Current Weather Conditions on 11th October 2014 @ 8.30 am.

JTWC has isssued Tropical Cyclone Warning Number 13 @ 0300 UTC on 11-10-2014 for conditions at 0000 UTC of 11-10-2014. System 03B.Hudhud had 85 knots wind speed with 959 mb. Central Pressure located at Lat. 16.0°N & Long. 85.8°E over the West Central Bay of Bengal. System is Tracking at 5 knots.

1 knot wind speed  = 1.85 Kms./Hour wind speed.

System is 330 kms. from Visakhapatnam & 375 Kms. from Gopalpur.

JTWC Tropical Cyclone 03B.HUDHUD Warning No. 13

Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track

IMD National Bulletin available here

Warning for North Andhra Pradesh and South Odisha

(i) Heavy rainfall warning: Under the influence of the system, rainfall at most places with heavy (6.5 – 12.4 cm) to very heavy falls (12.5 – 24.4 cm) at a few places and isolated extremely heavy falls (≥ 24.5 cm) would occur over west & east Godavari, Visakhapatnam, Vijayanagaram & Srikakulam districts of north Andhra Pradesh and Ganjam, Gajapati, Koraput, Rayagada, Nabarangpur, Malkangiri, Kalahandi, Phulbani districts of south Odisha commencing from 11th onwards. Rainfall would occur at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over Krishna, Guntur & Prakasham districts of Andhra Pradesh and north coastal Odisha during the same period.
(ii) Wind warning: Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph would commence along & off north Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha coasts from 11th morning onwards. The wind speed would gradually increase to 140-150 kmph gusting to 165 kmph from 12th morning along & off north Andhra Pradesh (East Godavari, Visakhapatnam, Vizianagaram and Srikakulam districts) and 80-90 kmph along and off adjoining districts of south Andhra Pradesh (West Godavari, Krishna districts) and south Odisha (Ganjam,Gajapati, Koraput and Malkangiri districts).
(iii) Sea condition along and off north Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha coasts: Sea
condition would be rough to very rough from 11th morning. It would gradually become phenomenal from 12th morning onwards along & off north Andhra Pradesh coast and very rough to high along & off south Odisha coast.
(iv) Storm surge warning: Storm surge of about 1-2 meters above astronomical tide would inundate low lying areas of Visakhapatnam, Vijayanagaram and Srikakulam districts of north coastal Andhra Pradesh at the time of landfall.
(v) Damage expected:
A) North Andhra Pradesh (East Godavari, Visakhapatnam, Vizianagaram and
Srikakulam districts): Under the influence of system, extensive damage to kutcha
houses. Uprooting of big trees. Partial disruption of power and communication lines.
Minor disruption of rail and road traffic. Potential threat from flying debris. Flooding
of escape routes. Damage to agricultural crops.
B) South Andhra Pradesh (West Godavari, Krishna districts) and south Odisha coasts (Ganjam, Gajapati, Koraput and Malkangiri districts): Damage to thatched huts. Breaking of tree branches causing minor damage to power and communication lines. Uprooting of small trees. Damage to agricultural crops.
(vi) Action suggested:
A) North Andhra Pradesh (East Godavari, Visakhapatnam, Vizianagaram and
Srikakulam districts): Suspension of fishing operations in area of influence of cyclone. Judicious regulation of aviation, navigation, rail and road traffic. People in affected areas to remain at safe places around landfall period. Mobilise evacuation from coastal areas.
B) South Andhra Pradesh (West Godavari, Krishna districts) and south Odisha coasts (Ganjam, Gajapati, Koraput and Malkangiri districts): Total suspension of fishing operations. People in affected areas to remain at safe places.

RSMC Bulletin available here

 NRL IR Satellite Image of  TC 03B.HUDHUD

( Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “HUDHUD” )

on 11th October 2014 @ 02.00 UTC (7.30 am. IST )

 NRL Water Vapor Satellite Image of  TC 03B.HUDHUD

( Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “HUDHUD” )

on 11th October 2014 @ 02.00 UTC (7.30 am. IST )

 NRL 91H Brightness Temperature Satellite Image of  TC 03B.HUDHUD

( Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “HUDHUD” )

on 11th October 2014 @ 01.00 UTC (6.30 am. IST )

Forecast track by IMD Multimodel Ensemble (MME) Valid 12.00 UTC of 10-10-2014

For NWP Tropical Cyclone Genesis Potential Animation Track of the current System   Click here

Forecast: 11th October to 14th October 2014

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “HUDHUD” – TC 03B.HUDHUD :

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm “HUDHUD” is expected to track  West North West  direction towards North Andhra Pradesh/South Odisha Coast till Landfall tomorrow the 12th October vicinity of Visakhapatnam as per both GSF as well as ECMWF available forecast runs. The tracking speed is expected to increase from 5 knots to 8 or 9 knots before landfall.

Note: Refer/Rely on IMD/RSMC Bulletins/Advisories

તારીખ ૧૧ ઓક્ટોબર ૨૦૧૪ :

મધ્ય પશ્ચિમ બંગાળની ખાડી માં અતિ તીવ્ર વાવાઝોડું આજે સવારે ૫.૩૦ કલાક IST Lat. 16.0 N & Long. 85.8 E. એ હતું અને તેના કેન્દ્ર માં પ્રેસર 959 મિલીબાર હતું તેમજ પવન ૧૫૫ કિમી પ્રતિ કલાકે ( ૧ મિનીટ ની શરેરાશ મૂજબ પવન ની ઝડપ ) હતી. આ વાવાઝોડું વિશાખાપટનામ થી ૩૩૦ કિમી દૂર હતું આજે સવારે ૫.૩૦ કલાકે. આ વાવાઝોડા ના કેન્દ્ર પાસે દરિયા ના મોજા ૨૪ ફૂટ ઊંચા ઊછળતા હતા. આ વાવાઝોડું પશ્ચિમ ઊત્તર પશ્ચિમ તરફ આગળ વધશે. આવતી કાલે તારીખ ૧૨ ઓક્ટોબરના રોજ ઊત્તર આંધ્ર અને દક્ષીણ ઓડીશા ના દરિયા કિનારે નજીક આવશે. હાલ ના અનુમાન પ્રમાણે વિઝાખાપટનમ પાસે ત્રાટકશે. પવન ની ઝડપ ૨૦૦ કિમી પ્રતિ કલાકે ( ૧ મિનીટ ની શરેરાશ મૂજબ પવન ની ઝડપ ) આસપાસ પોંચે તેવી શક્યતા છે.

આ વાવાઝોડા થી આંધ્ર પ્રદેશ, ઓડીશા, છાતીશ્ગઢ, વિદર્ભ એમ પી યુપી માં વરસાદ થશે જે આંધ્ર પ્રદેશ, ઓડીશાના કાંઠા ના વિસ્તાર માં ભારે થી અતિ ભારે માત્રા રહેશે.

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છ:

તારીખ ૧૧ થી ૧૪ દરમિયાન મુખ્યત્વે વતાવરણ સૂકું રહેશે. બંગાળની ખાડી ના વાવાઝોડા ની અસર ખાસ નહિ થાય . ફક્ત ક્યારેક વાવાઝોડાના વાદળ સમૂહો ની પૂંછડી ગુજરાત ઉપર પસાર થઇ શકે.