Latest Update: on 25th October 2015 @ 7.30 am. IST
Under the influence of an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over East Srilanka Coast & neighborhood a Low Pressure area has developed over the Southwest Bay of Bengal. This is being monitored as 93B.INVEST.
The trough of Low at mean sea level over Southeast & adjoining Southwest Arabian sea with an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation aloft extending up to 0.9 km above mean sea level persists.
The Western Disturbance as an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over North Pakistan & neighborhood extending up to 3.1 km above mean sea level with trough aloft along Long.63.0°E and North of Latitude 30.0°N. An induced Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Central Pakistan & neighborhood extending up to 0.9 km above mean sea level persists.
93B.INVEST over Southwest Bay of Bengal Location 7.2 N. & 83.5 E. 20 knots with 1007 millibar Central Pressure NRL IR Satellite Image on 25th October @ 0130 UTC
Forecast: 25th to 31st October 2015
There is differing outcome by two forecast models GFS and ECMWF for the further development of the Bay of Bengal Low Pressure and also the forecast Low Pressure over the Arabian Sea. The latest 1200 UTC GSF is leaning towards ECMWF 00 UTC run outcome. Now the ECMWF 1200 UTC is also available and has BOB System tracking along the Tamilnadu/Andhra Coast by 30th October.
The Western Disturbance will give heavy snowfall for Jammu & Kashmir and hilly regions of North India and rain for the plains of North Indian States during 25th to 26th October just like yesterday.
Wunderground Map showing System location on GSF 925 hPa
Forecast run 0600 UTC on 24th October 2015 valid 30th October 2015 @ 1200 UTC
Wunderground Map showing System location on GSF 925 hPa
Forecast run 1200 UTC on 24th October 2015 valid 30th October 2015 @ 1200 UTC
Wunderground Map showing System location on ECMWF 925 hPa
Forecast run 00 UTC on 24th October 2015 valid 30th October 2015 @ 1200 UTC
Wunderground Map showing System location on ECMWF 925 hPa
Forecast run 1200 UTC on 24th October 2015 valid 30th October 2015 @ 1200 UTC
Forecast: Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch: 25th October to 31st October
No direct effect from Bay of Bengal System nor from the Arabian Sea System during the forecast period till 31st October. The weather is expected to be dry on most days. COLA/IGES indicates some light shower between 26th & 27th October for some parts of Saurashtra but the chances of this outcome could be 50- 50. It will be updated again. The wind is expected to be from North or Northeast on most days during the forecast period.
COLA/IGES Precipitation Map valid 26th October 2015 @ 1200 UTC
COLA/IGES Precipitation Map valid 27th October 2015 @ 1200 UTC
અપડેટ 25 ઓક્ટોબર 2015 સવારે 7.30 કલાકે:
દક્ષીણ પશ્ચિમ બંગાળની ખાડી માં લો પ્રેસર થયું છે અને અરબી સમુદ્ર માં ટૂંક ટાઇમ માં લો પ્રેસર બને તેવી સંભાવના છે.
વિવિધ ફોરકાસ્ટ મોડલ મુજબ બંગાળની સીસ્ટમ તેમજ અરબી માં હવે જે નવું લો પ્રેસર થવાનું છે તે બાબત માં મતમતાંતર છે. હજુ 24 થી 48 કલાક આ અંગે અભ્યાસ કરવો જરૂરી છે.
વેસ્ટર્ન ડીસ્ટર્બન્સ ની અસર થી હજુ ગઈ કાલ ની જેમ 25 અને 26 તારીખ સુધી જમ્મુ અને કાશ્મીર અને ઊત્તર ભારત ના પહાડી વિસ્તારો માં હિમ વર્ષા તેમજ મેદાની વિસ્તારો માં વરસાદ થશે.
સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, કચ્છ અને ગુજરાત: 25 ઓક્ટોબર થી 31 ઓક્ટોબર 2015
Ashok bhai aaje arvalli district ma khub ja vadalo chhe tenu shu reason chhe.
Western Disturbance ne hisabe amook vadado Gujarat sudhi avel chhe.
Thank you, for new apdet
Thanks sir new update
uttrgujarta na tharad vav skyta to nati have mavathu nahi ne weathar Ashokbhai patel
Western Disturbance ne hisabe thoda vadado Rajasthan border sudhi avel chhe.
Khas haal mabvatha ni shakyata nathi.
Arabi ma System thay chhe tena oopar wat ch rakhvi jaroori chhe.
Sir colaimage na laba gada na map ma 1 thi 9 sudhi ma gujrat kach ne dariya katha ma bhare varsad batave 6e to tena ketla chansis 6e???
Arabian Sea ma Low thavanu chhe te pahela Oman baju jaay chhe ane parat ave evu fakt agotaru endhan samjay karan ke COLA lamba gada ma dar 12 kalake update thay te jovo.
http://www.monsoondata.org/wx/prec.html
Good morning
I m sorry sir
Xtrerm weather forecast vada thayse khidhu
Have 100 %e khoto che
Arabia sea ma chapala thayse e m kye che
Very good news update
Gai kale kahel ne ke… ( ‘Champal’ oodey ne kyan padey ee kem khabar pade…. Arabi Samudra ma ke Bangad ni Khadi ma !!!!! )
Badha paase evi mahiti hoi pan kai nakki thay etlu pirsaay.