Current Weather Conditions on 8th July 2016
The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat. 24.0°N/ Long. 60.0°E, Lat. 24.0°N/ Long. 70.0°E, Bhuj, Jodhpur, Phalodi and Lat. 28.0°N/ Long. 71.0°E.
Conditions are becoming favorable for further advance of Southwest Monsoon into remaining parts of Kutch and West Rajasthan by 12th/13th July.
The Well Marked Low Pressure area over Northeast Madhya Pradesh & neighborhood, weakened into a Low Pressure area and lies over the same area. The associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.
The trough at mean sea level now runs from Punjab to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal across Haryana, south Uttar Pradesh, Center of Low Pressure area, Jharkhand, Odisha and Northwest Bay of Bengal.
The off-shore trough at mean sea level runs from Karnataka coast to Kerala coast.
The Western Disturbance as UAC lies over Eastern parts of Jammu & Kashmir & neighborhood between 2.1 km & 3.6 km above mean sea level.
There is a UAC over Northwest Bay of Bengal & adjoining areas of Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Chhattisgarh & Vidarbha between 3.1 & 7.6 km above mean sea level.
Forecast: 9th July to 14th July 2016
The Depression System over Northeast Madhya Pradesh had weakened to a WMLP and subsequently to a Low Pressure over the same region with associated UAC up to 1.5 Kms. above sea level. There is another UAC over a very large area covering Northwest Bay of Bengal, Odisha, Gangetic West Bengal, Chhattisgarh & Vidarbha at 3.1 Kms & 7.6 Kms. above mean sea level. Both these will merge and gradually track Westwards. Main strength of UAC will be at 3.1 kms. upto 5.8 Kms.
Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 8th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC
Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 9th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC
Wunderground GSF 700 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 2016 00 UTC valid for 10th July 2016 @ 1200 UTC
Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch: 9th July to 14th July
Light, medium, heavy rainfall expected initially along Gujarat border areas and subsequently move inwards during the forecast period. The quantum of rainfall is System (UAC) dependent and would var from places to places. Saurashtra expected to get light, medium rainfall with isolated heavy rainfall during the forecast period. All areas of Saurashtra will have varying amount of rainfall and it is difficult to pin point specific areas since the expected rainfall is System dependent (UAC). Monsoon expected to cover the remaining areas of Kutch and so expected to get light to medium rainfall with isolated heavy rain. The quantity of rain will be completely variable. High speed winds from Arabian Sea will blow over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch during the forecast period. Cloudy weather expected on many days of forecast period.
Rain quantum over Gujarat will be higher than Saurashtra & Kutch.
There is some differences in the forecast location of 850 hPa UAC in Forecat maps of GSF & ECMWF as shown in respective maps valid for 11th July 0600 UTC.
Wunderground ECMWF 850 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 00 UTC Valid for 11th July 2016 @ 0600 UTC
Wunderground GFS 850 hPa Forecast Dated 8th July 00 UTC Valid for 11th July 2016 @ 0600 UTC
Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 8th July 2016
(નોંધ: કચ્છ માટે સૌરાષ્ટ્ર મૂજબ ની આગાહી સમજવી )
Weather Forecast In Sanj Samachar Daily Dated 8th July 2016
Guideline for Comments:
1. Please post comment if you have a valid email address.
2. Read earlier comments and their reply before posting any comment.
3. Do not ask question about when the update will take place. Usually as and when deemed fit update will be given.
4. I do not forecast for long term, so do not ask for any forecast beyond 7 days.
5. Do not ask when it will rain in any city, town or village or city. Normally the forecast is given for broad areas of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat. However, for your information Multicity Wunderground Forecast link has been provided for various centers of Gujarat, Sayrashtra & Kutch.
6. All Comments will not be answered. Comments that is meant for larger audience is preferable and will be answered.
કમેન્ટ માટે માર્ગદર્શન:
1. ખરું ઈ મેઈલ એડ્રેસ હોઈ તો કમેન્ટ કરો.
2. આગળ સવાલો અને તેના જવાબ વાંચી ને તમારી કમેન્ટ કરો.
3. “અપડેટ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ કરવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે યોગ્ય લાગશે ત્યારે અપડેટ થશે.
4. હું લાંબા ગાળા ની આગાહી નથી કરતો માટે 7 દિવસ થી આગળ માટે આગાહી બાબત કમેન્ટ ના કરવી.
5. “મારા શહેર, કે ગામ માં વરસાદ ક્યારે થશે ?” તેવા સવાલ પૂછવા નહિ. સામાન્ય રીતે સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ ના બહોળા વિસ્તારો ની આગાહી આપેલ હોઈ છે.
6. જે કમેન્ટ વધુ લોકો ને સ્પર્શતો હોઈ તે આવકાર્ય છે અને તેના યોગ્ય જવાબ મળશે. બધા કમેન્ટ નો જવાબ નહીં મળે.
Sir…2 diwad pela aapda rajkot ma varsaad padyo te….porbandar dish ma thi aavel hato….tamara keva mujab…surendarnagar thi aavel hato….to pachi je vadravo no samuh che te to abai side thi kem aave che…answer please..
Tamare je manvu hoi te chhut chhe !!
Porbandar na bagvadar aeryama ratre sarama saro varsad 3 inch jevo kul 24 kalak ma 6 inch jevo varsad
Jay shree krishana
Sir 18/19/20 Na bob Ma odisa/andhra pradesh pase je uac hoy evu lage che te apada mate asha nu kiran bani sake tem lage che
Kudarat apdi madad kare
Hello sir
Kale 2 inch padya bad aje ta 14 rate 3am saro varsad chslu haji savare 7 vage pan chalu .jamraval ta.kalyanpur dist.Dvarks
kutch mandvi taluka na gam ma 1 to 5 inch varsad
second thing, learning from last, whenever axis of monsoon had gone to himaliyan foothills, rain also moves away from state, so i think, now there will be break of 8 to 10 days for saurastra…my understanding is ok or not…pl reply
Yes
sir
axis of monsoon has reached to himaliya foot hills to north east, at other side, imd forecast for heavy to very heavy rain fall in next 24 hrs in gujarat. i do not understand whenever imd forecast, never or hardly rain comes, why such gap in forecasting? Due to their forecast, every farmer waits for godot which never comes….even media prints and telecast in news too…..god only can save this country.
The IMD news about the rain is delayed and reaches public after 24 to 48 hours. Media should also educate their reporters about weather to report properly.
Looking into 700hpa & mslp chart..20july Andhra-Orissa na dariya kathe lp ni possibilty dekhay 6..”aa thoth nishadiya nu lesson tapasjo saheb” I mean rply
Abhyaas chalu rakho.
Te tarikhe su thayu te jovo etle khyaal avey.
Monsoon trough atyare north side/ Himalay taleti taraf sarki rahyo chhe.toe thoda divas saurashtra ma varsad nu praman ochhu rehshe? Ke pachhi megh viram?
Sir 2015 ma pan m.p.vari sistem thi utargujarat kachh rajestan ma bhare varsad yhayo hato saurasra ne kya ariya ma sistem hoi to varsad no labh male. ??
Ahmedabad oopar
Sir vividh weather report mujab Monsoon trough dt.14 thi north east move karase to sir gujarat ma monsoon activity ma ghatado aavase?
Sir 700hpa ane500hpa MA tarikh20ma uac batave chhe ane abhyash karta evu lage chhe ke aavkhte aapne faydo thse tamaru su kevu chhe
sir.porbandar ma 2thi3enc thayo se . Atyare band thiyo .to sir have ughad se to paso salu thase?
Heavy downpour in godhra since last couple of hours…
Good evening sir.
Bangal Ni khadi ma Navi system bane che k kem ta.19-20 July e. Javab apva Vinanti. Tapi district Vyara.
Abhyas karo ane te tarikhe su thayu te jovo etle khyaal avey.
સર અમરેલી જિલ્લા ને આ રાઉન્ડ માં ખાસ ફાયદો નથી થયો મારા જાણમાં આવે ત્યાં સુધી..સર અમરેલી જિલ્લા ના વર્ષાદ ની માહિતી હોય તો જણાવજો કંઈ આ રાઉન્ડ માં??
Amreli Ditrict Shareash 3 mm. aagahi samay ma.
Rainfall upto today average aashare 7 inch je 27.74% aakha varas nu ganaay.
kutch ma japta padaya bad akash clin thayu che
inset ma vadado nathi
sir jamanagar jilla na chandravada gamma porbandar ni baju ma 4 inch jevo
varsad thayo khedu to ma khusi no mahol
jsk.sir. Amara aeriya Sidsar Ta. Jamjodhpur ma aek j japata rupi varasad che to aa aagahi gada ma have varasad aavavana chans che ??? Ane mari aajni aagad ni comment ma je aakada lakhel che te aakda Bhayavadar purata j samjava . Jamjodhpur patti aevu lakhan badal Sorry Sir . Ans. Plz Sir .
Bagodara Limbdi vacche pan Jordar chalu chhe Varsad.
Changodar thi Bavla (Ahmedabad-Rajkot Highway) vachhe jordar varsad chalu.
Sir surendranagar ma 15mm jevo varsad se haju saro varsad nathi to Sara varsad ni sakyata khari
Sir
Tunda (mundra) ma 1 kalak ma dhodhmar 45mm varsad. Mosam nu total 80mm. Mandvi tarafna gamo ma ma 4 thi 5 inch varsad padyo chhe .
