahemdabad at 6:15 pm feel very happy thanks god
Ashokbhai
Moti umar na loko evu kahe chhe k aabh chokhu thase pachhij Varsad jor karse, Atyare sav thandu padi gayu chhe…..
સર, અરબસાગરમાં સીસ્ટમ કયા મહિનામાં બનવાના વધારે ચાન્સ હોય.
Normally April/may and October/November
Sir tame agli comment ma kidhu k kutch ma varsad thase to tame update ma kidhu se k kutch ni agahi sourashtra mujab samajvi to Amare sourashtra ma kutch ni jem varsad padse?
Hi sir
16 date nu cola image jota aevu lage 6 ke arbi ma UAC ke LOW banvanu 6
Plz rep…
Tamey joyu hoi te tamone khabar padey !!
Sir mahisagar gilla ma varsad padchhe
Sir
Rajkot ma rasta j bhina thay se Aa round rajkot ne faydo karse
સર મોરબી નુ માળીયા કચ્છ મા આવે ?
Saurashtra… kutch ni najik.
Sir central gujrat ma kyo vishtar ave
Vadodara thi Dahod ane aaspaas
Sir, new low pressure this Gujarat ne kai faydo that tevu kharu? Jo atyare jharkhand par che?
Sir central gujrat anand ma chella 3/4 divas thi barabar vadad chayu che pan varsad nu ek tipu pan padtu nathi sir ane au varsad avani shakyata che sir ….
Paddhari varsad chalu
Sir amare keshod baju vatavaran varsad mate saru 6.ke nahi.last 3 divas thi japta pade 6.ane agahi samay ma amare 1 inch jetlo varsad padi sake? Half pavan khubaj 6.and divas bhar ma 4 5 japta pade 6.
Gondal ma saru japtu 2:15 pm
Dear ashok Bhai,
As per akila news 39 inch rain in nasik 9 kalak ma thodok saurashtra baju moklo ne ? Ane sir aa dang, saputara, arvali ma kai sistem aadharit varsad pade che??
Nasik ni varsad ni matra ni mahiti khoti chhe
Sir wether varsad ne anukul 6 chata varsad km nathi avto..
Sir aravalli dist.ma ketla % sakyata chhe aje?
The dang ane valshad ma de dhanadhan 8 inch jevo varshad
Sir hal nu vatavaran jota Kutch ma 12 thi 14 july vachhe varsad thase?
Yes
W G west emage ane cola emage ma aje ghano ferbatave che anu su karan hoi sake?
Tamo su jovo chho teni khabar nathi.
Ek Satellite picture chhe…. biju forecast model chhe.
Sir MP vari system somvare gujarat and Rajasthan border par avani hati tena su news che sir ..
Sir,
Looking to COLA images, it shows lighter to moderate rain at coastal part of Jamnagar and Devbhoomi Dwarka dist, at the same time, accuweather is also showing 15 mm to 22 mm rain at Khambhalia and Jamnagar on 13th July, can we expect atleast one inch rain or more on 13th , as farmers have already done plantation, waiting for suposrtive showers, request to reply.
Refer to forecast dated 8th July 2016
Sir saurashtra na comment answer jota aevo saar male ke haal ni systam no khash benefit saurashtra ne nahi male ae pakku!
aagahi ma lakhel chhe ke Gujarat karta Saurashtra ni matra ochhi samajvi
sir amara halvad ma varsad chalu tai gayo che sir ane biji vat uac to ahmedvad baju che to amare kuch bajithi varsad kem aavyo?
Rotla nu kaam chhe ke tapaka nu ?
As per Akilanews in Nashik 39 Inch in 9 Hour
Further except Gujarat and Sikkim State Normal or Excess Rainfall in All over India.
Pavan ni jadap bahu chhe tenu su karn chhe
Bhej yukta fast pavano andarooni vistaro ma jaay chhe.
The GFS expects 10-20 inches of rainfall in central Gujarat, 2-5 inches in north Gujarat and Sindh in the coming 3 days.
By gfs mode today forecast…….
Sir banaskantha ma varsad ni sakyata kahari 1 2 divas ma?
ગુજરાત માં વરસાદ થવા માટે શુ નડતર છે…..??
Kai nahi.
રાજકોટ મા ઝાપટૂ 7:00 શવારે
Nahi jevo road padayo hato….. 0.6 mm. fakt !
Sar.devbhumi-dawaka ma pavn jardar 6e.kiyare ghimo padse ? Ply
Pavano raheshe.
સર સવરાષ્ટ્રમા કયારે વરસાદ આવ છે
Dineshbhai email address check karo !
sir.system shu weak padi gay chhe? haju gujarat ma kyay varsad na samachar nathi
Aje sakyata che varsad ni sabarkatha baju?