Current Weather Conditions on 10th October 2013 @ 4.00 pm.
There has been 29.8 mm. of rainfall in Rajkot from morning till now with most of the quantum in the morning. Scattered rainfall has been reported today also from some centers of Saurashtra.
From IMD Bulletin No. 04/13/15 issued at 1430 IST on 10-10-2013:
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, PHAILIN in East central Bay of Bengal:
Cyclone Warning for North Andhra Pradesh and Orissa Coast.
The Severe cyclonic storm, PHAILIN over east central Bay of Bengal moved Northwest wards, intensified into a very severe cyclonic storm and lay centred at 1130 hrs IST of today the 10thth October 2013 near latitude 15.00N and longitude 90.50E, about 800km southeast of Paradip, 850km east-southeast of Kalingapatnam, and 870 km east-southeast of Visakhapatnam. It would continue to move northwestwards and cross north Andhra Pradesh and Odisha coast between Kalingapatnam and Paradip, close to Gopalpur (Odisha) by evening of 12thth October, 2013 as a very severe cyclonic storm with a maximum sustained wind speed of 175-185 kmph.
(A)Warning for Odisha, Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal
(i)Heavy Rainfall: Under the influence of this system, rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places with isolated extremely heavy falls (≥ 25cm) would occur over coastal Odisha commencing from 12thth October 2013 morning. It would continue and extend to interior Odisha and coastal areas of Gangetic West Bengal from 13thth morning. Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall would also occur at a few places over north coastal Andhra Pradesh commencing from 12thth Oct 2013 and isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall would occur over coastal areas of West Bengal commencing from 13thth Oct. 2013.
(ii)Gale wind: Squally winds speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph would commence along and off Odisha and north Andhra Pradesh coast from 11thth morning. It would increase in intensity with gale wind speed reaching 175-185 kmph along and off coastal districts of north coastal Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha at the time of landfall. State of Sea along and off Odisha and north Andhra Pradesh coast will be rough to very rough from 11thth morning and will become phenomenal on 12thth October 2013. It will be rough to very rough along and off West Bengal coast during the above period.
(iii) Storm Surge Guidance: Storm surge with height of around 1.5-2.0 m above astronomical tide would inundate low lying areas of Ganjam, Khurda, Puri and Jagatsinghpur districts of Odisha and Srikakulam district of Andhra Pradesh during landfall.
(iv) Damage expected over Odisha and adjoining north Andhra Pradesh: Extensive damage to kutcha houses. Partial disruption of power and communication line. Minor disruption of rail and road
traffic. Potential threat from flying debris. Flooding of escape routes. Extensive damage to agricultural crops.
(v) Action suggested: Fishermen out at sea along north Andhra Pradesh, Odisha and West Bengal coast are advised to return to coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into sea.
Following actions are suggested when the cyclone would be 500 km from the coast (from 11thth October 2013).
Total suspension of fishing operations. Mobilise evacuation from coastal areas. Judicious regulation of rail and road traffic. People in affected areas to remain indoors during cyclone landfall.
(B)Warning for Andaman and Nicobar Islands
(i)Heavy rainfall
Under the influence of this system, rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and isolated extremely heavy falls (≥ 25cm) would occur over Andaman and Nicobar Islands during next 12 hrs. Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall would occur in subsequent 24 hrs.
(ii) Squally wind
Squally winds speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph would continue to prevail prevail over Andaman Nicobar Islands and adjoining sea areas during next 24 hours. Sea condition will be rough to very rough along and off Andaman and Nicobar Islands during next 24 hrs.
As per JTWC:
Tropical Cyclone 02B (Two) Warning #06
Issued on 10th October 2013/1500Z
UW-CIMSS Satellite Image of Severe Cyclonic Storm “PHAILIN”
on 10102013 @ 0930z