Sir Kutch Bhuj ma varsad chalu thayo pan tarat j bandh thai gayo atyare vatavaran khulu chhe
heavy rain start in kutch(bhuj).thank u god.
Sir.vav-tharad vistar ma aa lakhu chhu taya sudhi tipu pani pan varsayu nathi,tadko niklyo chhe.have next 24 hour ma kevu rahese..
Tamare haju vatavaran saru Ganay.
Sir….
Tame kaho chho ke vatavaran saru che pan
Varsad nathi thato karan su che?
Aaj to vatavarn kholu thai gayu che
Time 10.pm
Saru hatu !
Sir
Vill.- Sardargadh
Ta. Manavadar
Aaj no 2 inch jevo Varsad bapor pahela no.
sir gai rat thi aaj divas sudhima keshod ma andaje 4 inch varsad padyo khetar mathi pani vahi gaya maja aavi sir taiyar bhajiya khavani haju pan taiyar bhajiya malase sir? you r great sir thank you sir very much thank you….
Dhrol and jodia 0.5-1 inch.
Devbhumi-dawarka ni baju na gamda sharo varshad pdiyo.2-3ech dawarkaghise daya kariy.
Sir upleta ma kale rate 1 inch varsad che kapasiya vavi daye
Te babat tamre nakki karvani.
OK sir. 700hpa jota avu lage k a system m.p ma je motu carcyuletion hatu temathi nanu thi kchha na dariyama jay chhe ane 14 tarikhe majbut bane chhe Mary anuman sachu chhe?
Sir. Hal 3.30pm thi thorali.pingali.ta sihor dist.bvn.aaspasna gamama dhimidhare varsad chalu thau .molat navu jivan dan mali gayu sir.saravana thaya sir
Jamnagar thi 5 km dur Kansumra ane dared GAM ma lagbhag 1 inch jetlo varsad bapore 2 thi 3 vache
Thxs sir ji
Sir tame kidhu k Gujarat pachhi Saurashtra baju varsad avashe em kahe .kon Kahe Ane tema bhavnagar Avshe? Hu comment vachu chu bhavnagar nu 1comment prasidha thay nathi. ..
Sir aaj a round puro thayo ke kutch mate avtikale che
Haal vatavaran saru ganaay.
Jam kayanpur na bhopalka ma 2 this 2.5 inch varshad.
Aje dwarka dit ma varsad avi gayo se
ashok bhai jamnagar dared gidc ma1.45p.m thivarsad chulu chhe haji ave chhe 2.45 p .m saro avechhe
Sir jamjodhpur taluka ma varsad ava ni sambhavna che? Aju baju badhe varsad che but jamjodhpur ma nathi ….
Sir aaje baaki Rahela vistaar maa IMD ae chomaasu rekhaa aagal vadavi didi che jema kachch no baaki rahelo vistar ane Rajasthan no baaki rahelo vistar no samVes thay gayo che sir ane aaje aakhaa India
maa chomaasu besi gayu che . Sara samachar che .Jay Sri Krishna
Vtv news par joyu..1:10 vage aje…
Gujarat ma atibhare vrsad ni agahi..4 divs mate red alert..
Aa type ni syatem che sir?
Jo che to saurashtra ne faydo mlse hve?
Aa cmnt no ans apjo request..!!
Gujarat pase Arabian sea ma low pressure bne che ? Jo bne che to su Gujarat ne kay benefit mlse… Ans in yes or no.
sir jamkalyanpur na aas pas na gamo ma 2thi 3 inch varshad 1pm sharad thakar
Sir am nathi keto hu have to koi sistem che nai to avta week sudhi varsad central gujrat ma kai rite avi sake am kav chu….
Te kon kahe chhe ?
Jamkhambhaliya gramya vistar ma 2 thi 3 inch jetlo varsad
Ganm na naam lakho
Sir rajkot ma varasad Che pan tyathi 25km Mara gaam ma haji suthi varsad padiyo nathi .
Sir ek sarkho varsad kyare padshe
Kyank tadko kyank chaydo Rajkot ni aaju baju chhe. Saanj padey luck by chance samjo.
Sir aa sistem to have patva avi have varsad kai sistem vagar avi sake am che central gujrat Anand ma to 1″ jevo varsad padyo…….
Gujarat pachhi Saurashtra baju varsad avashe em kahe.
asok bhai amare jam gadhakama dhodhmar varsad chalu se 12:5 thi 1:15 sudhi aabhar
Hello sir……
Chomashu dhari haal ma kya che ????
&.
Pavan mate nu software null ni link aapsbo sir..please ans
God bless you sir
Nullschool link