Weather Conditions on 11th September 2017
The Axis of Monsoon trough at mean sea level continues to run along the foot hills of Himalayas.
There is an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Coastal Kerala & neighborhood at 3.1 km above mean sea level.
There is also an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Sindh & adjoining Southwest Rajasthan at 3.1 km. above mean sea level.
An Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation is expected to form within one/two days over Madhya Pradesh & neighborhood.
Forecast: Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch
Updated for 11th to 17th September 2017
South Gujarat, East Central Gujarat & Areas of Gujarat bordering Madhya Pradesh expected get on different days scattered showers/light or medium rain with isolated heavy rain during the forecast period cumulative quantum 4 cm. to 8 cm. (40 mm. to 80 mm). Isolated centers could get erratic very heavy rains.
60% areas of Saurashtra especially Eastern & Southern Saurashtra expected get on some days scattered showers/light or medium rain with isolated heavy rain during the forecast period cumulative quantum 3 cm. to 5 cm. (30 mm. to 50 mm). Isolated centers could get more than 50 mm rainfall.
Kutch & nearby areas of North & West Saurashtra & adjoining areas of North Gujarat expected get on few days scattered showers/light rain during the forecast period and not expected to be significant rain.
Note: There is a very big difference of quantum of rain between various forecast models.
આગાહી: સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, કચ્છ અને ગુજરાત
અપડેટ 11 થી 17 સપ્ટેમ્બર 2017
દક્ષીણ ગુજરાત, મધ્ય ગુજરાત અને મધ્ય પ્રદેશ નજીક ના ગુજરાત ના વિસ્તાર માં અલગ અલગ દિવસે ઝાપટા/હળવો મધ્યમ વરસાદ અને કોઈ કોઈ જગ્યાએ ભારે વરસાદ ની શક્યતા છે. જેની કુલ માત્રા 4 સેમી થી 8 સેમી. (40 થી 80 મીલીમીટર) સુધી. એકલ દોકલ જગ્યાએ અસાધારણ ભારે વરસાદ.
60% સૌરાષ્ટ્ર મુખ્યત્વે દક્ષિણ અને પૂર્વ ભાગો માં અમૂક દિવસે છુટા છવાયા ઝાપટા /હળવો-મધ્યમ વરસાદ અને કોઈ કોઈ જગ્યાએ ભારે વરસાદ ની શક્યતા છે જેની કુલ માત્રા 3 સેમી થી 5 સેમી. (30 થી 50 મીલીમીટર) સુધી. કોઈ કોઈ જગ્યાએ 50 મીલીમીટર થી વધુ ની શક્યતા છે.
કચ્છ તેમજ પશ્ચિમ અને ઉત્તર સૌરાષ્ટ્ર અને કચ્છ લાગુ ઉત્તર ગુજરાત બાજુ અમૂક દિવસે છુટા છવાયા ઝાપટા /હળવો વરસાદ પણ નોંધ પાત્ર માત્રા ની શક્યતા ઓછી.
નોંધ: અલગ અલગ ફોરકાસ્ટ મોડલ વચ્ચે માત્રા માં બહુ મોટો તફાવત છે.
Caution:
Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.
સાવચેતી:
સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.
Sir first of all you r a great …when I come to know about u …I miracled that Ashokbhaoi gives so perfect forecast… And helps the government and the Indian people through forecast…such a great job Ashokshaheb….. Well I have question that ” hamna mare Rajasthan Ajmer javanu thase .to kyo samay vadhu hitavah rehse……? Kyare jav to varsad ni sambhavna nai hoy? Kya divsoma vadhare varsad base…?please guide me …
Hu laamba gaadani aagahi nathi karto.
Haal javanu hoy aney tarikh ane area hoy toe khabar padey.
18/19/20 ma pan 11 thi 17 jevu vatavan rahe tevu lage se..
નમસકાર સર તારીખ 17થી 23 મા વરાપ રહેશે કે વરસાદ આવશે મગફઙી પાકી ગય છે તો કાઢવાની ખબર પડે
Magafali oopadvi te tamaro visay chhe.
Haal chhuta chhaya varsad ni vaat chhe Saurashtra ma.
Tyar baad varsad vadhe ke ghate te haju nakki nathi. Chomasu viday baaki chhe.
Gamey te karo Magfadi Kudarat na haath ma chhe….je kai karo…. Patharey laambo time na rakhavi….
Ashok bhai precipations forecast ma cola image 21 thi 29 ma daily rate cloud batave che pan divase nai batavtu tenu reasons su che….
tamey shu jovo chho ?
