Southwest Monsoon Onset Over South Coastal Saurashtra With Very Heavy Rainfall

Current Weather Conditions on 16th June 2014 @ 2.00 pm.

Heavy to extremely heavy Rainfall occurred over South Coastal Saurashtra regions yesterday on the onset of Southwest Monsoon. Here below are rainfall figures in mm. for period ending 16th June 2014 till 8.30 am.
Source: State Emergency Operation Center, Revenue Department, Gandhinagar.

rainfall_headingRainfall_160614_Saurashtra

The cyclonic circulation over northeast Arabian Sea and neighborhood now lies over northeast Arabian Sea and adjoining Gujarat coast between 1.5 & 3.6 kms a.s.l. Strong winds from the Arabian Sea are blowing over Saurashtra, so moisture incursion over Saurashtra is taking place.

The off shore trough at mean sea level from south Gujarat coast to north Kerala coast persists.

The cyclonic circulation over northeast Bay of Bengal and neighborhood persists and extends up to 3.1 kms a.s.l

The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat. 21 °N /Long. 60° E, Lat. 21° N / Long. 65 ° E, Veraval, Surat, Sangli, Bellary, Nandyal, Bapatla, Lat.18°N / Long. 86°E, Lat.22°N / Long.90°E,Cooch Behar and Gangtok. Conditions are becoming favourable for further advance of Southwest Monsoon into some more parts of interior Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh, remaining parts of Bay of Bengal, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and some parts of Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Jharkhand and Bihar during next 3-4 days.

IMD Map Showing Northern Limit Of Southwest Monsoon on 16th June 2014

 

mon-prog_160614

IMD GFS 700 hPa Wind Map Valid for 16-06-2014 @ 0000 UTC

00hgfs_700wind_160614

IMD GFS 700 hPa Wind Map Valid for 17-06-2014 @ 0000 UTC

24hgfs_700wind-160614

Forecast: 16th June to 18th June

Monsoon already set in over Coastal Saurashtra & South Gujarat yesterday. In reality Monsoon has covered Junagadh District, Porbandar District and adjoining parts of Rajkot District and Coastal areas of Amreli District. Conditions good for the above areas so can expect rain during the Forecast period.

Conditions will be favorable on 16th/17th June for rest of Saurashtra for getting rain. The rain quantum will be less compared to the amounts that South Coastal Areas of Saurashtra received.

General rain quantum for Saurashtra will decrease from 18th June onwards.

COLA/IGES Precipitation Forecast Map valid 0000 UTC of 17th June 2014
(Means mostly 16-06-14)

india3.24hr_160614

COLA/IGES Precipitation Forecast Map valid 0000 UTC of 18th June 2014
(Means mostly 17-06-14)

india3.48hr_160614

 

Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 16th June 2014

akila_160614_headingakila_160614_matter

 

 

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parth kalariya
parth kalariya
23/06/2014 1:57 pm

my emil id is correct together sir

sorry for inconvience

parth kalariya
parth kalariya
22/06/2014 6:47 pm

hello !!!

when come rain to saurastra as your study.
i know you give forcast nearly future but i also know you give your answers very well aproxly…..
thanking you.

parth kalariya
parth kalariya
21/06/2014 11:00 am

morning sir ,
any new & happy news about rain ?

vivek patel
20/06/2014 9:46 am

Sir jamnagar ma kedi varsad aavse

Kaushal
Kaushal
19/06/2014 9:44 pm

Hi Ashok Bhai,

Can you please mail me your email id?

Thanks

RAVI PATEL
RAVI PATEL
19/06/2014 2:40 pm

DEAR SIR

BANGAL NI KHADI MA UDBHAVELU LOW PRESSURE SAURASHTRA MA KYARE AAVSE

RAVI PATEL
RAVI PATEL
19/06/2014 2:20 pm

DEAR SIR,
ATYARE KAI JAGYAYE VARSAD CHALU 6 AND AAPDE KYARE VARSAD AAVANI SAKYATA 6

Aliakbar
Aliakbar
19/06/2014 1:02 pm

sir update forecast for gujarat everyday please

JITEN THAKAR
JITEN THAKAR
19/06/2014 10:05 am

Sir,
Where is monsoon ? There is no news of rain from any state of India.

amit kothari
amit kothari
18/06/2014 10:40 pm

sir,rajkot ma ka varsad nathi padato,su asadhi bij sudhima rajkot jilla ma varsad padse ke pachhi aa vakhate 2012 ni jem thase

jigar saraswat
jigar saraswat
18/06/2014 9:37 pm

Hello sir, clouds over m.p and central india will it come towards guj?

Niraj Patel
Niraj Patel
18/06/2014 8:56 pm

Sir. Hal ma Monsoon na aaghad vadhva mate na halat keva 6.

sagar kansagra
sagar kansagra
18/06/2014 7:04 pm

લાલપુર , જામનગર માં સારા વરસાદ ની તારીખ ?

Rajan Mehta
Rajan Mehta
18/06/2014 2:49 pm

sir, when will the second round of rain start in saurashtra?

sanjava pravin
sanjava pravin
18/06/2014 2:01 pm

sir al-nino ni asar modi thase to motabhagni agahi ma teno khoto hav kem ubho karvama aave chhe?

dharmendra antala
dharmendra antala
18/06/2014 1:41 pm

alnino vise coment ma Javab aapyo chhe te Gujarati ma lakhone

Abhishek Sharma
Abhishek Sharma
18/06/2014 12:29 pm

Sir jamnagar mai barsat sowing ke liye achchi barsat kab ayegi

jigar saraswat
jigar saraswat
17/06/2014 7:39 pm

hello sir, cloud cover over m.p and central india will it come to gujarat? As wind direction is moving towards gujarat…as per imd

rushik patel
rushik patel
17/06/2014 7:14 pm

as vik ma rajkot ma varsad padvani sambhavna she khari badhe varshad pade se rajkot ma kem nahivat padese

ashish bhalodi
ashish bhalodi
17/06/2014 4:32 pm

સર ગોંડલ માં ક્યારે વરસાદ પડશે.

rushik patel
rushik patel
17/06/2014 3:58 pm

aal nino ni aashar as varase ketalik nadatar rup thase

Vadecha Bharat
Vadecha Bharat
17/06/2014 9:41 am

કચ્છ માં વરસાદ ની સંભાવના છે ?

Pratik Modi
Pratik Modi
17/06/2014 9:09 am

ઉતર ગુજરાત માં આ અઠવાડિયે ચોમાસા ની કોઈ સંભાવના ખરી? સર.

Pravin
Pravin
16/06/2014 11:37 pm

સીર રાજકોટ Ma કયારે વરસાદ પડશે
Proper રાજકોટ ની અંજુ બાજુ ના ગામ માં

hemal katariya
hemal katariya
16/06/2014 8:39 pm

sar sara samachar aapiya chee.