Current Weather Conditions on 9th August 2014 @ 9.00 pm.
Under the influence of the Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over the North Bay of Bengal and neighborhood a Low Pressure area has formed over the same region this morning. Associated UAC extends up to 5.8 kms. above mean sea level. The System is currently located over Coastal West Bengal and neighborhood.
The axis of monsoon trough at mean sea level passes through Ganganagar, Narnaul, Agra, Sultanpur, Gaya, Center of Low Pressure area and thence Southeastwards to East Central Bay of Bengal. It extends up to 2.1 kms. above mean sea level.
The off-shore trough at mean sea level continues to run from North Maharashtra coast to Kerala coast.
The Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Northeat Rajasthan and neighborhood extending up to 4.5 kms. above mean sea level persists.
The Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Kutch & neighborhood at 3.1 Kms. above mean sea level persists.
Due to the UAC over Kutch some benefit to Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat.
The Low Pressure of Bay of Bengal is not expected to track towards Saurashtra.
IMD Weather Chart Showing 700 hPa Winds Valid 0000 UTC on 10th August
IMD Weather Chart Showing 700 hPa Winds Valid 0000 UTC on 11th August
The above chart shows East-West shear zone for a day valid till 0000 UTC 11th August. It is monsoon axis at 3.1 Kms. above mean sea level. This could give rain over some areas along the axis which runs East -West from West Bengal to Kutch.
IMD Weather Chart Showing 700 hPa Winds Valid 0000 UTC on 12th August
COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 10th August 2014 (updated @ 10.30 pm. IST)
COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 11th August 2014 (updated at 10.30 pm. IST)
IMD Forecast Rainfall Chart Valid 0000 UTC 10th August 2014
IMD Forecast Rainfall Chart Valid 0000 UTC 11th August 2014