COLA vadada nathi pan Varsad forecast batave chhe week 2
I have observed that, last few years southwest monsoon has withdrawn much later.There is a same condition in running year.
Jsk sir
14/9/17 na bhubnewer odisha
Varsad kevok rahe che ??
Aje 13/9/17 na be var jordar varsad Avi gyo ky kam na thava didhu (tur ma Su sir janavva vinati)
BHubneshwar … 14/9 zaapta ..pachhi bey trandivas kai nahi
Namaste sir
Havaman khatu amdavad have 5 divas ni sarvtrik bhare varsad ni aagahi aape chhe khas karine 15 – 17 tarikh ma aa vise tamaru su manvu chhe
IMD Ahmedabad Evu kai kahel nathi.
tamari passey proof hoy link aapo.
Windy ECMWF pramane 17/18 date ma saurastra ma sara zapta batave chhe ,ane west side ane kutchh ma pan halva zapta batave chhe, 11 ane 12 tarikhe windy ECMWF pramane j amreli bhavnagar junagadh ma sara zapta padya hta. Sir apni agahi pramane j varsad pade chhe. Thank you very much sir ji..
sir..
11 tarikh thi bahu j garami ane bafaro thato hto pan atyare sanjana 8 vagye thi thando pavan vay se..to varsad sans vadhya ke ghatya ..piz ans
Najik ma kyank padyo ho toe vatavaran ma thandak hoy.
pan sir najik ma varsad na kai samasar nathi …..dariya baju thi aave atle thando hse..? ke pasi dariya ma varsad hse..?
Sir..
varsad matra 17 sudhi aavi j rahse ke pasi vadh ghat thase..?
plize ans..
aagahi vancho
Ane Sir, windyty j system 22 tarikhe MP na Jabalpur oopar pahochati batave chhe te system Uttarakhand via Delhi pahochi sake
Mari range ni bahar ni tarikh nu hu kai joto nathi
Good evening Sir, tarikh 16/9 850 hpa wind Rajshthan ma thi chomasu viday levani saruaat karse ava sanket ape chhe.
Rajkot jilla na gondl taluka na dhudshiya gam ma saro varsad 5 pm na smachhar chhe
Sir,
20 September e BOB ma 850 hpa ma je strong system taiyar thai 22 ni aaspas Central India pahonche chhe.
Eno track nakki na hovana lidhe COLA roj badlatu hoy evu lage chhe.
Tamaru ena track vishe su anuman chhe?
Kai nahi
Sir
Aje junaghdh taluka na gam bandhala bajuma pipaliya mandlikpur ma bapore 2 inch jevo varsad hato
સર આકાશ નો કલર બલુ હોવો જોઇ અને ખડા સફેદ તો વરસાદ સારો આવે એમાનુ કઇ નથી .
MAdhya prades vadi system kyare pahochse gujrat
Ek var prashna kari jawab ni raah jovo.
M.P. vari System Gujarat aavashe em kai kahel nathi.
Sir MP/maharashtra baju LOW se to MSLP ma Kem batavatu nathi?
MP/Maharashtra ma LOw chhe evu kyanthi lai avyaa ?
UAC chhe… 700 hPa
Kalawad ma varsad aavse
Jamnagar ma varsad aavse temaj kalawad varsad aavse sistam che tya
Tamo tem kaho chho ke puchho chho ?
Wunderground ma jovo.. andaj madey 4 divas maate
Good evening sir, windyty ma ak system 19 tarikhe Bob ma thi bani ne 22 tarikhe MP na Jabalpur oopar pahochati batave chhe
Bhavnagar jilla ma aje pan Koru.. bhare bafaro chhe..lage chhe varsad hathtali api gyo.. 80-90% forecast hova chhatay ek chhatoy nathi
saurashtra mate varsad no chhelo divas hato…aa vakhate badha khota padya sir…
Kem kaalthi Kamurta besey chhe ?
Haal Shraad chalu chhe.
અમુક લોકોને વરસાદ ની નાપડી હોય તે આગાહી ખોટી પડવાની વાટ જોતા હોય
Sir, Anand agriculture university na dr.vyas pandey ni aagahi chhe ke upper air circulation na lidhe 24 tarikh sudhi light to heavy varsad na zapta chalu j rehse..
Today, a Low-level circulation seen over Madhyapradesh. AM i right?
M.P./Maharashtra
sir have thi varsd ni matra ghatse ke su? pls ans.
Sir Rajasthan ma chomasu viday liye e Kay rite hoy??
