System Over Northeast Madhya Pradesh Has Weakened To A Low Pressure – UAC Dependent Rainfall Expected Over Gujarat & Then Saurashtra & Kutch 9th To 14th July

Current Weather Conditions on 8th July 2016

The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat. 24.0°N/ Long. 60.0°E, Lat. 24.0°N/ Long. 70.0°E, Bhuj, Jodhpur, Phalodi and Lat. 28.0°N/ Long. 71.0°E.

Conditions are becoming favorable for further advance of Southwest Monsoon into remaining parts of Kutch and West Rajasthan by 12th/13th July.

The Well Marked Low Pressure area over Northeast Madhya Pradesh & neighborhood, weakened into a Low Pressure area and lies over the same area. The associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.

The trough at mean sea level now runs from Punjab to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal across Haryana, south Uttar Pradesh, Center of Low Pressure area, Jharkhand, Odisha and Northwest Bay of Bengal.

The off-­shore trough at mean sea level runs from Karnataka coast to Kerala coast.

The Western Disturbance as UAC lies over Eastern parts of Jammu & Kashmir & neighborhood between 2.1 km & 3.6 km above mean sea level.

There is a UAC over Northwest Bay of Bengal & adjoining areas of Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Chhattisgarh & Vidarbha between 3.1 & 7.6 km above mean sea level.

Forecast: 9th July to 14th July 2016

The Depression System over Northeast Madhya Pradesh had weakened to a WMLP and subsequently to a Low Pressure over the same region with associated UAC up to 1.5 Kms. above sea level. There is another UAC over a very large area covering Northwest Bay of Bengal, Odisha, Gangetic West Bengal, Chhattisgarh & Vidarbha at 3.1 Kms & 7.6 Kms. above mean sea level. Both these will merge and gradually track Westwards. Main strength of UAC will be at 3.1 kms. upto 5.8 Kms.

 

Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 8th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC

 

 

Wunderground_GSF_700_080716_080716_1200z

Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 9th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC

 

Wunderground_GSF_700_080716_090716_1200z

Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 10th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC

 

Wunderground_GSF_700_080716_100716_1200z

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch: 9th July to 14th July

Light, medium, heavy rainfall expected initially along Gujarat border areas and subsequently move inwards during the forecast period. The quantum of rainfall is System (UAC) dependent and would var from places to places. Saurashtra expected to get light, medium rainfall with isolated heavy rainfall during the forecast period. All areas of Saurashtra will have varying amount of rainfall and it is difficult to pin point specific areas since the expected rainfall is System dependent (UAC). Monsoon expected to cover the remaining areas of Kutch and so expected to get light to medium rainfall with isolated heavy rain. The quantity of rain will be completely variable. High speed winds from Arabian Sea will blow over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch during the forecast period. Cloudy weather expected on many days of forecast period.

Rain quantum over Gujarat will be higher than Saurashtra & Kutch.

There is some differences in the forecast location of 850 hPa UAC in Forecat maps of GSF & ECMWF as shown in respective maps valid for 11th July 0600 UTC.

Wunderground ECMWF 850 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 00 UTC Valid for 11th July 2016 @ 0600 UTC

 

Wunderground_ECMWF_850_080716_110716_0600z

 

Wunderground GFS 850 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 00 UTC Valid for 11th July 2016 @ 0600 UTC

 Wunderground_GSF_850_080716_110716_0600z

 

 

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 8th July 2016

(નોંધ: કચ્છ માટે સૌરાષ્ટ્ર મૂજબ ની  આગાહી સમજવી )

akila_080716

 

Weather Forecast In Sanj Samachar Daily Dated 8th July 2016

 

 

 SanjSamachar_080716

Guideline for Comments:

1. Please post comment if you have a valid email address.

2. Read earlier comments and their reply before posting any comment.

3. Do not ask question about when the update will take place. Usually as and when deemed fit update will be given.

4. I do not forecast for long term, so do not ask for any forecast beyond 7 days.

5. Do not ask when it will rain in any city, town or village or city. Normally the forecast is given for broad areas of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat. However, for your information Multicity Wunderground Forecast link has been provided for various centers of Gujarat, Sayrashtra & Kutch.

6. All Comments will not be answered. Comments that is meant for larger audience is preferable and will be answered.

 

કમેન્ટ માટે માર્ગદર્શન:

1. ખરું ઈ મેઈલ એડ્રેસ હોઈ તો કમેન્ટ કરો.

2. આગળ સવાલો અને તેના જવાબ વાંચી ને તમારી કમેન્ટ કરો.

3. “અપડેટ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ કરવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે યોગ્ય લાગશે ત્યારે અપડેટ થશે.

4. હું લાંબા ગાળા ની આગાહી નથી કરતો માટે 7 દિવસ થી આગળ માટે આગાહી બાબત કમેન્ટ ના કરવી.

5. “મારા શહેર, કે ગામ માં વરસાદ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ પૂછવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ ના બહોળા વિસ્તારો ની આગાહી આપેલ હોઈ છે.

6. જે કમેન્ટ વધુ લોકો ને સ્પર્શતો હોઈ તે આવકાર્ય છે અને તેના યોગ્ય જવાબ મળશે. બધા કમેન્ટ નો જવાબ નહીં મળે.

 

 

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Raju Ahir (Visavadar )
Raju Ahir (Visavadar )
12/07/2016 7:28 pm

Sir Amare junagadh jilla ma kevak varsad na chance se please answer apjo sir

Nitin
Nitin
12/07/2016 7:28 pm

Kerala ma dhodh mar varsad

Moje moj roje roj

hemendra.r.solanki
hemendra.r.solanki
12/07/2016 7:22 pm

Sir surendranagar ma dhimo varsad che vadhare varsad in sakyta kyrthi che. Please replay sir.

ramesh santoki
ramesh santoki
12/07/2016 7:15 pm

No there is no any rainfall today till 7-15 p.m. Please answer my previous question.

Tushar shah
Tushar shah
12/07/2016 7:11 pm

Very satisfying rainfall in n around godhra….so far so good

davulagariya
davulagariya
12/07/2016 7:10 pm

Devbhumi-dawarka varshad na chansh 6e.ply

pankaj
pankaj
12/07/2016 7:04 pm

Sir maru kalavad talukanu bhagedi gam6 mara gamma 6.15 thi dhimi dhare chata chalu6 vadhare avvani sakayta khari plizz javab apso sir

ramesh santoki
ramesh santoki
12/07/2016 6:49 pm

Sir; today there are very cloudy sky and wind speed is very low in my region( jodiya ). There is no significant rain( e.g. Vavnilayak ) till the date. Is there any chance of very good rain in coming two days ❓

Kaushik Trivedi
Kaushik Trivedi
12/07/2016 6:47 pm

Sir haju sudhi kutch ma varsad thayo nathi ane tevu vatavaran pan nathi aa system thi 14 tarikh sudhi ma have shakyata khari?

jignesh kotadiya
jignesh kotadiya
12/07/2016 6:23 pm

Sir.rajakot dist.ma varsad thvani shkyta che k nhi

Sunil patel
Sunil patel
12/07/2016 6:13 pm

Sir amare jamjodhpur taluka haju tipu pan padyu nathi. To amaro kedi varo aavse????

Manoj patel
Manoj patel
12/07/2016 6:10 pm

Suvag village 7 inch

Manoj
Manoj
12/07/2016 6:05 pm

Suvag and around village 6 inch heavy rain 3 onto 6 pm

paresh chandera
paresh chandera
12/07/2016 6:03 pm

sir mangrol-porbandar dariya patti no 1-2 day ma varo avse?ek japatu e nathi avatu

HIREN PATEL
HIREN PATEL
12/07/2016 5:54 pm

Hi sir . JAMNAGAR taluka na FALLA gam ane aaju baju na gam ma 3pm thi 5pm shudi ma 2-3 inch jevo ekdharo saro varsad THANX SIR

Jay
Jay
12/07/2016 5:53 pm

earth.nullschool ma jota evu lage che k amdavad pase low pressure bne che
M i right?

Manish rajpara
Manish rajpara
12/07/2016 5:49 pm

Sir tankara pase lajai ma ati bhare chhata aave 6

Ravi koradiya
Ravi koradiya
12/07/2016 5:37 pm

Ashok sir havaman vibhage sanjsamachar ma 24 thi 72 kalak ma saurastra ma sara varsad ni aagahi karel 6
Any comment sir??

Jitesh harkhani
Jitesh harkhani
12/07/2016 5:32 pm

Sir Junagadh baju vavya uper varsad nathi avo

Vainsh rajput
Vainsh rajput
12/07/2016 5:28 pm

Hadvo madhyam to thik pn saru zaptu pn jova nathi malyu mangrol taluka baju
Aa roundma lagbhag amaro varo ny ave

Sanjay
Sanjay
12/07/2016 5:16 pm

Rajkot kothariya ind ariya Ma kay Ma kay varasad nathi matra kok kok chata pade che

Shaileshbhaivora
Shaileshbhaivora
12/07/2016 5:15 pm

Kerala…ta.paddhari ma 3.30 thi dhodhmar chalu …lagbhag 3thi 4 inch varsad

Ravi patel
Ravi patel
12/07/2016 5:14 pm

Sir 18tarikh aas pass GOa pase uac thavani sakyta chhe evu lage chhe

manees
manees
12/07/2016 5:13 pm

Sir, aajno varsad rajkot ma ketlo thayo? Table dekhatu nathi.

dipak patel (kutch)
dipak patel (kutch)
12/07/2016 5:12 pm

nakhatrana (kutch )
ma varshadi mahol vache sarkari hava chalu che

Chintan patel
Chintan patel
12/07/2016 5:10 pm

Sir aje jamnagar city ma 2.30 4.30 dhimi dhare varsad hato but sir jodiya taluka ma kya pan varsad nathi sakyta khari avvni

hiral
hiral
12/07/2016 5:08 pm

Saurastra ma atyare varsad no kai chance nathi…

AARJU DESAI
AARJU DESAI
12/07/2016 5:08 pm

sir, vatavaran jota evu lage che ke have jamnagar no varo aawi jase tamaru su kewu che ?????

Rana mohitsinh v
Rana mohitsinh v
12/07/2016 5:00 pm

Sir NE Arebian sea ma Kai hulchul che? Javab khali yes or no ma aapso to pan chalse.

CA. JITEN R. THAKAR
CA. JITEN R. THAKAR
12/07/2016 4:59 pm

Sir
Proud for Ashok Sir’s Forecast.
We believe in God and Only Ashok Sir’s Forecast then any other weather agency.

paresh patel
paresh patel
12/07/2016 4:51 pm

rajkot bedi marketing yard ma dhodhamar varsad chalu che 2kalak thi 3”jevo hase ane haju chalu che

chirag hirapara
chirag hirapara
12/07/2016 4:47 pm

Rajkot ma varsad chalu

Aman masani
Aman masani
12/07/2016 4:15 pm

Sir jambusar ma bapor thi chomasa no mahol jamyo chhe ane dhimi dhare madhyam varsad chalu chhe

Ramoliya alpesh
Ramoliya alpesh
12/07/2016 4:06 pm

Sir, amare padadhari taluka na domada bhayuna game dhimi dhare varsad chalu thayo 3-30pm.

Suresh Ahir
Suresh Ahir
12/07/2016 3:55 pm

Gam: Aliabada ta: jamnagar 2 PM thi 4 PM jordar varsad..haju pan dhimi dhare chalu..

k.d.mori
k.d.mori
12/07/2016 3:54 pm

Sir.good work

Rajbha
Rajbha
12/07/2016 3:45 pm

Dhrol ,laitpar
ma jordar zaptu

VIJAY MUNGRA
VIJAY MUNGRA
12/07/2016 3:30 pm

SIR ALIABADA DIST JAMNAGAR MA DHODHMAR 2 THI 2.5 INCH VARSAD

patel mayur
patel mayur
12/07/2016 3:28 pm

north Gujarat na mahesana ane sabarkatha ma savarthi bhare japta pade che sir me imd na wethar chat joya pachi avu lage che ke aje sanje centr and north gujarat ma 3 thi 6 inch varsad thashe am i right sir

Siraz Rajwani
Siraz Rajwani
12/07/2016 3:25 pm

કચ્છ મા ધીમી ધારે વરસાદ સરુ થયેલ છે. ..

murani yash
12/07/2016 3:21 pm

Atyare vatavaran ma ghano ferfar che upleta ma to vatavaran su kahe atyare kapasiya vavie varsad thay to

lalit parecha
lalit parecha
12/07/2016 3:20 pm

Ghana diwaso baad rajkot ma…megh pradhmni…light rain saru……..sir hal ma apde heavy varsaad ni to rah juvi padse ne?

murani yash
12/07/2016 3:20 pm

Sir atyare varsad ni sakyata che

Brijesh
Brijesh
12/07/2016 3:08 pm

sir tme kidhu k 24 klak ma kutch ma chomasu besi jse pn varsad pdse atle chomasu besse k pa6i bija paribdo ne lidhe chomasu declare thase?

Rajan Mehta
Rajan Mehta
12/07/2016 3:05 pm

Mehulbhai virani, in which area rain started in Jamnagar??. Still no rain in Jamnagar..

laxman ahir
laxman ahir
12/07/2016 2:57 pm

Sir aje bhuj ma pavan ni jadap gati gai che bafaro pan che COLA image ma Precipitation pan positive che .. I hope. ..god is great

jaydeep Thummar
jaydeep Thummar
12/07/2016 2:46 pm

Sir .
Atyare nu vatavaran jota lage che ?
Ke RAJKOT ane Jamnagar ma varsad Ave

Mahesh bhai Gujarati
12/07/2016 2:46 pm

Sir aaj amare zaptu aavyu hatu

parbat
parbat
12/07/2016 2:43 pm

Baroda ma dhimi dhare varsad

jadeja mayursinh
jadeja mayursinh
12/07/2016 2:40 pm

Sir jamnagar na jodiya taluka na khiri gam ma achanak vatavaran ma palto avyo ne sav dhimi dhare varsad chalu thayo 6e 10 minit thi

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