Arabian Sea Depression Now Deep Depression Strength – Moved Close To South Saurashtra Coast – 23rd June 2015

Current Weather Conditions on 23rd June 2015 10.30. am. IST

The Depression over the Arabian Sea remained quasi stationary around Latitude 19.0 N and 69E yesterday the 22nd June. Deducing from JTWC, the System in the early morning of 23rd June has become Deep Depression strength and was located at Latitude 20.3N 70.1 E. Longitude about 70 km. South of Veraval. This is an estimated location and should not be relied upon. Official Bulletin from IMD/RSMC is awaited and should always be relied up on for Storms & Weather related matters. The last available is pertaining to conditions on 22nd June 2015 @ 1200 UTC and issued at 1500 UTC.

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

22nd June 2015 1500 UTC Outlook click the link  RSMC-New Delhi Outlook

Note: 1 knot =1.852 Kms.

Update will be given if any major changes occur

JTWC has issued a TCFA ( Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert ) on 22nd June 2100 UTC (02.30 am. IST of 23rd June )

JTWC Initial Track for 97A.INVEST

io9715_TCFA

 

JTWC has issued a TCFA ( Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert ) on 22nd June 2100 UTC (02.30 am. IST of 23rd June )

TEXT

WTIO21 PGTW 222100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.5N 68.1E TO 21.2N 70.5E
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 222030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 19.8N 69.0E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 
68.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 69.0E, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF FLARING CONVECTION SHEARED WEST OF A 
FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 221711Z GMI 
36GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A TIGHTER WRAPPED LLCC WITH INCREASED 
DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE WEST DUE TO MODERATE TO HIGH 
EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. A PARTIAL SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 
221721Z SHOWED 30 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. 
MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT CONTINUES TO SUSTAIN CONVECTION. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 992 MB. DUE TO THE 
POSSIBILITY OF THE SYSTEM REACHING WARNING CRITERIA PRIOR TO 
LANDFALL, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 
232100Z.//
NNNN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NRL Visible Satellite Image on 23rd June 2015 @ 0400 UTC ( 6.30 pm. IST)

 

 

97AINVEST.30kts-1000mb-203N-701E.100pc_vis

 

 

Forecast: 23rd June to 25th June 2015

Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat

The Rainfall amount and areas will vary on day to day basis as the System tracks towards and over Saurashtra & Gujarat during 23rd June to 25th June. Medium, heavy and very heavy rainfall expected over different parts of Saurashtra, Kutch & Gujarat during this period.

ટૂકું તને ટચ : ડીપ્રેસન હવે ડીપ ડીપ્રેસન માત્રા એ પોંચ્યું છે. હવામાન ખાતા એ આ અપડેટ સમયે હજુ પુષ્ટિ આપેલ નથી . હાલ વેરાવળ થી 70 કિમી દક્ષીણે સીસ્ટમ સેન્ટર છે.

ચોમાસું હવે બેસવા ના સંજોગો થયા છે. સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, કચ્છ અને ગુજરાત ના મોટા વિસ્તાર માં ચોમાસું નોતું બેઠું, ભલે છૂટો છવાયો સારો વરસાદ થઇ ગયો હોઈ. અલગ અલગ વિસ્તાર માં વરસાદ ની માત્રા જુદી જુદી રહેશે કારણ કે આ સીસ્ટમ આધારિત વરસાદ છે.  તારીખ  23 થી 25 માં અલગ અલગ વિસ્તારો માં મધ્યમ, ભારે, અતિ ભારે વરસાદ પડે તેવી  સંભાવના છે.

Caution:
Please refer/rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories for Storms & Weather related matter.

સાવચેતી:
સ્ટોર્મ કે હવામાન અંગે ની માહિતી માટે ભારતીય હવામાન ખાતા/ગવર્મેન્ટ ના બુલેટીન/સુચના પર નિર્ભર રહેવું.