A Low Pressure has developed over the North East Arabian & Adjoining East Central Arabian Sea early this morning.
There is a differing outcome to the track of this Low Pressure by the two Forecast Models GFS & ECMWF. There will be more clarity by comparing the current position of the Low Pressure center with that of the initial center of both the Forecast Models.
The core of dense clouding associated with this Low Pressure is spread over a diameter of 500 Kms. The Center of the Low Pressure is located about 300 Km. Southwest from Western Saurashtra Coast. This means that the clouding is mainly to the West of the System Center.
ઊત્તર પૂર્વ અને લાગુ મધ્ય પૂર્વ અરબી સમુદ્ર માં લો પ્રેસર થયું છે. આગળ જતા શું થવું છે. કઈ બાજુ જશે તે બધું હજુ ચોક્કસ નથી. 24 કલાક માં ખ્યાલ આવશે. સૌરાષ્ટ્ર ના પશ્ચિમ કિનારા થીસીસ્ટમ નું સેન્ટર હાલ્ 300 Km. દક્ષીણ પશ્ચિમે છે. ઘટ વાદળા 500 Km. માં ફેલાયેલા છે જે આ સીસ્ટમ ના સેન્ટર થી મુખ્યત્વે પશ્ચિમે છે.
સુચના: હાલ સિસ્ટમ કઈ બાજુ જશે ? મારા ગામ માં વરસાદ આવશે ? તેવા સવાલો કરવા નહિ. જેટલો વધુ સમય તમારા સવાલો નો જવાબ આપવામાં વાપરીશ એટલો ઓછો સમય અપડેટ માં આપી શકીશ. માટે સહકાર આપો.
From IMD Inference on 21st June issued at 9.30 am. based on observations of 05.30 am. IST:
The upper air cyclonic circulation over north Arabian sea off Gujarat coast between 1.5 km & 4.5 km. above mean sea level persists. Under its influence, a low pressure area may form over northeast Arabian sea off Gujarat coast during next 12 hours.
As per NRL: 97A.INVEST first appeared over the North East & adjoining East Central Arabian Sea on 20-06-2015 @ 2130 UTC.
NRL IR Satellite Image on 21st June 2015 @ 0400 UTC ( 9.30 am. IST)
NRL Water Vapor Satellite Image on 21st June 2015 @ 0400 UTC ( 09.30 am. IST)
NRL Visible Satellite Image on 21st June 2015 @ 0400 UTC ( 09.30 am. IST)
Tamaru gaam ane pavan ni disha. karan ke Girnari ma lag ala gaame alag hoi.
Disha ane gam janavavu. Haal System hoi pavan ma fer far thaya karshe.
hemat nandaniya
21/06/2015 9:05 pm
Sir please don’t mind.sir bbc world TV ma jya Next 24 hours ma kya varsad padavano se te batave se to tame tamari site ma muko to saru. date 22 ma saurashtra ma ghani jagya e varsad padse Ane rajkot baju ocho ne dwarka porbandar baju vadhi passe by BBC.
Forecast model ma mat mattantar ni je vaat chhe te aa chhe. GFS ane BBC vachhe pan farak chhe ane aa vakhate GFS model oopar vadhu vishwaniyata chhe. Joiye shu thaay chhe.
haal chhuto chhavayo varsad chalu chhe ane be tran divas ma varsad no saro round chhe.
Parth Patel
21/06/2015 8:01 pm
Sir,
You mentioned in your site that raining weather grow fast on 19th addition. And it’s coming in saurastra after 3days (21th).but now a days dose not receive good weather.. . Please inform sir….
zala ramsih
21/06/2015 7:49 pm
Sri bangal ni sistam no varshad m.p. pahosi gayo lage se ?
jayesh suthar
21/06/2015 7:45 pm
Sir monsoon kyare north gujarat taraf agad chalse.
Lalpur, Jamngar, Gujarat,(maru mag) girnari pavan vay chhe
girnari pavan kem vay se
Tamaru gaam ane pavan ni disha. karan ke Girnari ma lag ala gaame alag hoi.
Disha ane gam janavavu. Haal System hoi pavan ma fer far thaya karshe.
Sir please don’t mind.sir bbc world TV ma jya Next 24 hours ma kya varsad padavano se te batave se to tame tamari site ma muko to saru. date 22 ma saurashtra ma ghani jagya e varsad padse Ane rajkot baju ocho ne dwarka porbandar baju vadhi passe by BBC.
Forecast model ma mat mattantar ni je vaat chhe te aa chhe. GFS ane BBC vachhe pan farak chhe ane aa vakhate GFS model oopar vadhu vishwaniyata chhe. Joiye shu thaay chhe.
Sar amrelina(sa.kundala,khambha)talukana bahu gamdaoma 2.5jevo varsad padyo 12pm thi 3pm sudhi
Aabhar samachar badal.
Hello sir
Odisha vadu clouding m.p che guj border will it enter guj ? Today by night?
Vadado M.P. baju pacha kaale pan thashe. Border area ne asar kare ratre
Arbi na low thi north gujrat baju aavta bob na vadlo ne avrodh aave avu lge che
Ghunada gam ma atiyar sudhi no varsad matra 1 inch che …to have pachhi na ketala day ma varsad thase ? Te janavo….pls….
haal chhuto chhavayo varsad chalu chhe ane be tran divas ma varsad no saro round chhe.
Sir,
You mentioned in your site that raining weather grow fast on 19th addition. And it’s coming in saurastra after 3days (21th).but now a days dose not receive good weather.. . Please inform sir….
Sri bangal ni sistam no varshad m.p. pahosi gayo lage se ?
Sir monsoon kyare north gujarat taraf agad chalse.
Sir,aaj ni tarikh ma navi update biji mukso?
update vancho navi
Sir aje kodinar, veraval ma saro varsad padiyo che to chomasu agad vathiyu kahevay? Ane agad vadhava mate saru vatavarn khaheyau?