A Low Pressure Area Has Developed Over South East Arabian Sea – Early Morning Of 5th June 2015 – IMD Yet To Confirm

Current Weather Conditions on 5th June 2015 @ 11.00 IST

Updated

 

As per IMD inference issued on 5th June 2015 at 0530 IST:

 

The trough of low over Lakshadweep area & neighborhood at mean sea level over Southeast Arabian Sea and adjoining Lakshadweep area persists.  Under its influence, a low pressure area would develop by tomorrow.

 

As per NRL: 95A.INVEST over the South East Arabian Sea is located at 10.3°N & 68.9°E with 25 knots & 1004 mb. on 5th June 2015 @ 0500 UTC.

 

From JTWC:

 

ABIO10 PGTW 041800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/041800Z-051800ZJUN2015//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.6N 68.6E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 69.9E, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A
FLARING AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF DEEP BUT FRAGMENTED CONVECTION WITH
A POORLY-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW. NUMERIC WEATHER PREDICTION MODELS ARE
CONSISTENT IN DEVELOPING THIS AREA INTO A 35-KNOT SYSTEM IN AS EARLY
AS 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO
20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

 

Observations: A Low Pressure area has developed over the Southeast Arabian Sea with center located at 11.5°N & 70.3°E with 35 Kms/hour wind speed and Central Pressure of 1007 mb. in the early morning of 5th June 2015.

The clouding associated with this Low Pressure are currently spread out over a very wide stretch of Arabian Sea and looks like a disorganised System. It is expected to organise within 24 hours.

As per latest update on 5th June at 0500 UTC (10.30 am. IST) the Low Pressure has organised further and is located at 10.3°N & 68.9°E with wind speeds of 45 kms/hour ( 1 minute ave. basis) and 1004 mb. Central Pressure.

NRL IR Satellite Image on 5th June 2015 @ 0500 UTC ( 10.30 am. IST)

 

95AINVEST.25kts-1004mb-103N-689E.100pc_IR

NRL Water Vapor Satellite Image on 5th June 2015 @ 0500 UTC ( 10.30 pm. IST)

95AINVEST.25kts-1004mb-103N-689E.100pc_vapor

UW-CIMMS IR Enhanced Satellite Image on 5th June 2015 @ 0330 UTC ( 09.00 am. IST)

95A_050615_0330_UW

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Samir Shekhat
Samir Shekhat
05/06/2015 4:57 pm

Junagadh ma varsad chalu thayo.

Rajan Mehta
Rajan Mehta
05/06/2015 2:45 pm

Gujaratima badha ne kahu chhu k sir ne question puchhta pahela badhi comments vancho. Tamne Tamara questions no jawab temathi mali j jase. Aaje aagahi Kari te pramane low pressure banyu chhe pan haji aa system well organized nathi MATLAB haji te aavta 24 kalaak ma vadhu majboot banse. Atyare only aatlu j jaano.vadhu Kai update hase, sir update aapse. Sorry sir mane pan Gujarati ma kevani farz padi. Amuk loko English jaanta nathi etle.

K.D. Patel
K.D. Patel
05/06/2015 2:36 pm

Sir. aa low presure vavajodu NA thai to paschim bharat ma saro varsad thai? ke vavajodu thai to saro varasad thai?

dhaval
dhaval
05/06/2015 2:33 pm

sir gujrat ma kyare varsad pug se

darshan
darshan
05/06/2015 2:21 pm

Sir, monsoon Kerala ma pahochyu tevu skymet kahe che te sachu che?

darshan
darshan
05/06/2015 2:18 pm

Sir, monsoon kerala ma pahochu tevu skymet kahe che…. Its true?

Pratik Bhansali
Pratik Bhansali
05/06/2015 2:06 pm

Sir too much humidity in Ahmedabad and still hazy type of atmosphere, feeling like rain will come soon.

Rajendra Vala
Rajendra Vala
05/06/2015 1:53 pm

How central pressure is 1007 mb even if it is a low pressure area?!
Pl comment..

arif
arif
05/06/2015 1:37 pm

Monsoon reached to kerala

Nishank patel
Nishank patel
05/06/2015 1:32 pm

dear sir,

hu suggest karu chu je varam var saval kare che tene javab na apso. bus tame update karta rejo ame vanchiusu. i know tame complete time par update karoj cho. so badha ne ans apvani jarur nai sir.

Manoj lunagariya sarpdad
Manoj lunagariya sarpdad
05/06/2015 1:14 pm

Sair Gujarati ma update apoo pleaz

zala ramsih
zala ramsih
05/06/2015 12:56 pm

sir gujrat ma pree monsoon kyare salu thay sake ?

sanjay marsonia
sanjay marsonia
05/06/2015 12:48 pm

sir NWP na bane model low Gujarat ne asar kare aevu batave che

nitinvadaviya
05/06/2015 12:23 pm

Sir good news

sanjay marsonia
sanjay marsonia
05/06/2015 12:01 pm

bhai loko kaik to saram rakho have
sir Kay pan chupavta nathi je mahiti hoy che te apeche j to thodi rah juvo

Hiren patel
Hiren patel
05/06/2015 11:50 am

A mahiti gujratima apso sir pls .?

nitin
nitin
05/06/2015 11:31 am

South east Kerala ni same ni disa thay pls ans .abhyasmate

rajnik patel
rajnik patel
05/06/2015 11:21 am

Sir any chance devlop cyclon?

Raju Ahir
Raju Ahir
05/06/2015 11:21 am

Sir a low pressure thi chomasu agal vadhase

Shreyansh Yadav
Shreyansh Yadav
05/06/2015 11:19 am

What chances does it have to become a tropical cyclone ?

Ayazmalkani
05/06/2015 11:15 am

Bohat Se Model Ye Show Kar Rahe He K Gujarat Aur Sindh Ko Koe Bhe Khatra Nahe ,Ashok Bhe Kya Ye Hi Sambhwana He.

vivek rabadiya
vivek rabadiya
05/06/2015 11:08 am

Low pereshar che k nai

nilesh
nilesh
05/06/2015 11:05 am

Sir, sorry pan aatla badha garam kem thay ne javab aapo cho.

nitin
nitin
05/06/2015 10:50 am

Low ni asar thi dariya katha chhuto chhavayo vrsad padvani skyata chhe pls.ans

vivek rabadiya
vivek rabadiya
05/06/2015 10:37 am

Sir gujrat ma aavse