Current Weather Conditions on 4th June 2015

 

As per IMD inference issued on 4th June 2015 at 1630 IST:

 

The trough of low over Lakshadweep area & neighborhood at mean sea level over Southeast Arabian Sea and adjoining Lakshadweep area persists.  Under its influence, a low pressure area would develop by tomorrow.

 

As per NRL: 95A.INVEST over the South East Arabian Sea is located at 10.8°N & 69.6°E with 15 knots & 1010 mb. on 4th June 2015 @ 1230 UTC.

 

From JTWC:

 

ABIO10 PGTW 031800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/031800Z-041800ZJUN2015//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.6N 68.6E,
APPROXIMATELY 715 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DEEPENING, ALBEIT
DISORGANIZED, AREA OF CONVECTION WITH A POORLY-DEFINED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS IN AN
AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW. NUMERIC
WEATHER PREDICTION MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN DEVELOPING THIS AREA INTO
A 35-KNOT SYSTEM IN AS EARLY AS 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

 

Observations: A Low Pressure has not formed as yet, however, by tomorrow the 5th June 2015 a Low Pressure is expected to develop over the same area or vicinity.

 

NRL IR Satellite Image on 4th June 2015 @ 1330 UTC ( 07.00 pm. IST)

 

NRL Water Vapor Satellite Image on 4th June 2015 @ 1330 UTC ( 07.00 pm. IST)