Current Weather Conditions on 24th July 2013 @ 10.30 am.
There has been scattered round of rainfall over Saurashtra & Gujarat during the last two days. Rajkot has been waiting for some meaningful rainfall since it has received light rain on most days but just few mm. a day.
The Low Pressure area over interior Odisha and adjoining Chhattisgarh has ttracked towards East Madhya Pradesh and vicinity. The associated Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation extends upto Midtropospheric levels and is over Vidarbh M.P. border area.
There is also an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Saurashtra Gujarat & adjoining Arabian Sea.
East West shear zone at 700 Mb. level runs roughly along 20 N.
The axis of monsoon trough passes through Jaisalmer, Chittorgarh, Ujjain, Center of Low Pressure area, Sambalpur, Chandbali and thence Southeastwards to North Andaman Sea.
The offshore trough from Gujarat coast to Kerala coast has strengthened.
IMD Weather Chart of 700 Mb. showing the Shear Zone & Circulation
Valid 12 UTC 23-07-13
IMD Weather Chart of 700 Mb. showing the Shear Zone & Circulation
Valid 12 UTC 23-07-13
COLA Forecasts of 850mb Temperature, Humidity and Winds
COLA Weekly Rainfall Forecast upto 31st July 2013
The above COLA map shows that weekly precipitation over Saurashtra & Gujarat could be uneven. Some places expected to get very heavy rainfall while other places forecast to get medium rainfall.
Forecast: 24th July to 28th July
Last two weeks has witnessed relay of Bay of Bengal Low Pressures developing over Northwest Bay of Bengal and tracking towards Central India along the axis of monsoon. As soon as the Low and the associated UAC reaches Central India vicinity a new Low Pressure develops in the Northwest Bay of Bengal as if there is a relay race ! A new Low Pressure can be expected in the same fashion in two days.
Saurashtra, Gujarat:
A general good round of rainfall is expected during the forecast period. Quantum of rainfall will vary with different areas. Heavy, medium and light rainfall is expected over different areas.
Kutch :
Kutch is also expected to get rainfall during the forecast period.
Weather Forecast In Commodity World Dated 24th July 2013
Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 24th July 2013 @ 10.30 am.
Hello sir sete. ma jota tankara – morbi upar vadalo to avar navar ave che pan varsad padato nathi why?
વાતાવરણ છે એટલે વારો આવશે એવી આશા રાખો. આખા સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ઉપર વાદળો ક્યારેક ક્યારેક હોવા છતાં બધે સરખો વરસાદ નથી કારણ કે યોગ્ય પવનો હોવા જોઈએ. અપર એર સર્કુલેસન હોઈ વરસાદ અલગ અલગ જગ્યા એ વધઘટ હોઈ.
Sir,
Agreed with your point of relay race of UACs in BoB this year. But unfortunate part is that all have generated in North-West BoB so edging north Gujarat everytime. Not even a single has generated in South-west BoB yet this year which track to Saurashtra sub-sequently.. Lets see what happens ahead in remaining monsoon…