Diminished Rainfall Activity Over Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch Between 13th To 18th August

Current Weather Conditions on 13th August 2014 @ 8.00 am.

The   axis   of   monsoon   trough   at   mean   sea   level   passes   through   Ferozepur,   Ambala,   Bareilly, Gorakhpur, Bhagalpur, Malda and thence Eastwards to East Arunachal Pradesh. It extends up to 0.9 km above mean sea level.

The western end of monsoon trough is shifting northwards thereby the axis of monsoon trough has nearly moved to along the foothills of Himalayas.

The  off-­shore trough at mean sea level continue to run from South Maharashtra coast to Kerala coast.

IMD Weather Chart Showing 925 hPa Winds Valid 1200  UTC on 13th August

24hgfs_925wind_130814

IMD Weather Chart Showing 925 hPa Winds Valid 1200  UTC on 14th August

 

48hgfs_925wind_130814

The above charts of 925 hPa shows that the axis of monsoon is along the Himalayas. Only westerly winds can be seen and the Easterly winds are absent.

COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 13th August 2014

india3.24hr_130814

COLA/IGES GFS Precipitation Forecast Map Valid 1200 UTC 14th August 2014

india3.48hr_130814

Forecast: 13th August to 18th August 2014

Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch :

13th to 18th August there would be scattered showers/light rain but quantity of rain and the area of rain coverage would be less in latter half of forecast period.

South Gujarat is expected to get off & on scattered light to medium rainfall during the forecast period.

A Low Pressure area could develop over the West Central Bay of Bengal around 18th August.

IMD Weather Chart Showing Forecast MSLP Valid 1200 UTC 18th August 2014

144hgfs_mslp_130814

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ :

તારીખ ૧૩ થી ૧૮ ઓગસ્ટ દરમ્યાન છૂટો છવાયા ઝાપટા અથવા હળવો વરસાદ પડશે પરંતુ વરસાદ ની માત્રા તથા વિસ્તાર આગાહી ના પાછલા દિવસો માં ઓછી/ઓછો રહેશે.
દક્ષીણ ગુજરાત માં આગાહી ના સમય દરમ્યાન ક્યારેક ક્યારેક છૂટો છવાયો હળવો મધ્યમ વરસાદ થશે.
તારીખ ૧૮ ઓગસ્ટ આસપાસ મધ્ય પશ્ચિમ બંગાળની ખાડી માં એક લો પ્રેસર થવાની શક્યતા છે.

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D.J.MORI
D.J.MORI
18/08/2014 6:52 pm

sir Bhavnagar jillama koi varsad shaky khari?

adhyaru kishan
adhyaru kishan
16/08/2014 10:01 pm

Sir, monsoon troufgh gujarat baju kyare aavse & gujarat ma kyare monsoon activate thase?

Rajesh manvar
Rajesh manvar
16/08/2014 9:16 pm

Sir
Rajkot ma varsad na samachar such chhe?

ashvin baria
ashvin baria
16/08/2014 8:42 pm

Ashokbhai,
Possible movement track of new low pressure devlopment in bay of bangal

Nirmal Bhojani
Nirmal Bhojani
16/08/2014 7:59 pm

Himatnagar Ni bajuma 7.15 pm a saras varsadi japtu avyu around 0.5 inch…..

adhyaru kishan
adhyaru kishan
16/08/2014 7:00 pm

good evening sir, sir atyar na 5:30 vagya na satelite image ma gujarat baju aavta cloud dekhay 6 to su sir varsaad aavse?

tejabhai
tejabhai
16/08/2014 5:14 pm

One weekma b.k. ma saro varasad thase?

zala ramsih
zala ramsih
16/08/2014 4:04 pm

sir koi good news aapo ne …please

ashok
ashok
16/08/2014 3:47 pm

agami divso ma varsad khechase,

Nagjibhai bhayani
Nagjibhai bhayani
16/08/2014 2:05 pm

Namste sir,
Tamari agahi akilama varsothi vachu chhu apna havamanna guan vishe khub Adar dharavu chhu mobile app basal khub khub abhar utptang agahine badle vaigyanik rite sachot agahi fakt apna tarafthi j male chhe kheduto mate bahuj upyogi Seva chhe
Bhayani Nagjibhai KALSARI visavadar

Chetan
Chetan
16/08/2014 11:47 am

New update kyare mukso?…

jakhaniya ashwin
jakhaniya ashwin
15/08/2014 10:14 pm

chomasu dhari jova mate link aapo please…..

Amin
Amin
15/08/2014 9:32 pm

Chart ma 1420 ne 1440 su suchvech Che

zala ramsih
zala ramsih
15/08/2014 9:12 pm

sir 18 tarikh na Bengal ni khadi ma loo preshar thavani sakyta se te vat par aaj ne tarikhe tamaru su anuman se? ketla taka saans

vivek patel
vivek patel
15/08/2014 7:06 pm

Pavan ni seepd vadhi gay che tanu karan

mazhar vanak
mazhar vanak
15/08/2014 6:25 pm

Ashok bhai.hu tamne 6 Varas thi olkhu chu.
Akila news ma tamari aagahi hamesa vachu chu. Ane 90 % tamari aagahi sachi hoy che. You r gret sar…

vivek patel
vivek patel
15/08/2014 5:41 pm

Sir jamnagar ma koi saro varshad che

ashok
ashok
15/08/2014 5:24 pm

kya ? bahar gaya chho saheb? kai baju? pachha kyare avo chho?