Current Weather Conditions on 10th July 2013 @ 2.00 pm.
An Upper air Cyclonic Circulation has persisted for last two days over Northwest Bay of Bengal near the Coastal areas of Odisha and vicinity. This Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation was located over Odisha and adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal this morning and has subsequently developed to a Low Pressure located over the same region of Coastal Odisha and adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal.
The axis of monsoon trough at mean sea level passes through Ferozepur, Delhi, Fursatgunj, Daltongunj, Keonjergarh to Center of Low Pressure area and thence Southeastwards to Eastcentral Bay of Bengal.
The offshore monsoon trough runs from Gujarat coast to North Kerala.
TMD Weather Chart of 10th July 00 UTC shows the Low Pressure Area
The NCEP weekly precipitation map shows heavy rainfall areas over Central India including Madhya Pradesh and vicinity. Also heavy rainfall area is shown for West coast of India. Saurashtra has both light as well as medium and heavy rainfall for period ending 15th July. North Gujarat shows medium rainfall.
Daily Monsoon Index chart shows that the Monsoon will be near normal for the next two weeks for India with Monsoon Index fluctuating between 7 to 12 with an average between 9 to 10. This is encouraging for the performance of Monsoon.
Forecast: 10th to 15th July
Currently the Low Pressure System is expected to track towards Madhya Pradesh by 12th July, however, the track will be monitored and updated as and when warranted. The rain over M.P. will start first and then M.P. Gujarat border areas and subsequently will increase over North Gujarat and Saurashtra on 12 July & 13th July. Simultaneously rain will start for South Gujarat. Conditions are favorable for scattered rain over Saurashtra & Gujarat today the 10th July.
South Gujarat, Central Gujarat & North Gujarat will receive 50 mm. to 100 mm. of rainfall during the period will few places receiving above 125 mm.
Saurashtra & Kutch will receive 35 mm. to 75 mm. of rainfall during the period will few places receiving above 75 mm.
Weather Forecast In Akila Daily Dated 10th July 2013 @ 10.30 am.