Havaman khatu kaheshe…. etle chhapa ma gaajshe etle khabar padi jashe.
Baki viday na paribad jova hoy toe English ma chhe ahi website ma IMD ni link ma Menu ma
sir aa varsad no raound system aadhari 6 ke? thundercloud na hisabe thay 6.?
karanke amare 3day thi vatavaran ma evu lage ke aaje to varo aavi jase,pan vadaro aave ane varasta nathi.
koi local system bane tevi garmi ane ukarat thay se.
15sep.pasi sir local system vadhu bhej ane garmi na karane banti hoy 6 ke evu nathi.
Oopala level ma asthirta chhe…. baaki Saurashtra ni Dakshiney Gujarat/Mumbai baju trough chhe.
M.P./Maharashtra baju UAC chhe je … Gujarat ne laabh aapi shakey.
Rajkot ma bovaj bafaro 6 thodok varshid moklone look
Mitro aaj no varsad hoy to lakh Jo… Kolki ma nanu zaptu chhe
Namaste sir,
aatali garami sakhat bafaro tem 6ata pan kem varsad nay avto hoy
kutiyana dis porbandar
Bhej ne hisabe bafarochhe.
Ta- 22 thi 26 ma kai hoy to aagotru andhan aapjo sir ples.
Gam- rajapara, dvarka.
Sir Chomasu vadhu time rokase aa varshe?
Chomasu Rajasthan mathi viday na thaay tyan sudhi toe chhe j. Pachhi agad ni khabar padey.
Ajna menu ma Botad na East baju no varo lage chhe
સર નોરતા મા વરસાદ છે કે નથી સાહેબ જવાબ આપજો please
17 tarikh sudhi ni update aapel chhe.
hu laambaa gaadaani aagahi nathi karto
13 September
Thunder is rumbling over Ahmedabad from 2-30 PM.
Conditions are overcast from the morning.
PM Modi will be here in an hour for two-day visit.
Hope the weather will remain clear and dry today and tomorrow.
Junagadh na keshod ma varsad 1/2divas ma avse sir
Hello sar
Mangrol taluka ma Atyar lagi sata pan nathi to have varasad thase k pani varavanu chalu kariye
Te tamarey nakki karvanu… kheti tamaro visay chhe…
Junagadh mendarda ma kedi varsase varsad
Thankyu sir ta. jilo amreli. Gam chital amare aje dhodhmar varsad padyo haju chalu khubaj gajvij sathe 1.5thi 2 inch jevo .
Sir Madhya Pradesh Wadi system Arbi Samudra ni system ganay k nai?
Te Madhya Pradeshwadi ganay.
Bhej Arabian And BOB mathi aavey.
Cola pan khare khari nu chhe. Varmvar rang badle chhe. Ghadik lal Ghadik dhoru
કાલ નુ મેળવણ નાખી દીધુ છે અને ત્યાર બાદ અત્યાર સુધી આંગળી બોળી નથી. હવે જોઈ 2દિવસ નુ દહી જામે કે આથો આવે
Sir aj maliya hatina no varo avse
સર
તમે કહ્યું હતું કે મધ્યપ્રદેશ પર અપર એર સરક્યુલેશન સર્જાવાનું છે તો તેનું શું થયું?
Chhe.
Hello sir,
What is the current situation of the system? And which direction it is moving?
Which System ?
sir tharad vistar rajstan bodar vistar ma atisay bafato chuta chavay vadal chhe pavan nathi to sir varsadi mahol kevo raheshe plz sir answer
Chela bhai aapn ne javab nahi male …
Aapne bodar pase chhe etle
Mane contact karo whatsapp par
9924382214
“Varsad amara gaam ma kyare” no jawab koi ne nathi malto. Etle Wunderground ni 4 divas ni aagahi aapel chhe vistar pramaney ahi menu ma.
chhata puchhya rakho chho. Ahi Gujarat hoy ke Dakshin Gujarat hoy ke Kutch hoy ke Saurashtra …. badhu sarkh chhe.
Je kai aagahi aapel chhe tema andaj aapel hoy… baaki je result aavey te !
Hello sir, News about Mumbai received very heavy rain last night with lots of thunder.
Satat bhur pavan kem vay se ?
Ke have bhur j reshe ?
Evu na hoy. Badhey bhur ( Northeast) pavan na hoy.
Sir Aatli bhari..Garmi Aane bafaro kem thay che Aamari baju to varsad ni Aaha ochi che sata pan…
K pachi 20 na varsad batave eni garmi che…..?