Cyclonic Storm “HUDHUD” Over Bay Of Bengal Expected To Strengthen To Severe Cyclonic Storm & Then To Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

Current Weather Conditions on 9th October 2014 @ 8.30 am.

JTWC has isssued Tropical Cyclone Warning Number 5 @ 0300 UTC on 9-10-2014 for conditions at 0000 UTC of 9-10-2014. System 03B.Hudhud had 55 knots wind speed with 982 mb. Central Pressure located at Lat. 13.6°N & Long. 89.2°E over the East Central Bay of Bengal.

JTWC Tropical Cyclone 03B.HUDHUD Warning No. 5

Forecast Cyclone Track

io0314 _5

IMD National Bulletin available here

 

RSMC Bulletin available here

 

 NRL IR Satellite Image of 03B.HUDHUD ( Cyclonic Storm “HUDHUD” )

on 9th October 2014 @ 01.30 UTC (8.00 am. IST )

 

03BHUDHUD.55kts-982mb-136N-892E.100pc

UW-CIMMS IR Satellite Image of 03B.HUDHUD ( Cyclonic Storm “HUDHUD”)

on 9th October 2014 @ 00.30 UTC (6.00 am. IST )

uw_cimms_091014

UW-CIMSS Automated Satellite-Based
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Algorithm
Current Intensity Analysis
                     UW - CIMSS                     
              ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE       
                  ADT-Version 8.2.1                
         Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm       

             ----- Current Analysis ----- 
     Date :  09 OCT 2014    Time :   013000 UTC
      Lat :   13:42:07 N     Lon :   89:03:25 E

     
                CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
                3.7 / 990.8mb/ 59.0kt

     
             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T# 
                3.7     3.7     3.7

 Center Temp : -68.2C    Cloud Region Temp : -76.2C

 Scene Type : EMBEDDED CENTER CLOUD REGION 

 Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION 

 Ocean Basin : INDIAN        
 Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC   

 Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT 
                   Weakening Flag : OFF   
           Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF   

 C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
  - Average 34 knot radii :   62km
  - Environmental MSLP    : 1009mb

 Satellite Name :    MET7 
 Satellite Viewing Angle : 40.1 degrees 

****************************************************

 

 Forecast track by IMD Multimodel Ensemble (MME) Valid 12.00 UTC of 8-10-2014

MME_TRACK_INTENSITY_081014_1200

For NWP Tropical Cyclone Genesis Potential Animation Track of the current System   Click here

Forecast: 9th October to 12th October 2014

Cyclonic Storm “HUDHUD” – 03B.HUDHUD:

Cyclonic Storm “HUDHUD”.  The System is expected to track mainly West Northwest towards North Andhra Pradesh/South Odisha Coast for next three days. The System is expected to strengthen further to Sever Cyclonic Storm and then to a Very Severe Cyclonic Stom by 11th October. Landfall expected around 12th October vicinity of Vishakhapatnam as per both GSF as well as ECMWF available forecast runs.

Note: Refer/Rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories